Tennis · resolved market
Hagen: Zdenek Kolar vs Raul Brancaccio
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c821a5e190693c652b3f0590812ea551f6506eac9dc3877d0c6f9e954ec6e82
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raul Brancaccioof Zdenek Kolar, Raul Brancaccio
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,048
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,759
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,048 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Raul Brancaccio | 43c | 1,514$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.34 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Zdenek Kolar | 55c | 1,158$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.15 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Zdenek Kolar | 1c | 889.77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b0…5294backed Raul Brancaccio | 55c | 655$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.75 | 458 | 50.7%232 W · 226 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Zdenek Kolar | 53c | 404.62$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.4 | 301 | 32.9%99 W · 202 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e0…2e6bbacked Zdenek Kolar | 31c | 299.98$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.99 | 517 | 44.7%231 W · 286 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2374…a426backed Zdenek Kolar | 44c | 239.44$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.94 | 873 | 37.1%324 W · 549 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Raul Brancaccio | 44c | 239$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.03 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Zdenek Kolar | 44c | 183.23$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.36 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Zdenek Kolar | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x323e…1ddabacked Raul Brancaccio | 43c | 162.37$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.1 | 635 | 37.6%239 W · 396 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73e5…e3d8backed Raul Brancaccio | 53c | 134.31$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.05 | 335 | 50.7%170 W · 165 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca0…4b69backed Zdenek Kolar | 31c | 121.59$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.51 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Zdenek Kolar | 56c | 120$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 331 | 34.7%115 W · 216 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Zdenek Kolar | 57c | 111.53$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.79 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8558…8615backed Raul Brancaccio | 66c | 111.3$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.04 | 311 | 64.3%200 W · 111 L | +36.4wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Zdenek Kolar | 43c | 108.96$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.91 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Zdenek Kolar | 12c | 106.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…55f8backed Zdenek Kolar | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2064…0ab1backed Zdenek Kolar | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 398 | 44.2%176 W · 222 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Zdenek Kolar | 46c | 95.53$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.98 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Zdenek Kolar | 14c | 92.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79e9…80b1backed Zdenek Kolar | 34c | 80$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 332 | 28.3%94 W · 238 L | -12.0wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Raul Brancaccio | 65c | 72.04$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.21 | 481 | 52%250 W · 231 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Raul Brancaccio | 71c | 70$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 978 | 52%509 W · 469 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Zdenek Kolar | 57c | 66.9$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.13 | 695 | 45.8%318 W · 377 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1491…69ddbacked Zdenek Kolar | 57c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Raul Brancaccio | 69c | 59.48$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.44 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Raul Brancaccio | 46c | 58.28$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.38 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…eaa5backed Raul Brancaccio | 43c | 57.62$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.62 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Raul Brancaccio | 59c | 56.81$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Zdenek Kolar | 47c | 55.32$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 519 | 42.6%221 W · 298 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Raul Brancaccio | 53c | 41.91$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 429 | 46.4%199 W · 230 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03dd…49c8backed Raul Brancaccio | 45c | 39.21$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 468 | 51.5%241 W · 227 L | +17.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Zdenek Kolar | 36c | 36.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed1…18a8backed Zdenek Kolar | 60c | 35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9755…ab85backed Raul Brancaccio | 43c | 34.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Zdenek Kolar | 38c | 28.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 621 | 40.7%253 W · 368 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Zdenek Kolar | 59c | 20.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Zdenek Kolar | 57c | 19.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Raul Brancaccio | 54c | 18.77$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 277 | 49.1%136 W · 141 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked Raul Brancaccio | 76c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.82 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04fc…eba1backed Raul Brancaccio | 69c | 15.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.81 | 124 | 67.7%84 W · 40 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.