CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: HAVU vs RoundsGG (BO1) - Elisa BreakOut Series #1 Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x366f5e9efb1e5ac03585364c99a2ce5cfd9939f5a4a3ae7484c6e5bcb0852593
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HAVUof HAVU, RoundsGG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,453
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,854
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,453 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8859…89d6backed RoundsGG | 0c | 33,332$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.26 | 119 | 60.5%72 W · 47 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0478…37c3backed HAVU | 38c | 11,432$4,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,067.43 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed RoundsGG | 61c | 8,021$4,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,857.13 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked RoundsGG | 58c | 1,549$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.63 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed HAVU | 58c | 1,429$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.07 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…0355backed HAVU | 39c | 1,396$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.38 | 233 | 56.2%131 W · 102 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed RoundsGG | 59c | 866.53$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.27 | 809 | 42.3%342 W · 467 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…0717backed HAVU | 34c | 800$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.4 | 295 | 43.1%127 W · 168 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked RoundsGG | 49c | 635.99$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.13 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed RoundsGG | 50c | 624.05$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.03 | 405 | 42%170 W · 235 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked RoundsGG | 52c | 515.44$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.91 | 379 | 22.2%84 W · 295 L | -43.1wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…4e6abacked HAVU | 46c | 506$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.73 | 265 | 54.3%144 W · 121 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed RoundsGG | 52c | 499.99$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.48 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked RoundsGG | 72c | 436.98$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.54 | 587 | 45.5%267 W · 320 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9369…a94cbacked RoundsGG | 71c | 422.36$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked RoundsGG | 57c | 416.56$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.09 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed HAVU | 48c | 387.94$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.64 | 421 | 54.6%230 W · 191 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked RoundsGG | 57c | 384.27$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.41 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed HAVU | 47c | 369.4$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.12 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…3c32backed RoundsGG | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 190 | 61.6%117 W · 73 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed HAVU | 42c | 360$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.1 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0f59backed HAVU | 29c | 345.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.86 | 218 | 45.9%100 W · 118 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed HAVU | 39c | 321.02$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.2 | 610 | 54.9%335 W · 275 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4a…c078backed HAVU | 50c | 294.89$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.64 | 122 | 71.3%87 W · 35 L | +18.5wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad1…b4c5backed HAVU | 39c | 266.68$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.28 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked HAVU | 44c | 242$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.32 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked RoundsGG | 58c | 238$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.16 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked RoundsGG | 50c | 233.87$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.93 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed RoundsGG | 59c | 230$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.38 | 203 | 53.2%108 W · 95 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed RoundsGG | 18c | 228$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 883 | 30.7%271 W · 612 L | -63.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed RoundsGG | 63c | 224.43$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.32 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked RoundsGG | 55c | 214.82$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.51 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed RoundsGG | 65c | 199.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.99 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba39…b4b6backed HAVU | 78c | 189.54$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.08 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18c2…529abacked RoundsGG | 72c | 153.88$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.52 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked RoundsGG | 53c | 147.96$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.37 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed RoundsGG | 51c | 146.29$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.11 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed RoundsGG | 72c | 140$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.4 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed RoundsGG | 53c | 125$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked RoundsGG | 59c | 121.73$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.41 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed RoundsGG | 41c | 114.41$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.01 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked RoundsGG | 44c | 105.25$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.61 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef1f…719dbacked RoundsGG | 24c | 102.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked RoundsGG | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.96 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xece5…6de0backed HAVU | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.1 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x293c…dcbabacked HAVU | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec8c…3bcdbacked RoundsGG | 20c | 97.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 351 | 31.1%109 W · 242 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked HAVU | 58c | 95.43$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.08 | 758 | 33.4%253 W · 505 L | -48.9wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed RoundsGG | 44c | 85$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 219 | 49.8%109 W · 110 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked RoundsGG | 51c | 84.18$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.67 | 752 | 45.3%341 W · 411 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked HAVU | 76c | 78.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 482 | 42.1%203 W · 279 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed HAVU | 49c | 76.5$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 609 | 54%329 W · 280 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked RoundsGG | 55c | 73.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.48 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed RoundsGG | 34c | 64.1$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed RoundsGG | 70c | 62.44$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.53 | 257 | 47.5%122 W · 135 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…6704backed RoundsGG | 68c | 59.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.49 | 205 | 62.4%128 W · 77 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked RoundsGG | 54c | 57.55$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.89 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…3342backed HAVU | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 48 | 72.9%35 W · 13 L | +5.2wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9a…73fabacked RoundsGG | 56c | 51.79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 393 | 53.2%209 W · 184 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed HAVU | 31c | 48.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.98 | 351 | 41.6%146 W · 205 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed RoundsGG | 39c | 30.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 127 | 48%61 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…0566backed HAVU | 58c | 30.64$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 96 | 62.5%60 W · 36 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3211…9ee3backed RoundsGG | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked RoundsGG | 58c | 23.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d4…e361backed HAVU | 50c | 22.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.09 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +4.6wins | +0.29per pick | 59cpaid | +56%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…53dfbacked RoundsGG | 57c | 20.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed HAVU | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed HAVU | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fd…5efabacked RoundsGG | 62c | 17.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6d…ab76backed HAVU | 75c | 14.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 338 | 49.7%168 W · 170 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.