Tennis · resolved market
ITF M25 East Lansing Men: Nikita Samuel Filin vs Karl Poling
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3624be2c0378dbf5dfe0b1e48898d4f05228e11318fdf5beeb85f02becebebf5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Karl Polingof Nikita Samuel Filin, Karl Poling
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,443
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,284
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,443 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Karl Poling | 53c | 5,444$2,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,577.6 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Nikita Samuel Filin | 12c | 2,641$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.91 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nikita Samuel Filin | 41c | 2,116$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.72 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Karl Poling | 56c | 1,876$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.53 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Karl Poling | 49c | 1,750$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.38 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa514…9c8fbacked Nikita Samuel Filin | 27c | 1,650$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.8 | 117 | 60.7%71 W · 46 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Nikita Samuel Filin | 30c | 1,461$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.56 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Karl Poling | 72c | 1,175$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.81 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Nikita Samuel Filin | 29c | 1,115$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.24 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84b1…51b8backed Karl Poling | 38c | 1,080$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.8 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Nikita Samuel Filin | 47c | 966.74$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.92 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Karl Poling | 53c | 907$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.48 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Karl Poling | 53c | 873$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.09 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Karl Poling | 57c | 618.81$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.48 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Nikita Samuel Filin | 28c | 609.32$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Nikita Samuel Filin | 42c | 602.66$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.96 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Karl Poling | 56c | 509.88$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.61 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Karl Poling | 61c | 487.46$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.11 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf816…0433backed Nikita Samuel Filin | 29c | 464.91$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.02 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7787…bf58backed Karl Poling | 60c | 419.28$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.76 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd647…08a5backed Karl Poling | 28c | 366.78$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.08 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.49per pick | 31cpaid | +164.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Karl Poling | 78c | 350.19$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.13 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a49…737abacked Karl Poling | 72c | 326.25$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.25 | 205 | 63.4%130 W · 75 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbe…7833backed Nikita Samuel Filin | 37c | 324.32$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 151 | 15.9%24 W · 127 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe66…285cbacked Nikita Samuel Filin | 6c | 256.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb624…3d80backed Nikita Samuel Filin | 47c | 240.81$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.59 | 144 | 39.6%57 W · 87 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed Karl Poling | 61c | 237.7$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.7 | 182 | 58.8%107 W · 75 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Karl Poling | 71c | 224.73$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.06 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…3a3fbacked Karl Poling | 59c | 204.88$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.4 | 213 | 51.6%110 W · 103 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Karl Poling | 54c | 188.15$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.15 | 1,023 | 41.3%422 W · 601 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb4…9cb8backed Karl Poling | 62c | 179.99$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.79 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Karl Poling | 49c | 176$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.76 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Karl Poling | 67c | 174.44$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.18 | 604 | 52.5%317 W · 287 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Nikita Samuel Filin | 28c | 168.46$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa177…4b0dbacked Nikita Samuel Filin | 40c | 167$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.24 | 135 | 25.9%35 W · 100 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…caa6backed Nikita Samuel Filin | 28c | 164.75$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.11 | 267 | 48.7%130 W · 137 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8195…6018backed Nikita Samuel Filin | 35c | 162.86$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Nikita Samuel Filin | 26c | 150.19$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…1a16backed Nikita Samuel Filin | 51c | 138$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.38 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Nikita Samuel Filin | 28c | 132.62$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb38a…3293backed Nikita Samuel Filin | 41c | 131.75$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.48 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -33%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Karl Poling | 74c | 128$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.76 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Nikita Samuel Filin | 29c | 125$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.23 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Karl Poling | 56c | 125$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x741a…534ebacked Nikita Samuel Filin | 32c | 117$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Nikita Samuel Filin | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 721 | 47.3%341 W · 380 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…3373backed Nikita Samuel Filin | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +8.4wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…375cbacked Karl Poling | 39c | 87.56$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.46 | 159 | 31.4%50 W · 109 L | +15.3wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x604e…2cb1backed Karl Poling | 39c | 87.56$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.46 | 104 | 25%26 W · 78 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Karl Poling | 63c | 73.34$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.97 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Nikita Samuel Filin | 47c | 62$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Karl Poling | 78c | 60.65$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Nikita Samuel Filin | 19c | 60.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 447 | 29.3%131 W · 316 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Nikita Samuel Filin | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Karl Poling | 48c | 57.25$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.77 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed Karl Poling | 58c | 56.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.97 | 301 | 47.5%143 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d5…573bbacked Karl Poling | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Nikita Samuel Filin | 28c | 46.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Nikita Samuel Filin | 25c | 45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 1,008 | 43.8%442 W · 566 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed Nikita Samuel Filin | 28c | 43.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 133 | 54.9%73 W · 60 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Karl Poling | 61c | 43.44$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.94 | 455 | 66.4%302 W · 153 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ea…2f71backed Karl Poling | 78c | 42.64$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 447 | 58.8%263 W · 184 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Karl Poling | 51c | 39.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Nikita Samuel Filin | 33c | 37.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Karl Poling | 41c | 36.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.61 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4f…000ebacked Karl Poling | 52c | 30.96$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.86 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d46…26d8backed Nikita Samuel Filin | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 176 | 62.5%110 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b2…6a58backed Karl Poling | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd32e…b577backed Karl Poling | 72c | 27.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.66 | 397 | 59.4%236 W · 161 L | +26.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Karl Poling | 70c | 26.41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.04 | 239 | 54.8%131 W · 108 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd7…1735backed Karl Poling | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 139 | 66.2%92 W · 47 L | +15.5wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…5c03backed Karl Poling | 73c | 26.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 365 | 57.3%209 W · 156 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Karl Poling | 75c | 22.04$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6240…54c0backed Karl Poling | 70c | 20.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…5e60backed Karl Poling | 71c | 15.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 74 | 75.7%56 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.