Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b2e826eb678d7b31b316c5ffde8a70ad9b5f7a09c9b097c549326e3841ebf8e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,906
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,194
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,906 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd36…a832backed Yes | 52c | 1,122$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.14 | 650 | 43.4%282 W · 368 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab4…5a40backed Yes | 76c | 1,045$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 12c | 356.84$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.07 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 45c | 334.31$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.25 | 259 | 33.6%87 W · 172 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 40c | 234.51$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.25 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…3360backed Yes | 41c | 227.27$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.2 | 281 | 42%118 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 45c | 219.8$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.94 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba96…95a7backed Yes | 56c | 212.56$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 240 | 29.2%70 W · 170 L | -15.8wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4c…830abacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 61 | 4.9%3 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3204…b1dbbacked Yes | 45c | 181.62$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.92 | 62 | 27.4%17 W · 45 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 49c | 162.85$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.15 | 999 | 63.5%634 W · 365 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 40c | 155.43$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.92 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked No | 43c | 147$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.1 | 564 | 24.5%138 W · 426 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef0…62e0backed No | 41c | 146$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.14 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 41c | 143.7$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 43c | 140.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.83 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9388…ad42backed No | 59c | 139.29$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 139 | 59.7%83 W · 56 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 34c | 127.98$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.89 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 45c | 119$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.48 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a87…a55abacked Yes | 50c | 118.92$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.9 | 1,112 | 35.1%390 W · 722 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c48…6b72backed Yes | 55c | 118.54$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.12 | 452 | 38.5%174 W · 278 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 37c | 112.46$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.75 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 50c | 110.92$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.97 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d8…56bbbacked Yes | 59c | 101.87$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.1 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f73…a5f2backed Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.28 | 158 | 43%68 W · 90 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87a2…af52backed Yes | 58c | 92.82$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.13 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1342…c430backed No | 48c | 88.85$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 22c | 88.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8edc…80d8backed No | 60c | 83.89$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.26 | 1,179 | 56.4%665 W · 514 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 47c | 83.05$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.84 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 58c | 82.85$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.71 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes | 39c | 77.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 1,227 | 33.9%416 W · 811 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbca…cb90backed Yes | 42c | 69.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 52c | 67.61$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.45 | 503 | 73.2%368 W · 135 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7c…b00dbacked No | 55c | 59.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 786 | 63.6%500 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 32c | 58.15$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4374…3d05backed No | 52c | 57.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.48 | 341 | 51.3%175 W · 166 L | -26.9wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9838…8469backed Yes | 37c | 54.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed Yes | 56c | 53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 1,010 | 40.3%407 W · 603 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x470b…c331backed No | 45c | 50.53$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.61 | 147 | 44.2%65 W · 82 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa75f…433abacked Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…0304backed No | 39c | 48.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.98 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 50c | 46.9$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3209…0508backed Yes | 45c | 45.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe422…4d64backed No | 41c | 44.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.55 | 2,065 | 43.6%900 W · 1,165 L | -11.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbf…f003backed Yes | 51c | 43.79$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 306 | 52.6%161 W · 145 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe055…3157backed No | 57c | 43.63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.76 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +6.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 62c | 42.16$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f33…1ab8backed No | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +4.6wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd6…092abacked No | 47c | 40.59$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.39 | 247 | 36%89 W · 158 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd0…f4cabacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked No | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 1,061 | 47.9%508 W · 553 L | +32.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81ab…5f31backed Yes | 65c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 289 | 46.4%134 W · 155 L | -14.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 56c | 39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8297…d600backed Yes | 57c | 38.12$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1735…0319backed No | 44c | 37.45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 1,480 | 15.6%231 W · 1,249 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 49c | 37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.77 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5964…35dfbacked No | 37c | 35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.02 | 1,279 | 33.6%430 W · 849 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 48c | 34.01$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24a4…d98cbacked Yes | 57c | 34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…f434backed No | 60c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 475 | 69.5%330 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27c5…0d4cbacked No | 46c | 32.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 127 | 58.3%74 W · 53 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffd…e7c6backed No | 52c | 32.55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 516 | 31.6%163 W · 353 L | -29.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…ae9bbacked No | 42c | 32.36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.69 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 60c | 32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 64c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…8262backed No | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 379 | 42.2%160 W · 219 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed No | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec4…ce94backed No | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec7c…7ad4backed Yes | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 190 | 37.4%71 W · 119 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1ba2backed No | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86c2…8010backed No | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 1,271 | 47.6%605 W · 666 L | -25.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf6…24f9backed Yes | 54c | 29.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -8.1wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 55c | 29.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d0…69c9backed Yes | 54c | 29.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd4…ea0ebacked No | 50c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 438 | 59.6%261 W · 177 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x139e…a5debacked No | 53c | 28.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.08 | 249 | 51.4%128 W · 121 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73dd…1f06backed Yes | 55c | 28.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebf0…2330backed No | 39c | 26.79$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +24.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbf…002fbacked No | 50c | 25.74$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | +19.9wins | +0.18per pick | 35cpaid | +424.1%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbd85…7a3dbacked No | 62c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 1,050 | 51.2%538 W · 512 L | -99.4wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7903…57f6backed No | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 277 | 69%191 W · 86 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc80f…6147backed Yes | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 525 | 33.7%177 W · 348 L | +22.8wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +32%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…e682backed No | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.93 | 258 | 68.2%176 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb040…ef71backed No | 56c | 24.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 113 | 62.8%71 W · 42 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…25cabacked Yes | 60c | 22.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 122 | 33.6%41 W · 81 L | -10.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85c8…80f8backed No | 57c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 391 | 58.1%227 W · 164 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25e9…adbcbacked Yes | 71c | 21.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7d…fd73backed No | 49c | 20.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -7.0wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf43…66f5backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84b9…7f7fbacked Yes | 69c | 17.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 357 | 42.9%153 W · 204 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…6597backed No | 63c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 995 | 71.1%707 W · 288 L | +22.0wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 14?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 14?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.