TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Centurion: Edward Winter vs Robert Strombachs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Edward Winterof Edward Winter, Robert Strombachs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$35,503
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$38,919

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,503 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x160b…4296backed Edward Winter47c2,886$1,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,529.611,65849.9%828 W · 830 L+7.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Robert Strombachs53c2,854$1,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,511.0357842.4%245 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Edward Winter47c2,414$1,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,270.11,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Robert Strombachs23c2,030$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.6811,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Robert Strombachs30c1,937$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.316,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d46…3e2dbacked Edward Winter79c1,646$1,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.989631.3%30 W · 66 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+22.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x68b5…b56fbacked Robert Strombachs54c1,476$797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$796.953743.2%16 W · 21 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-23.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Edward Winter72c1,307$939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.724,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Robert Strombachs51c1,274$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.991,86544.7%834 W · 1,031 L+36.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Robert Strombachs36c1,245$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.378,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Edward Winter60c1,201$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.811,22841.1%505 W · 723 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Edward Winter49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51085634.2%293 W · 563 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed24…c04abacked Robert Strombachs1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Robert Strombachs21c991.39$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.192,08544.5%928 W · 1,157 L-51.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Edward Winter70c978.15$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.454,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6982…a165backed Edward Winter78c881.05$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.8362956.9%358 W · 271 L+0.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb06…adccbacked Edward Winter78c745.04$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.911241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick61cpaid-42.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Robert Strombachs52c724.07$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.521,86545.6%851 W · 1,014 L+50.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Robert Strombachs35c720.44$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.745,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Robert Strombachs39c482.15$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.434,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2de6…fb10backed Robert Strombachs53c439.62$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23345256.2%254 W · 198 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Edward Winter47c416.67$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.841,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Robert Strombachs53c400$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21258745.7%268 W · 319 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Robert Strombachs29c395.67$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.088,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Robert Strombachs53c336.39$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.283,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed Edward Winter77c324.92$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.9219167%128 W · 63 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcacf…c5e1backed Edward Winter80c300$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602871.4%20 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Robert Strombachs55c277.56$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.671,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Robert Strombachs24c276.88$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.111,01039.2%396 W · 614 L-23.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Edward Winter58c258.83$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.59,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Robert Strombachs28c250.38$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.8635032.3%113 W · 237 L-9.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Edward Winter47c250.29$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.833,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Edward Winter70c221.62$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.392,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe4c9…8803backed Robert Strombachs54c215.59$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.4213743.1%59 W · 78 L+9.1wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x60a3…3850backed Robert Strombachs24c213.56$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.9685624.4%209 W · 647 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Edward Winter47c212.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.875,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Edward Winter56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881,68150%841 W · 840 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb897…c669backed Edward Winter75c200$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.22334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-46.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Robert Strombachs52c190.93$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.287,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ba7…67a1backed Robert Strombachs54c176.28$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.1965942.2%278 W · 381 L-25.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x17be…e5b4backed Edward Winter79c175.06$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.626749.3%33 W · 34 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x74bd…d371backed Robert Strombachs8c134.96$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.842125.7%108 W · 313 L-0.4wins0.00per pick26cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd96…11a3backed Edward Winter79c125.49$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.492,27458%1,318 W · 956 L-10.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a00…9158backed Edward Winter73c122.83$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.1678840.6%320 W · 468 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Edward Winter69c120$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.292548.8%451 W · 474 L+20.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Edward Winter73c117.72$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.513,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb17c…c428backed Robert Strombachs21c114.64$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.071346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Edward Winter58c112.89$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.893,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Edward Winter55c108.12$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.123,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87e8…5e6ebacked Robert Strombachs54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5441955.8%234 W · 185 L-0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16cf…f719backed Robert Strombachs54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548442.9%36 W · 48 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Robert Strombachs19c95.78$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.022,04946.8%958 W · 1,091 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7578…a514backed Robert Strombachs37c95.34$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+59.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe99…506bbacked Robert Strombachs53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5067852.1%353 W · 325 L-2.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x639e…a9d4backed Robert Strombachs54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506750.7%34 W · 33 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Robert Strombachs53c92.06$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491,63955.1%903 W · 736 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Robert Strombachs28c83.6$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.22,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b85…b31bbacked Robert Strombachs25c78.88$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011541.7%48 W · 67 L+0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Robert Strombachs52c77.71$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.411,12551.1%575 W · 550 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Edward Winter69c77.64$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.075,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Edward Winter59c75.93$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.234,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Robert Strombachs55c72$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.41,72552.2%901 W · 824 L-8.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Robert Strombachs30c66.17$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.992,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed Robert Strombachs33c60$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.643750.3%220 W · 217 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Edward Winter69c60$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.679052.9%418 W · 372 L+24.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Robert Strombachs53c45$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.852,24742.7%960 W · 1,287 L+33.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x53ae…f71ebacked Edward Winter74c43.98$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4939039.5%154 W · 236 L-46.8wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-30.8%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Edward Winter47c39.62$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ea9…5b98backed Robert Strombachs28c39.33$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.923119.4%6 W · 25 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-47.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b2a…0a73backed Robert Strombachs52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2094058.4%549 W · 391 L+21.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Edward Winter69c36$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.1647649.6%236 W · 240 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8ad…7889backed Edward Winter75c35.83$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8456070.7%396 W · 164 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick73cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x985d…33c9backed Edward Winter49c32.29$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.311,30036.9%480 W · 820 L-34.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcea…bd87backed Robert Strombachs32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+20%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Edward Winter47c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.947854.8%262 W · 216 L+25.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Robert Strombachs50c28.6$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.342353.7%227 W · 196 L-1.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e7a…2c0abacked Edward Winter47c28.12$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.915060%90 W · 60 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Robert Strombachs55c27.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.11,85357.7%1,069 W · 784 L+106.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+3.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9ef1…5acabacked Robert Strombachs52c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131,79460.2%1,080 W · 714 L+6.8wins0.00per pick60cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72a0…9bc4backed Edward Winter70c22.2$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6647274.4%351 W · 121 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick73cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Robert Strombachs53c21.21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.242,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57bd…1c8cbacked Edward Winter50c20.36$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.13455.9%19 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbafb…3031backed Edward Winter77c20.28$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.5733673.2%246 W · 90 L-15.2wins-0.05per pick78cpaid-5.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked Edward Winter71c18.76$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.4452854.9%290 W · 238 L+20.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6770…5bdfbacked Edward Winter77c15.26$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.4496945.9%445 W · 524 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7363…52e3backed Edward Winter77c14.27$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.