Tennis · resolved market
Granby: Yuta Shimizu vs Justin Boulais
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41e1a6649cd7bc8a4276152367bc2c19f3949a8f6cffb719d634081a72031b5d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Justin Boulaisof Yuta Shimizu, Justin Boulais
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,452
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,061
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,452 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Justin Boulais | 41c | 7,335$3,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,327.58 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Yuta Shimizu | 59c | 5,425$3,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,176.37 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Yuta Shimizu | 59c | 2,162$1,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,273.31 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Justin Boulais | 42c | 1,786$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.71 | 488 | 42%205 W · 283 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Justin Boulais | 53c | 1,648$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.49 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Yuta Shimizu | 59c | 1,529$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.36 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…b30fbacked Yuta Shimizu | 46c | 1,515$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 700 | 41.1%288 W · 412 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Justin Boulais | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.48 | 437 | 43.7%191 W · 246 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yuta Shimizu | 55c | 663.92$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.48 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Justin Boulais | 44c | 600$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.6 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Yuta Shimizu | 20c | 600$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yuta Shimizu | 52c | 571.3$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.55 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yuta Shimizu | 50c | 520.02$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.04 | 251 | 34.3%86 W · 165 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…22edbacked Justin Boulais | 40c | 505$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303 | 263 | 45.6%120 W · 143 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yuta Shimizu | 11c | 432.04$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.47 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Justin Boulais | 43c | 400.58$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.56 | 423 | 41.4%175 W · 248 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Justin Boulais | 59c | 358.11$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.17 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yuta Shimizu | 47c | 355.32$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.05 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04c7…c7a7backed Yuta Shimizu | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.3 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe821…3128backed Justin Boulais | 76c | 262.47$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.47 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x901b…59efbacked Yuta Shimizu | 8c | 256.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 295 | 19.7%58 W · 237 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2262…21a1backed Yuta Shimizu | 65c | 247.65$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.81 | 763 | 55.6%424 W · 339 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Yuta Shimizu | 58c | 201.99$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.56 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Justin Boulais | 58c | 197.15$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.51 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf49…b4a5backed Yuta Shimizu | 59c | 186.07$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 549 | 55.2%303 W · 246 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a99…d29fbacked Yuta Shimizu | 56c | 170.39$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.59 | 306 | 42.2%129 W · 177 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Yuta Shimizu | 43c | 170.37$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.09 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Justin Boulais | 44c | 142.71$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.46 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yuta Shimizu | 15c | 137.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…492cbacked Justin Boulais | 75c | 133.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.26 | 179 | 72.6%130 W · 49 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 76cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Yuta Shimizu | 56c | 119.35$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.24 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Justin Boulais | 40c | 118.21$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Yuta Shimizu | 57c | 113.12$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.28 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Yuta Shimizu | 48c | 106.4$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.25 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Justin Boulais | 53c | 105$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.05 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Yuta Shimizu | 48c | 92.36$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Justin Boulais | 45c | 88.68$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.69 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Yuta Shimizu | 26c | 78.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 889 | 35.2%313 W · 576 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a20…d606backed Justin Boulais | 76c | 70$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.59 | 926 | 74.6%691 W · 235 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Justin Boulais | 45c | 66.02$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.57 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5331…3672backed Yuta Shimizu | 55c | 61.22$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 313 | 47.6%149 W · 164 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…206cbacked Justin Boulais | 43c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.93 | 856 | 37.7%323 W · 533 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Justin Boulais | 30c | 52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.19 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked Justin Boulais | 45c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 574 | 49.1%282 W · 292 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Yuta Shimizu | 49c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 1,062 | 42%446 W · 616 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Justin Boulais | 44c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…8be3backed Yuta Shimizu | 35c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 176 | 43.8%77 W · 99 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…e36bbacked Justin Boulais | 45c | 34.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.71 | 231 | 59.3%137 W · 94 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Justin Boulais | 76c | 32.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3679…492ebacked Justin Boulais | 60c | 29.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 295 | 54.6%161 W · 134 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Justin Boulais | 43c | 29.72$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 398 | 51%203 W · 195 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7f…6b36backed Justin Boulais | 45c | 28.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Justin Boulais | 64c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Justin Boulais | 74c | 26.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 502 | 68.3%343 W · 159 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Justin Boulais | 46c | 25.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.81 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Yuta Shimizu | 48c | 24.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 1,102 | 56.5%623 W · 479 L | +52.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf56d…3658backed Yuta Shimizu | 43c | 24.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yuta Shimizu | 56c | 20.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Yuta Shimizu | 53c | 18.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 587 | 50.4%296 W · 291 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8318…34a6backed Yuta Shimizu | 58c | 18.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 100 | 32%32 W · 68 L | -30.3wins | -0.30per pick | 62cpaid | -51%equal weight | 23-0.24 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Granby: Yuta Shimizu vs Justin Boulaisthis page
- Shimizu vs. Boulais: Match O/U 22.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.