College Football · resolved market
Ohio vs. Rutgers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b1043623f337aea5ed152ae3a8812f348afa88163a7d2923696394a611f7191
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rutgersof Ohio, Rutgers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,477
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,113
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,477 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Ohio | 14c | 2,387$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.22 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Ohio | 14c | 2,351$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.2 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…8091backed Ohio | 24c | 2,085$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.92 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Ohio | 13c | 1,804$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.56 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Ohio | 4c | 1,791$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.46 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Ohio | 17c | 1,520$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.94 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Ohio | 16c | 1,408$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.27 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Ohio | 2c | 1,071$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.26 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Ohio | 14c | 999.97$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Ohio | 1c | 996.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 69 | 4.3%3 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Ohio | 2c | 831$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 237 | 0.8%2 W · 235 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -98.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Ohio | 1c | 800$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 79 | 0%0 W · 79 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Rutgers | 79c | 757.91$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.07 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Ohio | 12c | 680.5$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.38 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Ohio | 14c | 581.1$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.35 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 36cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Ohio | 20c | 504.44$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.3 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Ohio | 14c | 496.32$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.49 | 405 | 49.4%200 W · 205 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Ohio | 6c | 412.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Rutgers | 71c | 396.05$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.95 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x396a…0fddbacked Ohio | 27c | 370.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Ohio | 14c | 349.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…b5c7backed Ohio | 15c | 327$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.05 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5c…1d65backed Rutgers | 78c | 320.7$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 58cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Ohio | 18c | 313.95$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.17 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…5752backed Ohio | 22c | 280.04$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39a8…f170backed Ohio | 20c | 279.05$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.02 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Ohio | 7c | 273.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea8…6e3dbacked Ohio | 20c | 263.73$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Ohio | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 94 | 20.2%19 W · 75 L | -8.0wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf339…e010backed Ohio | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Ohio | 14c | 199.78$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.97 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Rutgers | 79c | 195.58$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.05 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Ohio | 13c | 182.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…f0f8backed Ohio | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 14cpaid | -87.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Ohio | 13c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Ohio | 11c | 150$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Ohio | 15c | 150$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 207 | 57.5%119 W · 88 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe81…5fe9backed Rutgers | 79c | 111.54$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -4.7wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -43%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Ohio | 20c | 104.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3095…8e0ebacked Ohio | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3222…2823backed Ohio | 32c | 99.97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…3ce7backed Ohio | 15c | 76.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42a2…9bbabacked Ohio | 14c | 74.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Ohio | 15c | 73.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 148 | 36.5%54 W · 94 L | -11.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Rutgers | 80c | 25.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.03 | 128 | 57%73 W · 55 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.