Fifa International · resolved market
Portugal to win the second half?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x365dc060a3e5103fbc7ed01333f745576e82c4fc35fe8bfdc63cda038928d07a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,534
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,150
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,534 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 17c | 37,831$6,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,517.69 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 36c | 17,491$6,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,197.47 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 64c | 12,527$8,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,015.16 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked No | 33c | 1,303$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.17 | 580 | 49.1%285 W · 295 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…3206backed No | 38c | 1,064$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.82 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 37c | 938$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.94 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 36c | 933.98$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.75 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…8f64backed No | 35c | 731.99$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.79 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 63c | 688$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.25 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf11e…3bc1backed No | 38c | 684$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 35c | 666.19$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.78 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764a…83d3backed No | 37c | 657.51$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.23 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 34c | 619.85$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.6 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 53c | 617.44$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.57 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked No | 37c | 599.99$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.99 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked Yes | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 139 | 33.8%47 W · 92 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 33c | 449.9$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.43 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 37c | 367$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.81 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5207…8285backed Yes | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -53%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0da0…b331backed Yes | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 63c | 257.24$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.18 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d54…6022backed Yes | 64c | 249.99$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.99 | 128 | 71.9%92 W · 36 L | +14.6wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 36c | 230.13$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.28 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51d9…6129backed Yes | 21c | 226.14$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 33c | 200$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…ac20backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 345 | 33.6%116 W · 229 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…cfb1backed Yes | 64c | 200$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked No | 34c | 199.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.99 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 64c | 196$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.44 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf325…2dbabacked Yes | 67c | 176.12$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12bd…e38ebacked Yes | 70c | 142.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8f…6e47backed Yes | 67c | 134.33$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 150 | 42%63 W · 87 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 34c | 120$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.9 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 38c | 103.7$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.29 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9918…2255backed Yes | 64c | 102$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.28 | 155 | 31%48 W · 107 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd875…19cfbacked Yes | 64c | 101.56$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 228 | 24.6%56 W · 172 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked Yes | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 322 | 54%174 W · 148 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0720backed Yes | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae42…d021backed Yes | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed No | 37c | 79.35$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.95 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ac…6b83backed Yes | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 197 | 48.7%96 W · 101 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa3…39b2backed Yes | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 168 | 31.5%53 W · 115 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x672b…4439backed Yes | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f7…f073backed Yes | 64c | 67.19$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 136 | 38.2%52 W · 84 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Yes | 63c | 62.18$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.18 | 426 | 40.1%171 W · 255 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 35c | 57.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.69 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.75 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a0…2746backed Yes | 64c | 46.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 197 | 39.6%78 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7390…30a3backed Yes | 64c | 42.24$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 35c | 36.46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.7 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a7…7eb0backed No | 30c | 35.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35c9…bc74backed Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa7…736ebacked Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ab…eefdbacked Yes | 70c | 27.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2996…73debacked Yes | 67c | 23.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x291b…34bebacked Yes | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 107 | 43.9%47 W · 60 L | +11.2wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd0d…c83abacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c69…b5ecbacked Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…07eabacked Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Portugal to win the second half?this page
- DR Congo to win the second half?No won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: Second half draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.