Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on May 26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41b1ab1f9c51c2316abb42931ea238e35bb616060839d3c1475f7a413cd4cee1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,237
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,320
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,237 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeb01…43bbbacked Yes | 37c | 505.52$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.79 | 739 | 27.3%202 W · 537 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf787…1b63backed Yes | 29c | 332.04$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.14 | 432 | 38%164 W · 268 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 67c | 305$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.11 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 28c | 296.02$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.23 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 30c | 259.02$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.31 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 54c | 229.57$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.63 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 19c | 214.77$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.51 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40eb…ade9backed Yes | 33c | 208.48$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.68 | 495 | 47.1%233 W · 262 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 34c | 193.93$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.77 | 749 | 26.7%200 W · 549 L | -20.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 47c | 169.35$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.32 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 30c | 164.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.55 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2b…bf2abacked Yes | 69c | 152.49$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.27 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3507…71d7backed No | 71c | 141.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 333 | 73%243 W · 90 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23b2…605cbacked No | 75c | 140.07$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 58c | 135.72$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.44 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x213e…5e0fbacked Yes | 57c | 125$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.82 | 657 | 49.8%327 W · 330 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 45c | 122.06$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.58 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked Yes | 41c | 117.48$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.26 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 67c | 115.1$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.94 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cf…65d5backed No | 18c | 111.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 78 | 17.9%14 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 33c | 107.54$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.44 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa817…95d7backed Yes | 46c | 102.75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.82 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…557ebacked No | 52c | 102$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.39 | 1,169 | 59.4%694 W · 475 L | +30.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 72c | 101.6$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.97 | 999 | 63.5%634 W · 365 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc62d…5577backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.62 | 250 | 38%95 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf644…a9afbacked No | 69c | 99.91$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.73 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -5.1wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe8dd…ec86backed No | 71c | 98.31$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.5 | 190 | 57.9%110 W · 80 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 28c | 97.68$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.13 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71b5…6dabbacked No | 44c | 90$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed Yes | 56c | 89.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.58 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x103e…78b5backed Yes | 50c | 88.81$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.81 | 161 | 34.2%55 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe54c…2c69backed Yes | 33c | 81.91$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.29 | 255 | 60.8%155 W · 100 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…cbbcbacked Yes | 27c | 74.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.86 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8842…dfa7backed Yes | 29c | 70.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.35 | 452 | 36.5%165 W · 287 L | +20.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 32c | 70$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.4 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 71c | 69.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 659 | 65.4%431 W · 228 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 44c | 65.39$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xce07…5c3cbacked Yes | 49c | 65$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.28 | 310 | 62.6%194 W · 116 L | +38.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5470…0af7backed No | 78c | 64.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.94 | 328 | 72%236 W · 92 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…c6ddbacked Yes | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3c…ddd0backed No | 66c | 60.6$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 466 | 67.6%315 W · 151 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +334.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90e2…fc3fbacked No | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2109…58b3backed No | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf279…202cbacked No | 31c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7782…f35fbacked No | 31c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaafc…ec67backed Yes | 69c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 447 | 57.3%256 W · 191 L | +53.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +24%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5964…35dfbacked No | 38c | 59.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1,279 | 33.6%430 W · 849 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50d8…0a0ebacked No | 70c | 58.17$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.59 | 399 | 68.9%275 W · 124 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 28c | 58.05$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.82 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf8…8dcbbacked Yes | 29c | 57.24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.44 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…1a88backed Yes | 39c | 56.57$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.51 | 999 | 49.5%495 W · 504 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…f1f5backed Yes | 25c | 54.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.9 | 244 | 34.4%84 W · 160 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a0…b7a2backed No | 44c | 51.06$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.47 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked Yes | 49c | 51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.01 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe422…4d64backed No | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 2,065 | 43.6%900 W · 1,165 L | -11.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedec…d967backed Yes | 34c | 49.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.99 | 179 | 26.3%47 W · 132 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 33c | 49.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.49 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 67c | 49.78$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.17 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 50c | 48.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 805 | 60.6%488 W · 317 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…2013backed Yes | 27c | 46.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.04 | 314 | 54.1%170 W · 144 L | +31.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xadd7…8622backed No | 69c | 45.59$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.39 | 177 | 66.7%118 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…2b99backed No | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 71cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 31c | 45.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 767 | 55.4%425 W · 342 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18ae…314cbacked No | 67c | 44.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 1,211 | 29.8%361 W · 850 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 30c | 44.37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9151…a93ebacked No | 73c | 39.49$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.83 | 111 | 64%71 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…2132backed No | 70c | 39$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 714 | 64.3%459 W · 255 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0da…4162backed Yes | 33c | 38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.46 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd540…f3dbbacked Yes | 52c | 36.29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed No | 68c | 34.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 2,249 | 34.2%769 W · 1,480 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 31c | 34.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fd…5c4fbacked Yes | 49c | 30.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.57 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -11.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x587c…603fbacked No | 65c | 29.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 56 | 71.4%40 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…6597backed No | 68c | 29.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 995 | 71.1%707 W · 288 L | +22.0wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…187dbacked Yes | 73c | 25.15$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 613 | 65.3%400 W · 213 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb423…c178backed No | 70c | 21.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 268 | 61.6%165 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4264…1706backed Yes | 78c | 20.12$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.52 | 408 | 71.8%293 W · 115 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ab…5cf7backed No | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 208 | 52.4%109 W · 99 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b9…9a9cbacked No | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 649 | 60.2%391 W · 258 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5157…fdbcbacked No | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 533 | 53.1%283 W · 250 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…f99abacked No | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1,036 | 68.6%711 W · 325 L | -33.9wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5d…3384backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 282 | 70.2%198 W · 84 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x823a…61abbacked No | 67c | 19.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 78 | 69.2%54 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3972…a677backed No | 67c | 18.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 817 | 56.4%461 W · 356 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6409…9411backed No | 75c | 17.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 825 | 62.2%513 W · 312 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 66c | 16.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on May 26?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 75°F or below on May 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on May 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on May 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on May 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on May 26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.