MLB · resolved market
Athletics vs. Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a2f41509e8dea0f61095ac5dd5c569ed4d8092b49116b5c4dbbb3d91f11ee6c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Giantsof Athletics, Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $108,654
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $115,389
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,654 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf980…6528backed Giants | 57c | 44,117$24,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,117.19 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fb…84b5backed Athletics | 67c | 25,619$17,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,038.69 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Athletics | 43c | 20,002$8,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,700.69 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Athletics | 43c | 11,289$4,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,854.84 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Giants | 32c | 7,170$2,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,846.65 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Athletics | 42c | 5,662$2,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,352.29 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Giants | 62c | 5,490$3,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.79 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Athletics | 43c | 3,705$1,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,604.44 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Athletics | 13c | 2,320$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.6 | 51 | 15.7%8 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…a7fabacked Giants | 45c | 2,159$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.22 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Giants | 37c | 2,005$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,262.99 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbba2…5172backed Athletics | 55c | 1,890$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb39…ed7abacked Athletics | 30c | 1,835$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Athletics | 45c | 1,800$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -19.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Athletics | 42c | 1,511$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.33 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b6…2b6bbacked Giants | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…4534backed Athletics | 43c | 1,491$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.13 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe98f…a7b9backed Athletics | 68c | 1,314$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Athletics | 41c | 1,188$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.23 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Athletics | 44c | 1,178$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.94 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Athletics | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.09 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Giants | 58c | 1,040$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.12 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Athletics | 11c | 1,032$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.37 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Athletics | 43c | 997.67$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Athletics | 48c | 875.08$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.79 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…c6b8backed Athletics | 19c | 848.85$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.04 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…bdbdbacked Athletics | 63c | 634.92$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Giants | 36c | 554.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.31 | 205 | 23.4%48 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Athletics | 12c | 501.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4a…74ddbacked Athletics | 34c | 369.11$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff5c…ccbdbacked Athletics | 41c | 365.85$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…73e6backed Athletics | 42c | 350$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5080…610bbacked Athletics | 46c | 328.38$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x575e…5b86backed Athletics | 68c | 321.33$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Athletics | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4345…77fabacked Giants | 73c | 299.36$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.83 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Giants | 24c | 297.5$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.1 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Athletics | 31c | 280.48$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.95 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Athletics | 36c | 280$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb290…8ccbbacked Athletics | 71c | 276.94$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Giants | 56c | 259.48$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.57 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Giants | 29c | 218.8$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.53 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Giants | 48c | 208.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.16 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Athletics | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519f…2af7backed Athletics | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Giants | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Giants | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b5…c1cebacked Giants | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Athletics | 32c | 126.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3def…08b4backed Athletics | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x342d…bbd0backed Giants | 52c | 115.42$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2105…b560backed Giants | 57c | 110.87$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.4 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49c8…5644backed Giants | 47c | 99.6$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.84 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Giants | 37c | 91.25$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.69 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x946b…5857backed Athletics | 58c | 88.74$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.47 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Athletics | 41c | 85.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Athletics | 69c | 83.46$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.78 | 342 | 64.3%220 W · 122 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f95…9bd4backed Athletics | 63c | 78.03$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.07 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Athletics | 29c | 71.12$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aea…afe5backed Giants | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd640…7c78backed Athletics | 32c | 65.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Athletics | 71c | 56.23$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Athletics | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Athletics | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8d…5232backed Giants | 69c | 44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Giants | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64d7…512abacked Athletics | 29c | 42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Athletics | 43c | 41.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Athletics | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Giants | 59c | 38.98$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a92…65ecbacked Athletics | 59c | 38.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Giants | 69c | 38.06$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 161 | 51.6%83 W · 78 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Giants | 56c | 36.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.03 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3d…25b7backed Athletics | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x120c…89d4backed Giants | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Athletics | 44c | 33.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77d6…4fd2backed Athletics | 56c | 31.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Giants | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 177 | 32.8%58 W · 119 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd10a…91e9backed Giants | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Giants | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Athletics | 43c | 29.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Giants | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 203 | 67%136 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55a4…3658backed Athletics | 44c | 27.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 43cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Giants | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda0b…f4f6backed Athletics | 72c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Giants | 71c | 24.01$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…d0e3backed Athletics | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bce…c476backed Athletics | 62c | 19.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9aa…e4a5backed Giants | 58c | 18.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.