Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41d340916423506e66ef449449a005d57b40883eae07851cdf90de0639f7a9bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,390
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,196
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,390 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x54a0…4134backed Yes | 1c | 3,684$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 148 | 23%34 W · 114 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 29c | 674.61$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.78 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09a8…47c1backed No | 73c | 573.08$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.89 | 418 | 45.2%189 W · 229 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2011…845bbacked No | 58c | 380$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.48 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 23c | 361.72$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.65 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x652d…46b3backed No | 29c | 310.5$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.86 | 618 | 20.7%128 W · 490 L | +36.9wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…405abacked No | 73c | 293.82$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.37 | 168 | 33.9%57 W · 111 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 78c | 290.09$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.55 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed Yes | 13c | 289.1$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed Yes | 61c | 274.51$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.83 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e22…1b31backed No | 26c | 270.56$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.56 | 76 | 75%57 W · 19 L | +11.8wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfecc…77dabacked No | 76c | 250$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.53 | 404 | 38.1%154 W · 250 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 27c | 250$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 9c | 233.23$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.11 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd628…9356backed Yes | 26c | 226.19$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.06 | 133 | 44.4%59 W · 74 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 69c | 217.41$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.22 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 20c | 203.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.02 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebb…405abacked No | 46c | 199.99$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.6 | 790 | 40.9%323 W · 467 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 31c | 193.83$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.23 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 29c | 160.49$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.03 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb8…0d00backed Yes | 58c | 153.07$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.1 | 206 | 62.1%128 W · 78 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed Yes | 55c | 132.56$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.29 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed No | 66c | 129.24$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.65 | 402 | 65.9%265 W · 137 L | +31.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a86…84ecbacked Yes | 27c | 129.16$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 465 | 49.9%232 W · 233 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 58c | 128.21$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.64 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b3…9bc4backed Yes | 26c | 127.12$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.59 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed Yes | 77c | 125.94$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.71 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 21c | 116.64$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.32 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3621…9da2backed No | 13c | 114.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.13 | 113 | 34.5%39 W · 74 L | +12.1wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 10c | 114$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.06 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed Yes | 73c | 110.86$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.77 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ab…3c91backed No | 20c | 103.95$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.13 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked Yes | 25c | 102.46$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.66 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28f5…dbe4backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed22…6450backed No | 73c | 99.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 431 | 39.2%169 W · 262 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed No | 68c | 92.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.76 | 914 | 44.7%409 W · 505 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a5…95cfbacked Yes | 29c | 90.76$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.11 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe47e…f8abbacked Yes | 33c | 88.92$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 240 | 66.3%159 W · 81 L | +13.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 26c | 87.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 58c | 86.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.23 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b1…79d7backed No | 74c | 82.65$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 889 | 73.2%651 W · 238 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 26c | 79.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x837c…d774backed Yes | 47c | 78.75$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.95 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 65c | 76.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.86 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82e7…f552backed Yes | 30c | 75.77$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 354 | 41%145 W · 209 L | -19.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed Yes | 80c | 74$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.99 | 111 | 72.1%80 W · 31 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked No | 50c | 72$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.24 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…8262backed Yes | 70c | 71.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 379 | 42.2%160 W · 219 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71d8…6b23backed Yes | 24c | 69.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8d…038bbacked No | 73c | 67.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.25 | 294 | 69.7%205 W · 89 L | +26.7wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Yes | 26c | 67.34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fe…e62abacked No | 17c | 65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.05 | 236 | 77.1%182 W · 54 L | +23.3wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1c…ebffbacked No | 68c | 64.62$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.86 | 134 | 61.2%82 W · 52 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked Yes | 25c | 63.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed Yes | 27c | 61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…deeabacked No | 75c | 58.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 1,072 | 36.6%392 W · 680 L | +25.9wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef98…b586backed Yes | 23c | 54.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 907 | 34.5%313 W · 594 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed Yes | 58c | 53.9$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.06 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56d7…a981backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 487 | 43.7%213 W · 274 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 27c | 49.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36ef…3c3abacked Yes | 27c | 49.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed Yes | 69c | 49.07$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.74 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 25c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2,823 | 11.2%316 W · 2,507 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc6…d496backed Yes | 47c | 47.13$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 39c | 46.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.69 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…4053backed No | 72c | 45.7$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac84…4dbabacked Yes | 28c | 45.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…2c8bbacked No | 30c | 45.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.7 | 36 | 75%27 W · 9 L | +5.9wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed No | 62c | 42.04$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadd6…2a5fbacked No | 69c | 41.97$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b7…aceabacked No | 74c | 40.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5149…fa00backed Yes | 60c | 39.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed Yes | 62c | 38.36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e40…f89cbacked No | 51c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.58 | 245 | 69.8%171 W · 74 L | +30.9wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…8fa3backed Yes | 35c | 35.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 393 | 46.6%183 W · 210 L | +29.9wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Yes | 77c | 33.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.43 | 1,026 | 64%657 W · 369 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0f…b52abacked Yes | 39c | 32.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…f434backed No | 66c | 30.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 475 | 69.5%330 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…6597backed No | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 995 | 71.1%707 W · 288 L | +22.0wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 65c | 29.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 63c | 26.19$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed54…4967backed Yes | 43c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 498 | 54.6%272 W · 226 L | +46.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x60d8…f2a6backed Yes | 78c | 25.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 378 | 35.4%134 W · 244 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed Yes | 61c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked No | 58c | 24.65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 1,089 | 59.4%647 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x558b…f41bbacked No | 65c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 286 | 60.8%174 W · 112 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…e682backed No | 66c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 258 | 68.2%176 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 46c | 23.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.33 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 55c | 22.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed No | 67c | 22.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 2,249 | 34.2%769 W · 1,480 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5157…fdbcbacked No | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 533 | 53.1%283 W · 250 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 60c | 18.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.52 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 66c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa11b…ff9fbacked No | 72c | 15.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.43 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 13?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 13?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.