Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on April 16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x355b6690090a3c717c9d92162e6926c4f2983e9a23ec5b5c8c28ad96856cfb14
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,084
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,820
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,084 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8abd…c2a6backed No | 1c | 3,933$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8de…a2b8backed No | 1c | 2,990$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 37 | 8.1%3 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…4e57backed Yes | 70c | 526.93$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.46 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 16c | 271.12$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 53c | 258.18$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.78 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked No | 11c | 240.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.47 | 636 | 56.1%357 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed No | 15c | 234.01$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.18 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed No | 43c | 229.57$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.51 | 287 | 37.6%108 W · 179 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1348…7037backed Yes | 74c | 200.43$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.54 | 176 | 65.9%116 W · 60 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 40c | 184.03$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.96 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0a…5f98backed Yes | 47c | 182.85$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 395 | 35.4%140 W · 255 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked No | 9c | 177.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 564 | 24.5%138 W · 426 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 43c | 177.33$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.69 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 14c | 177.25$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec1…07a5backed No | 11c | 171.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 247 | 68.4%169 W · 78 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e9…bdacbacked No | 36c | 169.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.7 | 117 | 31.6%37 W · 80 L | -19.1wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb185…48c1backed No | 37c | 168.33$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.91 | 197 | 20.8%41 W · 156 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda18…4282backed Yes | 54c | 161.64$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.75 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59d4…b745backed Yes | 65c | 155.35$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.87 | 275 | 40%110 W · 165 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7e…c08ebacked No | 73c | 120.7$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.53 | 570 | 38.1%217 W · 353 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -33%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf0…ab54backed No | 38c | 119.97$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.59 | 163 | 20.2%33 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 47c | 117.24$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.71 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf023…6ac7backed No | 51c | 111.88$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.06 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked No | 49c | 111.7$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.73 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…1a88backed Yes | 57c | 104.16$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 999 | 49.5%495 W · 504 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fdf…28a2backed Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 561 | 31.7%178 W · 383 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x309c…09b5backed No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 288 | 39.9%115 W · 173 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.99 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c93…8967backed No | 47c | 99.98$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.99 | 444 | 48.6%216 W · 228 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 37c | 91.71$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.11 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 27c | 90$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.7 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e24…7379backed Yes | 31c | 76.69$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.26 | 456 | 19.1%87 W · 369 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 64c | 71.35$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.63 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82cf…b944backed Yes | 54c | 70.56$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…927fbacked No | 47c | 68.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.45 | 183 | 27.3%50 W · 133 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x440c…8dccbacked Yes | 48c | 67$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.84 | 96 | 35.4%34 W · 62 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x017c…00c3backed Yes | 47c | 66$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.98 | 250 | 42.4%106 W · 144 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaff7…fb8bbacked Yes | 57c | 64.71$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.81 | 513 | 21.2%109 W · 404 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 45c | 61.47$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.66 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4671…b5eebacked No | 73c | 61.07$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.48 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…bf33backed No | 47c | 59.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.93 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85e8…9301backed Yes | 54c | 59.82$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 113 | 62.8%71 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…5b28backed Yes | 42c | 59.04$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.06 | 265 | 66.4%176 W · 89 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 29c | 58.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab14…e786backed Yes | 40c | 58.57$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.12 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9c…f3a8backed Yes | 71c | 58.27$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.78 | 602 | 36.5%220 W · 382 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ce…2ea5backed Yes | 52c | 55.31$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.76 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47f7…0312backed No | 68c | 52.93$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 146 | 63%92 W · 54 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec8…99d2backed No | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 833 | 60.7%506 W · 327 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4125…868cbacked No | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1335…336fbacked No | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 56c | 44.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27fb…3f5ebacked No | 56c | 44.34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 209 | 42.1%88 W · 121 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe752…2200backed Yes | 53c | 43.83$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 1,204 | 25.3%305 W · 899 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36c2…2b8cbacked No | 69c | 43.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 707 | 70.2%496 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6969…c0c1backed Yes | 70c | 41.57$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcaaa…52e9backed Yes | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa55a…0c43backed No | 48c | 39.84$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x422a…c395backed Yes | 59c | 39.72$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.29 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -22%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecf…05fbbacked Yes | 62c | 38.79$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.74 | 130 | 42.3%55 W · 75 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b0…64f3backed Yes | 63c | 38.03$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd36…a832backed Yes | 35c | 37.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.72 | 650 | 43.4%282 W · 368 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…52e8backed No | 45c | 37.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -4.2wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x98d9…2c8cbacked Yes | 67c | 37.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 576 | 59%340 W · 236 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d9…03d2backed Yes | 63c | 35.25$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.08 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c4…2fa9backed Yes | 43c | 34.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.67 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4973…5527backed No | 51c | 32.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 300 | 46.7%140 W · 160 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…10c3backed Yes | 44c | 32.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 402 | 42.5%171 W · 231 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90b7…148cbacked Yes | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 93 | 31.2%29 W · 64 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc1…ea87backed No | 36c | 29.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…c70bbacked No | 71c | 29.13$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 549 | 66.7%366 W · 183 L | -27.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…54abbacked No | 60c | 28.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 186 | 50.5%94 W · 92 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5644…ecbbbacked Yes | 53c | 28.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 237 | 38%90 W · 147 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 42c | 27.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…ac1ebacked Yes | 47c | 26.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +4.8wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x65ac…882bbacked Yes | 47c | 25.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.73 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…4f44backed Yes | 49c | 24.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 230 | 35.7%82 W · 148 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cf…7825backed No | 50c | 23.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 289 | 54.3%157 W · 132 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…b73fbacked Yes | 61c | 22.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 181 | 64.1%116 W · 65 L | +29.3wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +37%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…9bedbacked Yes | 57c | 22.48$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f83…9847backed Yes | 50c | 22.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ee…c0cbbacked Yes | 53c | 21.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8348…5161backed Yes | 59c | 21.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…ae14backed Yes | 73c | 19.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3972…a677backed No | 70c | 18.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 817 | 56.4%461 W · 356 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…08e7backed Yes | 78c | 15.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 135 | 54.8%74 W · 61 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on April 16?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on April 16?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on April 16?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on April 16?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on April 16?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on April 16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.