Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on June 3?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4014e10b3de8896b27b91bbe957db52ade6dbe075e62ab85b2dbd6370c08232c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,433
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,468
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,433 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x103e…78b5backed Yes | 33c | 769.1$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.92 | 161 | 34.2%55 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cc…2a5ebacked Yes | 28c | 443.25$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.3 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -12.1wins | -0.24per pick | 68cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…03fbbacked Yes | 37c | 379.4$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.95 | 517 | 33.3%172 W · 345 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…43f4backed No | 69c | 315.16$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.25 | 173 | 58.4%101 W · 72 L | +14.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…3fa2backed No | 76c | 303.11$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.74 | 895 | 44.7%400 W · 495 L | +30.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcd…cbfbbacked No | 66c | 218.78$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.59 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 69c | 218.52$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.03 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…a713backed Yes | 8c | 199.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | +14.7wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 75c | 193.53$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.73 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 25c | 185.87$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.15 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 67c | 168.17$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.03 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3271…cd33backed Yes | 27c | 159.89$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.91 | 135 | 31.1%42 W · 93 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6659…b7cabacked Yes | 29c | 155.78$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.86 | 938 | 37.6%353 W · 585 L | -14.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 76c | 151.59$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.07 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 71c | 141.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.31 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked Yes | 22c | 135$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 1,061 | 47.9%508 W · 553 L | +32.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 13c | 125.16$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes | 21c | 125$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 490 | 38.8%190 W · 300 L | +24.4wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 32c | 105.05$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.62 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 71c | 102.36$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.89 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…2b99backed Yes | 37c | 97.89$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 71cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 64c | 97.16$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.84 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 26c | 96.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.17 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 70c | 96$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.81 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb427…4c62backed No | 77c | 94.9$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.16 | 223 | 50.7%113 W · 110 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a8…c5b9backed No | 71c | 89.99$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.37 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 70c | 89.84$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.17 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…1821backed No | 66c | 88.9$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.29 | 1,061 | 53.2%564 W · 497 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca69…7153backed No | 76c | 88.07$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc13…5eb6backed No | 75c | 87.03$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.75 | 517 | 62.3%322 W · 195 L | -15.5wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1735…0319backed Yes | 16c | 77.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 1,480 | 15.6%231 W · 1,249 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 76c | 76.15$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.06 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06f…2857backed Yes | 27c | 75.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 67c | 74.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.12 | 481 | 49.5%238 W · 243 L | -26.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed No | 65c | 72.06$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae6…7485backed Yes | 33c | 71.08$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 69 | 26.1%18 W · 51 L | -11.5wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xed5c…8cf8backed Yes | 28c | 65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 259 | 35.1%91 W · 168 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5e…40fbbacked No | 79c | 63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 335 | 61.5%206 W · 129 L | -22.2wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 70c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,249 | 34.2%769 W · 1,480 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 72c | 58.13$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.13 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2e…889fbacked Yes | 31c | 57.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 405 | 25.2%102 W · 303 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 65c | 55.95$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.82 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff06…c7d5backed No | 71c | 55.91$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 112 | 58.9%66 W · 46 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a8…9f68backed Yes | 35c | 53.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 346 | 33.8%117 W · 229 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 68c | 52.32$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 617 | 52.8%326 W · 291 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 66c | 52$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…a467backed Yes | 25c | 50.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 607 | 39.7%241 W · 366 L | +27.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 26c | 50.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…f401backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 311 | 24.1%75 W · 236 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x759d…cc80backed Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 778 | 51.9%404 W · 374 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73d0…6972backed No | 69c | 49.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 229 | 59.8%137 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507c…c876backed Yes | 38c | 49.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 71c | 49.73$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 75c | 49.38$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.59 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 68c | 48.24$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.57 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8842…dfa7backed Yes | 28c | 47.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 452 | 36.5%165 W · 287 L | +20.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked Yes | 27c | 47.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3eb…b529backed Yes | 26c | 47.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 616 | 29.4%181 W · 435 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 68c | 44.28$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb5…97d1backed No | 75c | 44$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes | 27c | 42.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 245 | 42.9%105 W · 140 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4650…8be6backed No | 73c | 41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 68c | 36.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.62 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 72c | 36.01$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05ee…93abbacked No | 72c | 34.63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 88 | 72.7%64 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 74cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 70c | 34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd036…4b27backed Yes | 30c | 33.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50d8…0a0ebacked No | 74c | 31.77$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 399 | 68.9%275 W · 124 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed No | 63c | 31.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 70c | 31.32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 841 | 24%202 W · 639 L | -35.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0db1…6272backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe801…764fbacked No | 66c | 30.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 58 | 72.4%42 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 75cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6961…511bbacked No | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 73c | 24.82$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 74c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 74c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93f0…b231backed No | 68c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed No | 72c | 19.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 1,203 | 48.9%588 W · 615 L | -24.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 68c | 17.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 67c | 16.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked No | 64c | 16.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 999 | 62.8%627 W · 372 L | +37.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked No | 70c | 14.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b72…a958backed No | 75c | 14.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.55 | 686 | 45.8%314 W · 372 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8786…6884backed No | 73c | 14.11$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.81 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on June 3?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on June 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on June 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on June 3?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on June 3?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.