TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: PlayTime vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
BetBoom Teamof PlayTime, BetBoom Team
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$77,419
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$85,477

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,419 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe16d…5e30backed BetBoom Team64c17,210$11,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,210.111,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed PlayTime38c10,997$4,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,173.342650%213 W · 213 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac51…a1fbbacked PlayTime0c10,100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153429.4%10 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-40.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed PlayTime36c8,888$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,199.6822644.7%101 W · 125 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked PlayTime36c7,500$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,70019847%93 W · 105 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8479…40dfbacked BetBoom Team73c4,000$2,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,08010751.4%55 W · 52 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa557…6e77backed PlayTime36c2,804$1,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,009.319850%49 W · 49 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c8f…4d12backed BetBoom Team64c2,344$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843.7535062.6%219 W · 131 L+44.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+26.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed BetBoom Team62c2,000$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7601,03647.2%489 W · 547 L+15.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked BetBoom Team62c2,000$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7601,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeefb…115abacked BetBoom Team61c1,920$1,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$748.791127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick47cpaid-55.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa35c…a113backed PlayTime39c1,282$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50061745.7%282 W · 335 L-12.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked BetBoom Team62c1,250$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4751,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9eca…5a59backed PlayTime36c1,243$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.840051.5%206 W · 194 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39a7…bcb7backed PlayTime38c1,214$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46010949.5%54 W · 55 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x149a…49d0backed BetBoom Team64c1,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36050769.2%351 W · 156 L+33.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+10.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3fc7…62b9backed PlayTime36c1,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36065441.9%274 W · 380 L-1.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04d3…cdacbacked PlayTime36c999.99$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3656631.8%21 W · 45 L-7.2wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-28.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed PlayTime4c850$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306132.1%13 W · 600 L-23.4wins-0.04per pick6cpaid-76.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked BetBoom Team62c810$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.850749.7%252 W · 255 L+15.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed BetBoom Team62c800$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30449455.1%272 W · 222 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed PlayTime25c795$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.631,12036.1%404 W · 716 L-39.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-31.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b12…5f8fbacked PlayTime38c756.73$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.5629548.5%143 W · 152 L+0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed PlayTime36c750$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27081029.4%238 W · 572 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed PlayTime36c701.57$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.571,24844.4%554 W · 694 L+17.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed BetBoom Team62c681.73$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.0656955.5%316 W · 253 L+22.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x009b…26dabacked PlayTime38c676.32$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25721144.1%93 W · 118 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed BetBoom Team73c556.34$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.9645750.8%232 W · 225 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed BetBoom Team63c500$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1851,16447.2%549 W · 615 L-29.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9852…111abacked BetBoom Team64c500$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18020452.5%107 W · 97 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked BetBoom Team63c464.48$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.851,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x495d…68d8backed BetBoom Team65c463.08$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.087255.6%40 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed BetBoom Team79c447.01$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$942,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed BetBoom Team62c423$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.7456548%271 W · 294 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed PlayTime36c399$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.891,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf67d…c986backed PlayTime37c370.78$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.1939042.1%164 W · 226 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked PlayTime24c327.3$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.491,45848.5%707 W · 751 L+27.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked PlayTime37c300.87$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.3234544.3%153 W · 192 L-15.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc646…e394backed BetBoom Team75c300$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.5437655.1%207 W · 169 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed PlayTime21c297$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.2520145.3%91 W · 110 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c67…d062backed BetBoom Team75c253.17$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.041,13742.3%481 W · 656 L-27.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x703b…e371backed PlayTime21c250$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.551544.9%231 W · 284 L+40.9wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+3.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3482…fa0ebacked BetBoom Team62c250$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$955468.5%37 W · 17 L+6.7wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+22.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdf27…026fbacked BetBoom Team63c249.95$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.4865863.1%415 W · 243 L+17.5wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x473f…9892backed BetBoom Team64c234.38$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.3850053%265 W · 235 L+14.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked PlayTime31c232.48$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.3696645.1%436 W · 530 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked PlayTime28c227.96$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.481,70241.2%701 W · 1,001 L-44.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce08…510bbacked PlayTime36c212$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.3235951.3%184 W · 175 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38c5…0f5cbacked PlayTime39c180$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.258250.5%294 W · 288 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96ef…cca4backed BetBoom Team62c178.5$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.8316242.6%69 W · 93 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed BetBoom Team69c176.34$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.0368649.7%341 W · 345 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdca4…1c68backed BetBoom Team63c160$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.264149.9%320 W · 321 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf34b…bcb3backed BetBoom Team64c153.89$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.458356.8%331 W · 252 L+28.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x41a5…75bbbacked BetBoom Team63c152.86$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.5661449.5%304 W · 310 L+9.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked BetBoom Team62c151.62$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.189749.6%445 W · 452 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked PlayTime32c133.65$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.6468345.8%313 W · 370 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked BetBoom Team69c120$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.481,15447.7%550 W · 604 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafb4…ebf7backed PlayTime39c111.54$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.52240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked BetBoom Team64c109.84$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.0853139.5%210 W · 321 L-37.2wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-29.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed BetBoom Team61c108.12$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.1729143.6%127 W · 164 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ea8…0491backed PlayTime36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3624041.3%99 W · 141 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xca1f…ed28backed BetBoom Team65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3560552.6%318 W · 287 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5054…0aafbacked BetBoom Team62c93.36$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.4813851.4%71 W · 67 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked BetBoom Team63c92.98$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.473554.7%402 W · 333 L-3.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xef62…cf76backed PlayTime27c84.4$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8443344.8%194 W · 239 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d03…d567backed BetBoom Team64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1310450%52 W · 52 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x606f…71cebacked PlayTime38c65.22$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2513348.1%64 W · 69 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fb2…bd2dbacked PlayTime27c64.14$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1230054.7%164 W · 136 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7242…ac6fbacked PlayTime38c64.09$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.192951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed PlayTime37c60$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.220738.6%80 W · 127 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked BetBoom Team63c53$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6185851.3%440 W · 418 L+30.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5521…442abacked BetBoom Team64c52.67$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.961947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x09d2…26aebacked PlayTime39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-43.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3f08…e919backed BetBoom Team64c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1830834.1%105 W · 203 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked BetBoom Team65c48.38$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.9339550.1%198 W · 197 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x710b…93b0backed PlayTime37c43.24$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1612260.7%74 W · 48 L+10.7wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa0f5…57e2backed BetBoom Team62c40.32$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3250855.5%282 W · 226 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3c5…f095backed BetBoom Team65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7760660.7%368 W · 238 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5308…3221backed BetBoom Team62c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.42576%19 W · 6 L+4.7wins+0.19per pick57cpaid+37.9%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed BetBoom Team65c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780544.6%359 W · 446 L-25.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fa6…dbd6backed BetBoom Team75c16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422961.1%140 W · 89 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x910e…29bcbacked BetBoom Team64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.635147.1%24 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x59de…19babacked BetBoom Team64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.63366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+17.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.