MLB · resolved market
KBO: NC Dinos vs. Lotte Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b2b7a92b21a8205cf48e785be46fadf3b8427caf24a2696269a65e597241b2f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lotte Giantsof NC Dinos, Lotte Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,722
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,355
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,722 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed NC Dinos | 43c | 2,586$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.2 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed NC Dinos | 49c | 2,037$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.7 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Lotte Giants | 51c | 1,795$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.78 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed NC Dinos | 54c | 831.41$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.48 | 274 | 46.7%128 W · 146 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Lotte Giants | 52c | 699$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.73 | 1,386 | 50.6%702 W · 684 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Lotte Giants | 70c | 381.33$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.83 | 856 | 35.7%306 W · 550 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d3…8a20backed NC Dinos | 49c | 326$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.03 | 65 | 72.3%47 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9950…1432backed Lotte Giants | 58c | 226.67$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.35 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed NC Dinos | 34c | 223.12$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.4 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed NC Dinos | 58c | 194.93$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.44 | 755 | 44.2%334 W · 421 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Lotte Giants | 52c | 143$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.64 | 303 | 40.6%123 W · 180 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Lotte Giants | 51c | 135$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.15 | 226 | 52.2%118 W · 108 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked NC Dinos | 56c | 128$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.87 | 1,819 | 49.3%896 W · 923 L | -24.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Lotte Giants | 78c | 127$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.94 | 1,106 | 79.6%880 W · 226 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9c…06c6backed NC Dinos | 52c | 126.42$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.72 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Lotte Giants | 53c | 123.26$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.93 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed NC Dinos | 47c | 118.26$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.58 | 1,219 | 53.9%657 W · 562 L | +32.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Lotte Giants | 52c | 118$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.64 | 778 | 52.2%406 W · 372 L | +36.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Lotte Giants | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.8 | 168 | 61.9%104 W · 64 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Lotte Giants | 76c | 99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.32 | 182 | 44.5%81 W · 101 L | -14.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Lotte Giants | 72c | 95$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.34 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed Lotte Giants | 53c | 84.9$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.96 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Lotte Giants | 45c | 75$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.25 | 483 | 43.3%209 W · 274 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked NC Dinos | 38c | 72.01$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.51 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked NC Dinos | 43c | 70.26$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.19 | 2,546 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,378 L | -74.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70bb…10d3backed NC Dinos | 56c | 67.27$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.58 | 287 | 50.9%146 W · 141 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x656a…6077backed Lotte Giants | 52c | 67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.96 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b89…9f72backed Lotte Giants | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Lotte Giants | 67c | 48.69$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 476 | 46.8%223 W · 253 L | +27.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed NC Dinos | 58c | 47.41$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed NC Dinos | 40c | 45.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.23 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed NC Dinos | 47c | 44.23$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 2,995 | 47.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L | +12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea50…667dbacked Lotte Giants | 47c | 42.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Lotte Giants | 35c | 38.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.07 | 634 | 54.3%344 W · 290 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Lotte Giants | 45c | 36.44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.04 | 570 | 58.4%333 W · 237 L | +27.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed Lotte Giants | 68c | 31.18$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2db9…cdc5backed Lotte Giants | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed NC Dinos | 46c | 26.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 600 | 39%234 W · 366 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Lotte Giants | 54c | 26.09$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1,201 | 49.1%590 W · 611 L | +20.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked NC Dinos | 47c | 22.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.