Tennis · resolved market
Figueira Da Foz: Martyna Kubka vs Aliona Falei
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a383399a23b3819ac6a0c371efcd4b8da85821209f98784ddfb7dd23e2780d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Martyna Kubkaof Martyna Kubka, Aliona Falei
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,609
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,410
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,609 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Aliona Falei | 42c | 14,503$6,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,030.39 | 937 | 40.6%380 W · 557 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa82a…a759backed Aliona Falei | 66c | 10,000$6,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,599.92 | 339 | 55.2%187 W · 152 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Aliona Falei | 28c | 7,172$1,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,983.73 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Aliona Falei | 35c | 3,445$1,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,201.54 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Aliona Falei | 35c | 2,494$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.98 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Martyna Kubka | 34c | 2,405$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,587.15 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Martyna Kubka | 54c | 2,205$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.18 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Martyna Kubka | 76c | 1,933$1,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.46 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Aliona Falei | 30c | 1,402$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.9 | 1,062 | 42%446 W · 616 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Martyna Kubka | 71c | 1,393$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.61 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Martyna Kubka | 34c | 1,250$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825 | 1,363 | 38.3%522 W · 841 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Martyna Kubka | 36c | 999.96$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.76 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Martyna Kubka | 34c | 878$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.48 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Aliona Falei | 35c | 819.1$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.69 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Martyna Kubka | 41c | 662.54$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.54 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Martyna Kubka | 35c | 600$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Martyna Kubka | 34c | 480.88$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.38 | 391 | 49.1%192 W · 199 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Martyna Kubka | 35c | 400.31$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.32 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Martyna Kubka | 42c | 216.99$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.86 | 389 | 52.2%203 W · 186 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…88ecbacked Aliona Falei | 67c | 212.09$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.1 | 525 | 57%299 W · 226 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Martyna Kubka | 44c | 207.19$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.14 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Aliona Falei | 63c | 200.46$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.46 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Martyna Kubka | 40c | 184.6$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.76 | 737 | 48%354 W · 383 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87d1…3744backed Martyna Kubka | 58c | 170.69$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.69 | 1,104 | 66.9%739 W · 365 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Aliona Falei | 67c | 147.06$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.53 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…95b1backed Martyna Kubka | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 222 | 35.1%78 W · 144 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Martyna Kubka | 73c | 144.7$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.62 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Martyna Kubka | 34c | 122$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.52 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Aliona Falei | 67c | 119.34$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.96 | 132 | 43.9%58 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Martyna Kubka | 46c | 112$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.22 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Martyna Kubka | 34c | 102.94$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.94 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04c7…c7a7backed Martyna Kubka | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.8 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16f3…e1eebacked Martyna Kubka | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.99 | 117 | 45.3%53 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Aliona Falei | 50c | 97.5$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.67 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2db2…84fdbacked Aliona Falei | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 54cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Aliona Falei | 26c | 87.65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 585 | 39.5%231 W · 354 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1400…765dbacked Martyna Kubka | 47c | 84.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.07 | 327 | 32.1%105 W · 222 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Martyna Kubka | 35c | 71.48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.48 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a85…e543backed Aliona Falei | 16c | 71.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 214 | 55.1%118 W · 96 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Martyna Kubka | 71c | 70.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.59 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0a…ea32backed Aliona Falei | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 436 | 18.3%80 W · 356 L | -21.4wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Martyna Kubka | 34c | 65$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.15 | 678 | 48.4%328 W · 350 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Martyna Kubka | 66c | 62.2$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Martyna Kubka | 40c | 60.07$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.02 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Martyna Kubka | 36c | 60$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.7 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Aliona Falei | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 437 | 50.3%220 W · 217 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Martyna Kubka | 34c | 59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.94 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Martyna Kubka | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 692 | 53.3%369 W · 323 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee0…1006backed Martyna Kubka | 72c | 55.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.47 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…388abacked Martyna Kubka | 39c | 54$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.94 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…8ff7backed Martyna Kubka | 34c | 54$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 394 | 43.9%173 W · 221 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Aliona Falei | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Aliona Falei | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Aliona Falei | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0813…41e1backed Aliona Falei | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 371 | 58.8%218 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x626d…e570backed Martyna Kubka | 35c | 45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 520 | 35.2%183 W · 337 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Martyna Kubka | 39c | 44.66$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.09 | 788 | 47.5%374 W · 414 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Martyna Kubka | 34c | 43.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Martyna Kubka | 39c | 42.43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 606 | 51.8%314 W · 292 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55c6…0d49backed Martyna Kubka | 80c | 36.75$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 43 | 81.4%35 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 78cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Martyna Kubka | 65c | 35.76$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 1,429 | 44.2%631 W · 798 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Aliona Falei | 61c | 31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf23a…50f6backed Aliona Falei | 56c | 30.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -46%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Aliona Falei | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 449 | 52.8%237 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Martyna Kubka | 52c | 28.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8678…b755backed Martyna Kubka | 65c | 26.45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Aliona Falei | 58c | 25.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 410 | 45.1%185 W · 225 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Aliona Falei | 64c | 22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Martyna Kubka | 69c | 20.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 391 | 61.4%240 W · 151 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf051…900ebacked Martyna Kubka | 51c | 19.97$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.78 | 103 | 68.9%71 W · 32 L | +8.9wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe4…f12fbacked Aliona Falei | 61c | 18.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 586 | 65.5%384 W · 202 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Aliona Falei | 67c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 256 | 59%151 W · 105 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…fba8backed Martyna Kubka | 71c | 14.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.17 | 380 | 74.5%283 W · 97 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.