Lol · resolved market
LoL: eSuba vs CITA Kaizen (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c2ae684d7184850efb0e5358f28cdb1d02aff2051c355ebc5ee2b8303908220
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CITA Kaizenof eSuba, CITA Kaizen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,952
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,547
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,952 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1c29…167ebacked eSuba | 18c | 27,643$5,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,076.92 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed eSuba | 17c | 8,968$1,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,481.66 | 2,237 | 33.3%745 W · 1,492 L | -71.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb35f…cf4cbacked eSuba | 47c | 3,465$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,644.86 | 481 | 47.2%227 W · 254 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed CITA Kaizen | 47c | 1,576$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.08 | 1,492 | 48.4%722 W · 770 L | +47.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed CITA Kaizen | 65c | 537.73$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.57 | 144 | 41.7%60 W · 84 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed eSuba | 38c | 521.69$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.45 | 1,004 | 54.5%547 W · 457 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x797b…26d2backed eSuba | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed eSuba | 16c | 499.47$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed eSuba | 26c | 407$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.76 | 257 | 43.2%111 W · 146 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed CITA Kaizen | 60c | 399.97$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.99 | 1,265 | 42.8%541 W · 724 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa56e…1c76backed CITA Kaizen | 76c | 377.88$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.88 | 84 | 65.5%55 W · 29 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe663…e9f8backed CITA Kaizen | 63c | 315.49$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.49 | 142 | 50%71 W · 71 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed eSuba | 18c | 300.96$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.78 | 1,067 | 23.5%251 W · 816 L | -76.8wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed eSuba | 38c | 287.26$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.42 | 209 | 66.5%139 W · 70 L | +29.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked eSuba | 39c | 275$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.45 | 889 | 49.6%441 W · 448 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked eSuba | 19c | 256.49$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.08 | 2,020 | 30.5%617 W · 1,403 L | -172.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed eSuba | 43c | 229.66$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.4 | 1,244 | 39.7%494 W · 750 L | -69.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b25…7a69backed eSuba | 18c | 196.54$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.38 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked eSuba | 18c | 176$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.31 | 560 | 34.8%195 W · 365 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed eSuba | 19c | 172.6$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.79 | 449 | 38.1%171 W · 278 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaec3…babcbacked eSuba | 39c | 169.75$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked CITA Kaizen | 78c | 156$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.62 | 793 | 42.1%334 W · 459 L | -26.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30bf…a6f7backed eSuba | 23c | 135$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.45 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed eSuba | 17c | 134$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 94 | 37.2%35 W · 59 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9f…0c25backed eSuba | 19c | 130$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 310 | 52.3%162 W · 148 L | +30.1wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked CITA Kaizen | 67c | 110$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 1,348 | 47.3%637 W · 711 L | -33.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked eSuba | 22c | 108.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.26 | 2,707 | 35.9%972 W · 1,735 L | -152.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c8…aa76backed eSuba | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed2…9d82backed CITA Kaizen | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x293c…dcbabacked CITA Kaizen | 55c | 99.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.99 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4509…58aebacked eSuba | 32c | 92.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 1,082 | 39.5%427 W · 655 L | -78.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed CITA Kaizen | 77c | 91.44$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd2…2b8fbacked eSuba | 27c | 88.41$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 440 | 51.4%226 W · 214 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b68…4785backed eSuba | 25c | 87$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c3…f821backed eSuba | 41c | 85.75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.76 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd9…8593backed eSuba | 39c | 76.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d28…87b5backed CITA Kaizen | 72c | 69.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 66 | 69.7%46 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed eSuba | 37c | 69$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 255 | 55.7%142 W · 113 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed CITA Kaizen | 65c | 67.04$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 483 | 57.1%276 W · 207 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…6167backed eSuba | 25c | 62.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked CITA Kaizen | 76c | 58$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.01 | 2,330 | 39.4%919 W · 1,411 L | -83.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked eSuba | 27c | 52.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 1,384 | 31.3%433 W · 951 L | -133.9wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed CITA Kaizen | 57c | 52.31$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 1,571 | 55.1%866 W · 705 L | +80.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b13…37dbbacked CITA Kaizen | 75c | 49.32$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.33 | 123 | 61%75 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked CITA Kaizen | 63c | 45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.85 | 977 | 44.8%438 W · 539 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ef…7d7bbacked eSuba | 33c | 39.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 692 | 59.7%413 W · 279 L | +75.8wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x63e3…2040backed eSuba | 32c | 33.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +51%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x47ca…98cfbacked CITA Kaizen | 79c | 30.74$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 21 | 90.5%19 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 75cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…a007backed CITA Kaizen | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed CITA Kaizen | 75c | 14.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 1,343 | 49%658 W · 685 L | -26.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67f6…1651backed CITA Kaizen | 80c | 14.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.89 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: eSuba vs CITA Kaizen (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Seasonthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: eSuba vs CITA Kaizen - Game 1 WinnereSuba won
- LoL: eSuba vs CITA Kaizen - Game 2 WinnerCITA Kaizen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.