TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Philadelphia: Simona Waltert vs Fiona Crawley

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Fiona Crawleyof Simona Waltert, Fiona Crawley
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$93,133
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$95,459

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,133 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Fiona Crawley50c17,569$8,811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,757.898,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Simona Waltert50c14,180$7,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,158.6211,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Fiona Crawley43c6,000$2,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,4202,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Fiona Crawley76c4,730$3,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,130.244,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb38a…3293backed Simona Waltert32c4,388$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4003339.4%13 W · 20 L-4.2wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-33%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Simona Waltert62c3,000$1,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8604,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Simona Waltert28c2,718$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.848,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Fiona Crawley43c2,009$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,139.524,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Fiona Crawley62c1,624$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.43,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x50ca…bfddbacked Simona Waltert24c1,476$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35060342%253 W · 350 L+11.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae6a…de5ebacked Simona Waltert21c1,455$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30024459.4%145 W · 99 L+21.7wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Simona Waltert22c1,339$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.511,36543.3%591 W · 774 L-26.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Fiona Crawley53c999.98$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.9983447.5%396 W · 438 L-2.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Simona Waltert59c940.96$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.551,62449.8%809 W · 815 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Simona Waltert8c893.45$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.014,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Fiona Crawley50c856$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42888358.2%514 W · 369 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Simona Waltert5c625.84$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030053.7%161 W · 139 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Simona Waltert49c612.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Simona Waltert47c580$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.644,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Simona Waltert30c538$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.785,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Fiona Crawley49c400$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2049,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c2b…9b9ebacked Simona Waltert67c397.54$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.364369.8%30 W · 13 L+5.6wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+14.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdf2d…54cfbacked Simona Waltert29c385$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.451241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5513…de2abacked Simona Waltert24c330.07$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.6378838.2%301 W · 487 L-15.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Simona Waltert35c317.06$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.426,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Fiona Crawley46c302.17$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.171,77648.6%863 W · 913 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x085d…c89ebacked Simona Waltert42c300$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1258752.9%46 W · 41 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed Simona Waltert22c275.44$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.0722035.9%79 W · 141 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x976e…8453backed Simona Waltert67c264.43$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.1727556%154 W · 121 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-4.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Fiona Crawley33c260.93$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.827,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Simona Waltert40c257.67$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.2642748.7%208 W · 219 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Fiona Crawley51c256.34$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.515,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf8c…e040backed Simona Waltert33c212.46$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.564837.5%243 W · 405 L-32.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-32.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5a11…9becbacked Simona Waltert6c211.88$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.936043.3%26 W · 34 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ea6…428abacked Simona Waltert45c204.44$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9228348.1%136 W · 147 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Fiona Crawley33c200$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13452847%248 W · 280 L-19.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x571f…1d37backed Simona Waltert55c176.8$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.431,06554.7%583 W · 482 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dba…dbacbacked Fiona Crawley37c158.08$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.59333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e0e…1cebbacked Simona Waltert32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020939.7%83 W · 126 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Simona Waltert39c150$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.544229.6%131 W · 311 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Fiona Crawley77c149.14$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Simona Waltert66c149$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.3496755.3%535 W · 432 L+3.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f17…0724backed Simona Waltert48c148.42$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.2470254.4%382 W · 320 L+40.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Simona Waltert38c146.68$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.021,71053.7%918 W · 792 L+30.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Fiona Crawley34c142$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.7233235.2%117 W · 215 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x762d…45a6backed Simona Waltert52c137.45$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.9919041.6%79 W · 111 L-16.7wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-22.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Fiona Crawley72c136.57$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.822,04946.8%958 W · 1,091 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2471…4523backed Simona Waltert28c134.99$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.213527.4%37 W · 98 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick24cpaid+19.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6feb…c082backed Fiona Crawley33c125.03$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.7730644.1%135 W · 171 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Simona Waltert51c123.41$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.9433062.7%207 W · 123 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick59cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d6d…f2b4backed Simona Waltert67c119.4$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8047058.5%275 W · 195 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0e0…585bbacked Simona Waltert22c109.97$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.599950.5%50 W · 49 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Fiona Crawley46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.72,60146.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L+18.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Simona Waltert35c108.14$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.994,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfaa…28f7backed Fiona Crawley33c100$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6793945.5%427 W · 512 L+20.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Simona Waltert67c100$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671,95548%939 W · 1,016 L+16.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Simona Waltert33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.21,30838.9%509 W · 799 L-23.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-27.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c57…a7debacked Simona Waltert10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010647.2%50 W · 56 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Fiona Crawley33c94.28$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.177,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0fd…3798backed Simona Waltert26c91.77$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8611618.1%21 W · 95 L-9.4wins-0.08per pick26cpaid-21%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd16f…9713backed Simona Waltert33c90.91$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309557.9%55 W · 40 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+21.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Simona Waltert42c82.1$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.551,42944.2%631 W · 798 L-23.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd215…757abacked Simona Waltert52c77.1$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9628954.3%157 W · 132 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08c8…016abacked Simona Waltert64c74.77$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9937058.4%216 W · 154 L-17.8wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed Fiona Crawley74c66$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.921,83759.2%1,088 W · 749 L+8.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1230…c70bbacked Fiona Crawley59c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.526955%148 W · 121 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cf2…ac54backed Fiona Crawley33c45.45$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.4519347.2%91 W · 102 L-0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Fiona Crawley33c45$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.1555347.6%263 W · 290 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x029b…2542backed Simona Waltert32c44$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.081216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-44.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8eaa…0585backed Fiona Crawley77c43.14$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.92683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick70cpaid+14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d40…ba95backed Simona Waltert46c41.91$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.381618.8%3 W · 13 L-5.2wins-0.33per pick52cpaid-71.8%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x2326…b627backed Simona Waltert34c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.61,25665.4%821 W · 435 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Simona Waltert63c31.72$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.983,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Simona Waltert35c30.95$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.812,76647.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64e8…b506backed Fiona Crawley78c28.19$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.210446.2%48 W · 56 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf8e4…3b32backed Fiona Crawley58c26$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.842946.4%199 W · 230 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18d8…da3bbacked Simona Waltert60c24.87$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1527448.5%133 W · 141 L+24.3wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+18.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Simona Waltert60c24$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.44,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcbb…07d9backed Fiona Crawley68c23.41$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4923256.5%131 W · 101 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Fiona Crawley65c22.86$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68b6…99b4backed Simona Waltert57c19$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8313453.7%72 W · 62 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb207…c751backed Fiona Crawley68c16.06$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.210395.1%98 W · 5 L+25.4wins+0.25per pick70cpaid+32.7%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.