Lol · resolved market
LoL: eSuba vs CITA Kaizen - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x43b3e52d2be20f25b3bdaf8fd040ce807122da1f56af8b245ede8e960c6377b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- eSubaof eSuba, CITA Kaizen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,933
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,950
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,933 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2e50…0ea8backed CITA Kaizen | 1c | 4,500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 69 | 0%0 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b0…5e5ebacked CITA Kaizen | 1c | 4,100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 77 | 2.6%2 W · 75 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58f8…dc70backed CITA Kaizen | 77c | 3,591$2,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,765.38 | 409 | 70.2%287 W · 122 L | +30.9wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed eSuba | 23c | 2,677$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,061.05 | 2,237 | 33.3%745 W · 1,492 L | -71.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e6…4c4ebacked CITA Kaizen | 1c | 2,029$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 64 | 3.1%2 W · 62 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed eSuba | 43c | 1,134$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.68 | 1,492 | 48.4%722 W · 770 L | +47.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked eSuba | 25c | 1,059$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.63 | 2,020 | 30.5%617 W · 1,403 L | -172.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x35e8…9490backed CITA Kaizen | 1c | 1,033$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 46 | 0%0 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeba1…838bbacked CITA Kaizen | 79c | 512.84$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.99 | 125 | 69.6%87 W · 38 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb35f…cf4cbacked CITA Kaizen | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 481 | 47.2%227 W · 254 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed CITA Kaizen | 44c | 499.97$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.98 | 1,265 | 42.8%541 W · 724 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed eSuba | 35c | 338.89$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.28 | 1,852 | 39.8%738 W · 1,114 L | -64.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked eSuba | 44c | 337.29$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.52 | 977 | 44.8%438 W · 539 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…bc5ebacked CITA Kaizen | 56c | 280.46$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.06 | 364 | 58.8%214 W · 150 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed CITA Kaizen | 55c | 261$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.69 | 3,159 | 33.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L | -152.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5819…2b4fbacked CITA Kaizen | 57c | 237.48$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.37 | 521 | 49.9%260 W · 261 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x466b…7fd3backed CITA Kaizen | 60c | 235.31$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.57 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed eSuba | 43c | 230.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.3 | 1,085 | 46.2%501 W · 584 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed eSuba | 41c | 178.41$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.65 | 209 | 66.5%139 W · 70 L | +29.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed CITA Kaizen | 20c | 176.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.59 | 657 | 25.9%170 W · 487 L | -93.4wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked CITA Kaizen | 32c | 138$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.08 | 215 | 44.7%96 W · 119 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed CITA Kaizen | 57c | 137.6$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.43 | 1,571 | 55.1%866 W · 705 L | +80.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed eSuba | 28c | 132.03$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.64 | 449 | 38.1%171 W · 278 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked eSuba | 45c | 121.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.59 | 1,091 | 47.4%517 W · 574 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8558…8615backed CITA Kaizen | 55c | 101.81$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed eSuba | 32c | 96$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.35 | 650 | 43.1%280 W · 370 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked eSuba | 44c | 93.43$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.07 | 889 | 49.6%441 W · 448 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked eSuba | 24c | 83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.87 | 1,476 | 43.6%643 W · 833 L | -31.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked eSuba | 56c | 80$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 1,348 | 47.3%637 W · 711 L | -33.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2d…b69dbacked CITA Kaizen | 77c | 64.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 131 | 60.3%79 W · 52 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed eSuba | 31c | 60$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.1 | 255 | 55.7%142 W · 113 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed eSuba | 23c | 50.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.81 | 291 | 30.6%89 W · 202 L | -31.7wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked eSuba | 59c | 48$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -52.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked eSuba | 66c | 44.06$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.98 | 178 | 32.6%58 W · 120 L | -15.4wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed eSuba | 43c | 42.95$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.59 | 483 | 57.1%276 W · 207 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb978…fac0backed CITA Kaizen | 57c | 41.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.55 | 153 | 61.4%94 W · 59 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked eSuba | 45c | 33.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.58 | 123 | 35.8%44 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked CITA Kaizen | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1,384 | 31.3%433 W · 951 L | -133.9wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…5275backed eSuba | 43c | 23.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.28 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 74cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…05a6backed CITA Kaizen | 63c | 21.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 272 | 65.4%178 W · 94 L | +24.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4509…58aebacked CITA Kaizen | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,082 | 39.5%427 W · 655 L | -78.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3737…bfd1backed CITA Kaizen | 61c | 19.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 380 | 57.4%218 W · 162 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe010…5147backed CITA Kaizen | 70c | 19.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -10.3wins | -0.38per pick | 57cpaid | -71.1%equal weight | 28-0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x61e1…c227backed CITA Kaizen | 77c | 19.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 82 | 81.7%67 W · 15 L | +9.7wins | +0.12per pick | 70cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: eSuba vs CITA Kaizen - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: eSuba vs CITA Kaizen (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular SeasonCITA Kaizen won
- LoL: eSuba vs CITA Kaizen - Game 2 WinnerCITA Kaizen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.