Fifa International · resolved market
Canada vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ddff064580597d30361e38d20f074f93e78b3fffccd03d887ed9ed1d15fad91
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,817
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,537
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,817 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8ec6…d9edbacked Over | 12c | 5,036$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.46 | 216 | 31%67 W · 149 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 26c | 4,272$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090.85 | 592 | 30.1%178 W · 414 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 75c | 2,904$2,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.41 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814e…40b1backed Under | 80c | 1,726$1,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.2 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 24c | 1,027$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.15 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 74c | 899.11$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.77 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 76c | 599.99$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 331 | 20.8%69 W · 262 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked Over | 5c | 450$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 78 | 28.2%22 W · 56 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 24c | 388.28$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.47 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 23c | 299$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.77 | 216 | 30.1%65 W · 151 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 75c | 270.91$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.84 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 74c | 233.86$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.49 | 848 | 44.3%376 W · 472 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…974ebacked Over | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 197 | 46.2%91 W · 106 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 76c | 171.65$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.2 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa350…a39cbacked Over | 25c | 162.81$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 76c | 143.98$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.85 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 74c | 138.6$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.04 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Under | 77c | 133.1$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.61 | 514 | 29.4%151 W · 363 L | -46.1wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb36a…30cabacked Over | 25c | 129.73$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 76c | 128$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.44 | 239 | 40.6%97 W · 142 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…c120backed Under | 75c | 123.73$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.93 | 374 | 51.6%193 W · 181 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 26c | 115.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 203 | 30.5%62 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 74c | 107.87$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.94 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfde8…c52fbacked Over | 28c | 95.78$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.13 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 74c | 93$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.18 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 76c | 88.06$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 508 | 33.3%169 W · 339 L | -35.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 24c | 77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 24.4%19 W · 59 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 23c | 66.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 77c | 56.82$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 233 | 45.1%105 W · 128 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Under | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 63 | 73%46 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 23c | 49.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Over | 25c | 44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 266 | 31.2%83 W · 183 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a7…3fb0backed Under | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81c1…54f5backed Under | 75c | 37.4$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Under | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 667 | 45%300 W · 367 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 75c | 32.04$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…f3ebbacked Under | 75c | 26.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 87 | 34.5%30 W · 57 L | -7.4wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Under | 75c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Under | 74c | 18.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 205 | 61%125 W · 80 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Under | 79c | 17.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 192 | 57.8%111 W · 81 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 75c | 15.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 481 | 52.4%252 W · 229 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 77c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.53 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canada vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 3.5this page
- Canada vs. Uzbekistan: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Canada vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 0.5Over won
- Canada vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 1.5Over won
- Canada vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5Under won
- Canada vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 4.5Under won
- Canada vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Canada (-1.5)Canada won
- Spread: Canada (-2.5)Uzbekistan won
- Spread: Uzbekistan (-1.5)Canada won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.