Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Canada (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4201bfe43235a7ac3361032164dbcc4d767189c366332ae51e18229f7f525ba8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Canadaof Canada, Uzbekistan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,605
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,112
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,605 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Canada | 33c | 4,186$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,790.34 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Canada | 19c | 3,115$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,515.02 | 146 | 12.3%18 W · 128 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Uzbekistan | 76c | 1,496$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.36 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Uzbekistan | 79c | 1,437$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.12 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Uzbekistan | 67c | 1,098$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.55 | 281 | 62.6%176 W · 105 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Canada | 35c | 999.92$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.51 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c0…dadabacked Uzbekistan | 66c | 760$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.6 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Uzbekistan | 67c | 746.27$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Uzbekistan | 78c | 680.27$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.51 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb781…9ba9backed Canada | 31c | 489.99$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.09 | 134 | 51.5%69 W · 65 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…34c0backed Uzbekistan | 69c | 434.78$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Uzbekistan | 65c | 415.23$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Canada | 32c | 374.31$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.31 | 551 | 53%292 W · 259 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Uzbekistan | 66c | 330.54$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.95 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Uzbekistan | 67c | 308$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.6 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbffb…a60ebacked Uzbekistan | 66c | 307.31$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.75 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | -19.9wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5282…82fcbacked Canada | 33c | 300$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Canada | 35c | 298.91$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.28 | 418 | 57.9%242 W · 176 L | +14.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Canada | 35c | 288.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.79 | 291 | 38.5%112 W · 179 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c7…5cecbacked Canada | 34c | 273.53$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.53 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…23ffbacked Uzbekistan | 66c | 230$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.8 | 162 | 40.1%65 W · 97 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff64…9636backed Uzbekistan | 66c | 200$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Uzbekistan | 65c | 184$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.6 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Uzbekistan | 65c | 180$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.6 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…ccf6backed Canada | 33c | 166.67$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.67 | 171 | 45%77 W · 94 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…11b4backed Uzbekistan | 72c | 138.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 277 | 67.9%188 W · 89 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Uzbekistan | 66c | 134.03$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.46 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Canada | 35c | 132.23$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.95 | 203 | 30.5%62 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Uzbekistan | 65c | 125.9$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.84 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Canada | 34c | 122.5$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.5 | 524 | 41.4%217 W · 307 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Uzbekistan | 67c | 117.68$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.85 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Canada | 27c | 115.07$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.4 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed Canada | 35c | 102.86$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.86 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Uzbekistan | 65c | 85.77$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.75 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Uzbekistan | 65c | 77.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…df76backed Uzbekistan | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 168 | 63.1%106 W · 62 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Uzbekistan | 68c | 67.22$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.71 | 216 | 30.1%65 W · 151 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Uzbekistan | 62c | 65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 637 | 45.4%289 W · 348 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Canada | 37c | 61.34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.73 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Uzbekistan | 65c | 60$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Uzbekistan | 66c | 56.27$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.92 | 815 | 54.8%447 W · 368 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Uzbekistan | 64c | 53.13$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 236 | 58.1%137 W · 99 L | +20.4wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Uzbekistan | 67c | 52.21$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 271 | 54.6%148 W · 123 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4abb…d858backed Canada | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Uzbekistan | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Uzbekistan | 66c | 49.49$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.66 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Uzbekistan | 65c | 47.97$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.18 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Uzbekistan | 66c | 45.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…6471backed Uzbekistan | 65c | 40.31$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…5720backed Canada | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 220 | 52.3%115 W · 105 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed Uzbekistan | 65c | 38.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb424…3b71backed Canada | 34c | 37.74$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.06 | 143 | 35.7%51 W · 92 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffa…23b8backed Uzbekistan | 73c | 34.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Uzbekistan | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 370 | 57.3%212 W · 158 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Uzbekistan | 69c | 30.43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Uzbekistan | 66c | 29.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…c120backed Uzbekistan | 61c | 25.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 374 | 51.6%193 W · 181 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Uzbekistan | 69c | 24.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Uzbekistan | 67c | 21.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b40…cf5fbacked Uzbekistan | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 65 | 73.8%48 W · 17 L | +7.7wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Uzbekistan | 65c | 19.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 414 | 51.4%213 W · 201 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Uzbekistan | 65c | 19.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 355 | 49.9%177 W · 178 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb457…ae09backed Uzbekistan | 66c | 16.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…f3ebbacked Uzbekistan | 66c | 15.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 87 | 34.5%30 W · 57 L | -7.4wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Uzbekistan | 67c | 15.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 481 | 52.4%252 W · 229 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Uzbekistan | 76c | 13.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Canada (-1.5)this page
- Canada vs. Uzbekistan: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Canada vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 0.5Over won
- Canada vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 1.5Over won
- Canada vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5Under won
- Canada vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 3.5Under won
- Canada vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 4.5Under won
- Canada vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Canada (-2.5)Uzbekistan won
- Spread: Uzbekistan (-1.5)Canada won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.