Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3cd3c630fe0ca688271e8ed59153e820251478773c8e1d3053fa8ec4e04f32a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,818
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,094
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,818 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 29c | 590.87$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.19 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 66c | 300$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.07 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked Yes | 29c | 244.51$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.99 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…1821backed Yes | 37c | 210.71$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.72 | 1,061 | 53.2%564 W · 497 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 32c | 204.08$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.52 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 73c | 195.61$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.24 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 71c | 190.43$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.22 | 538 | 55%296 W · 242 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 31c | 176.37$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.82 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…d59abacked Yes | 30c | 160$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 1,298 | 41.7%541 W · 757 L | +53.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 25c | 148.61$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.45 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 67c | 139.93$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.18 | 1,082 | 65.6%710 W · 372 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaac4…efa0backed No | 63c | 136.77$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.19 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 68c | 130$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.55 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x726e…aafbbacked No | 58c | 116.5$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.86 | 232 | 69%160 W · 72 L | +23.7wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…dbffbacked Yes | 30c | 100.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.85 | 1,122 | 24.4%274 W · 848 L | +24.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 971 | 52.2%507 W · 464 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe307…da09backed Yes | 32c | 97.45$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed Yes | 28c | 83.41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.35 | 775 | 55.2%428 W · 347 L | -13.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked Yes | 34c | 83.03$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 38c | 76.28$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.64 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2f…e889backed No | 59c | 75.66$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.03 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 30c | 72.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x759d…cc80backed Yes | 34c | 72.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 778 | 51.9%404 W · 374 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 30c | 68.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c76…c8d5backed Yes | 43c | 61$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.23 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 44cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 50c | 59.51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.51 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 70c | 59.23$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.77 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 74c | 58.43$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1a…8572backed No | 59c | 58.25$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.06 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa96…99a5backed No | 62c | 57.14$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.91 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 68c | 56.41$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.32 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5675…f6a6backed No | 66c | 56.09$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe01…87d3backed Yes | 26c | 53.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 303 | 32.3%98 W · 205 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 59c | 52.15$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.53 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…89d9backed Yes | 33c | 51.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 293 | 45.1%132 W · 161 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 70c | 50.19$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.06 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebdb…5ac4backed Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 850 | 49.8%423 W · 427 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…3667backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 123 | 34.1%42 W · 81 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c2…f88bbacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 99 | 60.6%60 W · 39 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe67c…3de5backed Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…a3bbbacked Yes | 36c | 48.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.41 | 876 | 29.2%256 W · 620 L | -53.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed Yes | 31c | 48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 67c | 46.04$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e9…f1ccbacked No | 60c | 45.1$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.16 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed Yes | 28c | 44.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ab…ea2fbacked Yes | 34c | 43.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 176 | 37.5%66 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50b1…0793backed Yes | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 436 | 63.5%277 W · 159 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3c…c6d8backed Yes | 32c | 38.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e7…ed80backed Yes | 33c | 35.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…bcacbacked Yes | 30c | 35.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6d…11c6backed Yes | 34c | 32.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204c…b31dbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ad…c303backed No | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +25%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa760…2c51backed No | 76c | 28.87$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.01 | 212 | 64.6%137 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…9ac2backed No | 71c | 28.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +8.5wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +24%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fa…4531backed Yes | 36c | 27.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 319 | 36.1%115 W · 204 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5239…4134backed No | 59c | 24.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 84 | 66.7%56 W · 28 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +36%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6a09…9b7fbacked No | 63c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 158 | 50.6%80 W · 78 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…7367backed No | 65c | 22.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 1,896 | 61.5%1,166 W · 730 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd4…5cfcbacked No | 69c | 22.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 572 | 64.5%369 W · 203 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4a…f61bbacked No | 69c | 21.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.83 | 545 | 47.7%260 W · 285 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf5…c9fdbacked No | 70c | 21.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 905 | 55.6%503 W · 402 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…df91backed No | 69c | 18.82$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 945 | 52.5%496 W · 449 L | +27.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 69c | 18.82$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.82 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eab…2caabacked No | 70c | 17.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 445 | 67%298 W · 147 L | +17.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x194b…2a11backed No | 70c | 17.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 288 | 66.3%191 W · 97 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 72c | 16.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.55 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 70c | 14.72$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f12…59ddbacked No | 70c | 14.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 940 | 66.4%624 W · 316 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 71c | 14.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 25?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on June 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 25?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on June 25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.