TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Spread: Mirassol FC (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Santos FCof Mirassol FC, Santos FC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$106,228

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,228 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf5f9…87b0backed Mirassol FC31c99,999$30,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,983.2818352.5%96 W · 87 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Santos FC69c35,435$24,486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,949.518,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Santos FC69c31,508$21,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,763.4123354.9%128 W · 105 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Santos FC69c9,131$6,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,830.598153.1%43 W · 38 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Santos FC69c6,059$4,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,878.375,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Santos FC69c5,197$3,591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,605.793,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed Santos FC69c3,500$2,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0855259.6%31 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Santos FC69c2,787$1,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862.6537851.3%194 W · 184 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Santos FC69c1,500$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4653652.8%19 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Mirassol FC28c1,136$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.7811323.9%27 W · 86 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Santos FC69c1,000$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-51.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed Santos FC69c500$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1554656.5%26 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed Santos FC70c477.81$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.349649%47 W · 49 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Santos FC69c443.53$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.4620953.1%111 W · 98 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Santos FC69c400$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1244153.7%22 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7377…e218backed Mirassol FC27c308.21$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x039e…0b85backed Santos FC73c308.21$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74fc…9118backed Santos FC74c304$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.04250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1c1…732fbacked Mirassol FC26c304$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ec8…846ebacked Mirassol FC25c300$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09bf…70c1backed Santos FC75c300$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6041…3326backed Mirassol FC27c276$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.52250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick26cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Santos FC69c255.78$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.7535758%207 W · 150 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+22.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb61f…976abacked Santos FC79c253.29$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.293066.7%20 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Santos FC69c236.03$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.789162.6%57 W · 34 L+0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Santos FC70c227.79$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.236056.7%34 W · 26 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90a5…7759backed Santos FC69c214.04$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.32666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Santos FC69c169.6$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.7719460.3%117 W · 77 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Santos FC69c150$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.53951.3%20 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Santos FC69c150$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.53151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Santos FC69c150$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.512761.4%78 W · 49 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Santos FC69c143.75$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.2513557%77 W · 58 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1762…c83ebacked Santos FC70c142.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Mirassol FC26c136.49$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.911,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Santos FC69c125$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.755160.8%31 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Santos FC69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314654.3%25 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Santos FC69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316558.5%38 W · 27 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Santos FC69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3117960.3%108 W · 71 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe013…1ddcbacked Santos FC71c99.98$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.994252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Santos FC69c90$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.97055.7%39 W · 31 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Santos FC69c75$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.257856.4%44 W · 34 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Santos FC69c70$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.76162.3%38 W · 23 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8007…4245backed Mirassol FC32c68.75$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222433.3%8 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Mirassol FC31c67$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.774139%16 W · 25 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Mirassol FC29c66.11$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0427053%143 W · 127 L+8.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Santos FC69c65.88$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.425554.5%30 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Santos FC70c65.26$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.592,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Santos FC69c60$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.63050%15 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Santos FC69c60$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.63948.7%19 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Santos FC69c60$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.63348.5%16 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Santos FC69c60$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.64050%20 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Santos FC69c60$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.64353.5%23 W · 20 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Santos FC69c60$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.66962.3%43 W · 26 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Santos FC69c60$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.62955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Santos FC69c60$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.65151%26 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde66…be48backed Santos FC69c59.99$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.64963.3%31 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcfd6…05cbbacked Santos FC69c50.72$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.723658.3%21 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Santos FC69c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.52853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Santos FC69c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.57153.5%38 W · 33 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed Santos FC74c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1317066.5%113 W · 57 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Santos FC69c44.62$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.839759.8%58 W · 39 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e72…54f0backed Santos FC69c36.23$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.238263.4%52 W · 30 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Mirassol FC28c35.72$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1171619.7%141 W · 575 L-49.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb2ef…39febacked Santos FC69c33.21$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.21250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-27.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d61…d43cbacked Santos FC69c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.32951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Santos FC69c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.33151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Santos FC69c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.32748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Santos FC69c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.32951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7253…9190backed Santos FC69c28.98$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.981136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-38.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb226…4469backed Santos FC72c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.895754.4%31 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Mirassol FC76c25.8$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7310550.5%53 W · 52 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Santos FC69c25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.752857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Santos FC69c25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.752951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Santos FC69c25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.754052.5%21 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0338…6562backed Santos FC71c24.04$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef19…18cfbacked Santos FC71c24$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Santos FC60c21.3$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.491,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa845…c591backed Santos FC72c20.31$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.69250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked Santos FC69c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.22454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed Santos FC69c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.22646.2%12 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-20.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x18b6…988dbacked Santos FC69c18.84$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.844075%30 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76be…5da1backed Santos FC70c16.88$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.152100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Santos FC70c15.93$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.716061.7%37 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Santos FC75c15.5$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.8713050.8%66 W · 64 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2344…6ba3backed Santos FC69c15.12$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.695940.7%24 W · 35 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe58a…1357backed Santos FC73c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.