Tennis · resolved market
Vancouver: Harry Wendelken vs Murphy Cassone
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3920d37bb0db63ac838f33fca67f296752874278814ac2b24a118930ad55c1b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Harry Wendelkenof Harry Wendelken, Murphy Cassone
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $126,193
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $128,057
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $126,193 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f71…b2e4backed Harry Wendelken | 77c | 53,873$41,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,376.26 | 226 | 62.8%142 W · 84 L | +15.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Murphy Cassone | 24c | 42,880$10,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,212.78 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Murphy Cassone | 47c | 14,348$6,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,728.18 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Murphy Cassone | 62c | 3,296$2,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,028.91 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Murphy Cassone | 60c | 2,957$1,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760.54 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa08…d98abacked Harry Wendelken | 60c | 2,490$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.38 | 249 | 62.2%155 W · 94 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Murphy Cassone | 20c | 2,312$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.72 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Murphy Cassone | 61c | 1,609$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.79 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Harry Wendelken | 77c | 1,600$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.6 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…9158backed Harry Wendelken | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.01 | 788 | 40.6%320 W · 468 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Harry Wendelken | 40c | 1,203$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.56 | 1,729 | 48.9%845 W · 884 L | +53.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7e…2ef7backed Murphy Cassone | 61c | 1,139$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.68 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Harry Wendelken | 38c | 1,045$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.3 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Murphy Cassone | 59c | 903.36$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.55 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Murphy Cassone | 61c | 783.29$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.37 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e87…e4e7backed Murphy Cassone | 2c | 742.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +115.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Harry Wendelken | 39c | 700.35$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.39 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Harry Wendelken | 40c | 581.1$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.8 | 1,679 | 48.1%808 W · 871 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Harry Wendelken | 76c | 415.79$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.79 | 528 | 54.9%290 W · 238 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0b…c814backed Murphy Cassone | 63c | 396$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.48 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Murphy Cassone | 56c | 393.95$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.46 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf068…849cbacked Harry Wendelken | 58c | 345.17$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.17 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfffa…17c5backed Murphy Cassone | 26c | 340.9$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.16 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…5c03backed Murphy Cassone | 63c | 336$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.68 | 365 | 57.3%209 W · 156 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Harry Wendelken | 79c | 327.8$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.81 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Harry Wendelken | 47c | 321.21$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.21 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x428d…8cb6backed Murphy Cassone | 61c | 318.46$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.26 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +7.8wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Harry Wendelken | 80c | 300$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 226 | 51.8%117 W · 109 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Murphy Cassone | 50c | 290.94$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.53 | 559 | 41.3%231 W · 328 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Murphy Cassone | 41c | 284.58$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.52 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Harry Wendelken | 77c | 269.5$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.86 | 256 | 59%151 W · 105 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb2…1bfcbacked Harry Wendelken | 44c | 247.5$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.8 | 280 | 55.4%155 W · 125 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3e…b9c5backed Murphy Cassone | 63c | 239$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.57 | 355 | 58.6%208 W · 147 L | +19.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x323e…1ddabacked Harry Wendelken | 46c | 210$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.4 | 635 | 37.6%239 W · 396 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Murphy Cassone | 54c | 200.7$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.7 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Murphy Cassone | 55c | 199.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.85 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Murphy Cassone | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 509 | 52.1%265 W · 244 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Murphy Cassone | 60c | 155$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.49 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Murphy Cassone | 57c | 154.16$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.55 | 396 | 48%190 W · 206 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Murphy Cassone | 8c | 149$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Harry Wendelken | 78c | 146.87$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.07 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Harry Wendelken | 41c | 139.62$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.91 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Harry Wendelken | 47c | 138$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.14 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Harry Wendelken | 38c | 130.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.4 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Murphy Cassone | 62c | 112.96$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.17 | 1,065 | 54.7%583 W · 482 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Murphy Cassone | 58c | 100.2$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.86 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Harry Wendelken | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Murphy Cassone | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 519 | 42.6%221 W · 298 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Murphy Cassone | 35c | 95.75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 431 | 44.8%193 W · 238 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Murphy Cassone | 59c | 90$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.1 | 305 | 54.4%166 W · 139 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Harry Wendelken | 44c | 66.06$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.01 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8d…7688backed Murphy Cassone | 59c | 65.29$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.71 | 331 | 65%215 W · 116 L | +22.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd033…d4c6backed Harry Wendelken | 78c | 62.74$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.81 | 44 | 77.3%34 W · 10 L | +6.9wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Murphy Cassone | 57c | 54.62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.04 | 171 | 47.4%81 W · 90 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2262…21a1backed Murphy Cassone | 62c | 54.45$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.96 | 763 | 55.6%424 W · 339 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Harry Wendelken | 38c | 52.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.38 | 414 | 40.3%167 W · 247 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Harry Wendelken | 38c | 50.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.23 | 852 | 50%426 W · 426 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Harry Wendelken | 41c | 47.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.14 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Murphy Cassone | 54c | 46.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.02 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8509…fd97backed Murphy Cassone | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Murphy Cassone | 52c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 821 | 59.4%488 W · 333 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x883e…b1f2backed Harry Wendelken | 43c | 33.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Murphy Cassone | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Harry Wendelken | 44c | 30.29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3b…880abacked Murphy Cassone | 63c | 28.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…d7b5backed Murphy Cassone | 59c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 525 | 52.4%275 W · 250 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e79…22e3backed Murphy Cassone | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 117 | 56.4%66 W · 51 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Murphy Cassone | 55c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03dd…49c8backed Murphy Cassone | 61c | 18.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 468 | 51.5%241 W · 227 L | +17.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b8…ff48backed Murphy Cassone | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 109 | 55%60 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.