Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on April 28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4307720b667731d4c6561da8abef232a32885699a7153c9b9e1f1c09493ac8cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,294
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,513
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,294 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6297…517ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,281$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 1,643 | 27.8%456 W · 1,187 L | +117.6wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +33%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 33c | 759.95$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.65 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc80…56a7backed Yes | 2c | 667.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 164 | 12.2%20 W · 144 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13e0…7465backed Yes | 38c | 611.28$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.61 | 352 | 33%116 W · 236 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc017…9f26backed Yes | 48c | 590.73$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.45 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfece…ef64backed Yes | 3c | 452.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf56c…ad84backed Yes | 3c | 399.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 507 | 3.4%17 W · 490 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…bc23backed No | 64c | 311.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.32 | 811 | 65.8%534 W · 277 L | -37.1wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc0…1843backed No | 72c | 294.56$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.75 | 143 | 72%103 W · 40 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 34c | 265.37$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.39 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 10c | 236.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.16 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…faeabacked No | 66c | 230$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.5 | 311 | 70.7%220 W · 91 L | +42.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 67c | 223.92$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.74 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eea…00c5backed Yes | 34c | 205.46$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.86 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58e6…9ac7backed No | 63c | 199.99$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 197 | 53.8%106 W · 91 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9010…df3ebacked Yes | 32c | 197.62$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.65 | 141 | 44%62 W · 79 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 23c | 181.38$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.09 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a87…a55abacked Yes | 33c | 179.2$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.63 | 1,112 | 35.1%390 W · 722 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a7…f77fbacked Yes | 7c | 164.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 180 | 38.9%70 W · 110 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 39c | 152.47$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.23 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed No | 67c | 148.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.99 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x951c…d8c7backed Yes | 35c | 145.06$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.39 | 683 | 35.4%242 W · 441 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad7…347abacked No | 79c | 138.15$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.55 | 729 | 52.4%382 W · 347 L | +34.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa74…6bcbbacked Yes | 32c | 129.93$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.21 | 180 | 41.1%74 W · 106 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 62c | 120.83$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.02 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6af…4219backed Yes | 42c | 111.87$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 506 | 48.8%247 W · 259 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 68c | 104.31$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.93 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 37c | 97.53$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.43 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f8e…74bfbacked Yes | 37c | 93.3$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd31…0a42backed Yes | 31c | 89.86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.18 | 126 | 38.1%48 W · 78 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1e07backed Yes | 35c | 87.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.07 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3646…ba5abacked Yes | 22c | 80.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 407 | 41.3%168 W · 239 L | +32.5wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b58…d734backed Yes | 37c | 73.89$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.32 | 155 | 34.2%53 W · 102 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f46…06f0backed Yes | 40c | 73.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2671…a5fabacked No | 56c | 73.42$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.35 | 190 | 59.5%113 W · 77 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Yes | 37c | 72$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.49 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b4…834ebacked No | 72c | 67.6$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed Yes | 34c | 61.07$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf55f…8e92backed No | 53c | 60.66$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.37 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 64c | 57.34$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5127…6f96backed No | 57c | 52.64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.64 | 123 | 74%91 W · 32 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf05a…d78fbacked No | 57c | 52.64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.64 | 126 | 70.6%89 W · 37 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c4e…f93abacked Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36e1…eb43backed No | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd78c…a66ebacked No | 69c | 49.53$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.44 | 728 | 37.8%275 W · 453 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 66c | 47.5$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 61c | 46.78$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.12 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24d6…036bbacked Yes | 40c | 45.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c1…bec3backed Yes | 31c | 45.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb70a…0883backed No | 66c | 45.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 78 | 66.7%52 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff29…f008backed No | 43c | 45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +13.9wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…c34fbacked No | 68c | 43.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.01 | 129 | 62.8%81 W · 48 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ab…e21cbacked No | 79c | 43.17$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa456…6d13backed Yes | 35c | 40.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Yes | 30c | 40.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 999 | 63.5%634 W · 365 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…b2b8backed No | 65c | 39.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0982…24e3backed Yes | 27c | 38.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 351 | 37.9%133 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec8…99d2backed No | 65c | 38.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 833 | 60.7%506 W · 327 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc457…1675backed No | 59c | 37.49$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9b…156cbacked No | 66c | 36.2$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc80f…6147backed Yes | 38c | 35.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 525 | 33.7%177 W · 348 L | +22.8wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +32%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…4e36backed No | 53c | 35.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 197 | 72.6%143 W · 54 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6924…b011backed Yes | 36c | 33.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 64c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce07…5c3cbacked No | 80c | 31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 310 | 62.6%194 W · 116 L | +38.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…6597backed No | 68c | 30.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 995 | 71.1%707 W · 288 L | +22.0wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…f04cbacked No | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 673 | 36.1%243 W · 430 L | -48.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe422…4d64backed No | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 2,065 | 43.6%900 W · 1,165 L | -11.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed No | 58c | 28.38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.05 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…ed2abacked Yes | 40c | 28.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…6c5fbacked No | 68c | 27.9$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 342 | 50.6%173 W · 169 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 66c | 27.75$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3507…71d7backed No | 74c | 27.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.32 | 333 | 73%243 W · 90 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c9…d2b8backed No | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 535 | 47.5%254 W · 281 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc13…5eb6backed No | 62c | 26.14$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.93 | 517 | 62.3%322 W · 195 L | -15.5wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…4145backed No | 59c | 24.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 67 | 16.4%11 W · 56 L | -7.6wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x407e…5bf0backed No | 67c | 22.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.34 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed Yes | 47c | 22.12$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01f2…c3debacked No | 64c | 19.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.08 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | -18.5wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 61c | 18.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 805 | 60.6%488 W · 317 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 69c | 18.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a09…263dbacked No | 68c | 17.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a06…15a9backed No | 60c | 17.18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.87 | 567 | 21.3%121 W · 446 L | -25.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on April 28?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 73°F or below on April 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 92°F or higher on April 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on April 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on April 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on April 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on April 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on April 28?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on April 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on April 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on April 28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.