Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3594b9e9531fe82a305d8a5634e82816b4d92d8f8c4b9e4124beb25391120000
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,054
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,006
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,054 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Over | 38c | 9,720$3,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,723.6 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Under | 62c | 8,186$5,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,111.8 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Over | 38c | 4,279$1,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,625.9 | 510 | 44.1%225 W · 285 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b2…a017backed Under | 62c | 3,012$1,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.6 | 473 | 47.4%224 W · 249 L | +23.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Under | 62c | 2,000$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770 | 579 | 45.9%266 W · 313 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 62c | 1,858$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.02 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69d5…7767backed Under | 62c | 1,602$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.18 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba8…d72bbacked Over | 37c | 1,477$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.16 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde1d…c645backed Over | 38c | 775.31$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.62 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Over | 38c | 631.38$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.69 | 494 | 61.3%303 W · 191 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 61c | 600$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Under | 62c | 562.78$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.45 | 1,232 | 49.4%609 W · 623 L | +13.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff73…d0dfbacked Over | 38c | 506.74$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.56 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x832b…3ae1backed Under | 64c | 489.2$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.11 | 297 | 58.2%173 W · 124 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Under | 63c | 488.9$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.89 | 288 | 52.1%150 W · 138 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Under | 66c | 451.24$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.13 | 1,029 | 52.3%538 W · 491 L | +27.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Under | 63c | 396$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.52 | 194 | 37.6%73 W · 121 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd507…a6ddbacked Over | 37c | 392.58$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.37 | 300 | 35%105 W · 195 L | -21.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Under | 63c | 283.35$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.84 | 1,097 | 52.3%574 W · 523 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…0650backed Over | 38c | 253.37$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.28 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Over | 24c | 152.98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.57 | 1,611 | 48.4%780 W · 831 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56f8…3940backed Under | 64c | 152.88$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.04 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 73cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…cd9dbacked Over | 39c | 123.51$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.17 | 227 | 61.7%140 W · 87 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 42c | 109$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.73 | 2,521 | 47.3%1,193 W · 1,328 L | -34.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…306fbacked Under | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 195 | 61.5%120 W · 75 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f7…43fdbacked Under | 76c | 98.56$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a8c…1991backed Under | 63c | 97.78$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.18 | 332 | 54.2%180 W · 152 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe658…2c42backed Under | 62c | 90.77$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.49 | 181 | 41.4%75 W · 106 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Under | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 390 | 44.6%174 W · 216 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3e…5d9dbacked Over | 37c | 52.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 480 | 42.3%203 W · 277 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc22a…8259backed Over | 38c | 50.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 383 | 44.6%171 W · 212 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b1b…3d70backed Under | 80c | 47.75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x941e…9775backed Under | 70c | 36.93$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 170 | 67.1%114 W · 56 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7af…e28cbacked Over | 42c | 34.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9811…6875backed Under | 63c | 30.92$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Under | 63c | 30.16$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 1,577 | 48.4%764 W · 813 L | +17.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d1…8617backed Under | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076b…dbfabacked Under | 63c | 18.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 176 | 46.6%82 W · 94 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x619e…0149backed Under | 76c | 13.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.33 | 55 | 67.3%37 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- First Blood in Game 2?Gen.G won
- Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)Gen.G won
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2Gen.G won
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Gen.G - Game 1 WinnerGen.G won
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Gen.G - Game 2 WinnerGen.G won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.