NBA · resolved market
Kings vs. Jazz
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4512c0b7b47ce3d6e0a4977753b2928ab62adea0dffd9a297ecbe3c993fc84fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kingsof Kings, Jazz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $245,350
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $281,727
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $245,350 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 237 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Jazz | 13c | 15,136$1,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,913.4 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Kings | 76c | 14,158$10,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,380.49 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6178…f9a9backed Jazz | 23c | 13,009$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Jazz | 25c | 12,030$3,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,027.77 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Kings | 77c | 11,107$8,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,572.62 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Kings | 76c | 7,757$5,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,861.78 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…6f55backed Jazz | 24c | 7,024$1,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,679.3 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda6b…20bebacked Jazz | 24c | 6,875$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Kings | 77c | 6,754$5,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520.74 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d34…b76fbacked Kings | 78c | 5,000$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Jazz | 12c | 4,962$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.17 | 250 | 16.8%42 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Kings | 76c | 4,500$3,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.9 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Jazz | 12c | 4,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Kings | 78c | 3,600$2,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Jazz | 21c | 2,999$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.89 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa67…0ef4backed Jazz | 3c | 2,301$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.01 | 80 | 16.3%13 W · 67 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Jazz | 3c | 2,300$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Kings | 77c | 2,213$1,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.98 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Jazz | 21c | 2,032$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.72 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Jazz | 23c | 2,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Kings | 76c | 1,758$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.4 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Kings | 79c | 1,679$1,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.59 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Jazz | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Jazz | 23c | 1,500$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.95 | 258 | 33.7%87 W · 171 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Jazz | 23c | 1,420$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.6 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Kings | 78c | 1,308$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Kings | 70c | 1,280$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.29 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Jazz | 12c | 1,133$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.65 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Jazz | 15c | 1,110$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.24 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Jazz | 13c | 1,096$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Jazz | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Jazz | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1385…7097backed Jazz | 11c | 1,000$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45ad…7f76backed Kings | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 71cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Jazz | 29c | 999.97$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.99 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75b4…5aabbacked Kings | 77c | 999.92$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.98 | 173 | 63.6%110 W · 63 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf137…a557backed Jazz | 23c | 997$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.31 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Kings | 78c | 958$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.76 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Kings | 77c | 900$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.5 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd3…7214backed Jazz | 9c | 891.48$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.32 | 186 | 32.8%61 W · 125 L | -12.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed Jazz | 23c | 869.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Jazz | 23c | 819.09$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.82 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Kings | 76c | 791.99$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.08 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42e0…0578backed Kings | 71c | 720.14$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.84 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0825…ddbcbacked Jazz | 3c | 600$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Kings | 77c | 575$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.25 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Kings | 78c | 557.13$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.43 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffb8…646dbacked Jazz | 15c | 550$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 107 | 20.6%22 W · 85 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Jazz | 13c | 528.21$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.95 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6af…d133backed Jazz | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Kings | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Kings | 78c | 499.96$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.99 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Jazz | 14c | 478.57$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0779…7570backed Jazz | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…ae0fbacked Kings | 77c | 450$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.5 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4407…8f2bbacked Jazz | 23c | 429.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x193d…2eb4backed Jazz | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Kings | 72c | 402.31$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.45 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Jazz | 14c | 400$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 96 | 18.8%18 W · 78 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Jazz | 4c | 392$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Jazz | 22c | 387.4$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.29 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5679…d458backed Jazz | 15c | 356.6$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.49 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Jazz | 12c | 352.47$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Jazz | 15c | 352$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 275 | 46.9%129 W · 146 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…a39cbacked Jazz | 11c | 318.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 657 | 26%171 W · 486 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Kings | 77c | 311$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.53 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf482…d3c3backed Jazz | 24c | 307.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.24 | 95 | 34.7%33 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Jazz | 25c | 304.99$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.83 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Jazz | 24c | 300$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 306 | 41.8%128 W · 178 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Jazz | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac56…5b67backed Jazz | 23c | 272.75$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.37 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…e26cbacked Jazz | 25c | 268.81$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.24 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e8…9d10backed Jazz | 20c | 259.14$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.83 | 213 | 57.7%123 W · 90 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Kings | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b3…6ed8backed Kings | 75c | 250$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 172 | 56.4%97 W · 75 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Jazz | 21c | 248$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.46 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Jazz | 26c | 243.15$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.25 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Kings | 78c | 234.57$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.78 | 367 | 51.8%190 W · 177 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Jazz | 22c | 229.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…c96dbacked Jazz | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 243 | 29.6%72 W · 171 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a77…0bbbbacked Jazz | 23c | 225$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed91…4bd6backed Jazz | 25c | 220$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef6…4641backed Jazz | 23c | 220$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 104 | 26%27 W · 77 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abc…07b0backed Jazz | 24c | 212.5$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 139 | 42.4%59 W · 80 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…5173backed Jazz | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd9…2af2backed Jazz | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c56…5a66backed Jazz | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Jazz | 8c | 205.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 365 | 14.2%52 W · 313 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x718c…f792backed Jazz | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7a…15b5backed Jazz | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 276 | 31.2%86 W · 190 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Kings | 76c | 198$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.52 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x184c…6828backed Jazz | 23c | 197.83$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 46cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Kings | 76c | 197.49$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.4 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4722…74b4backed Jazz | 23c | 191.3$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec8f…12f5backed Jazz | 23c | 187.96$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.23 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -50%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd0…e934backed Jazz | 23c | 187.87$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.21 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e86…f837backed Jazz | 24c | 187.83$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.08 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +51%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c0b…2275backed Jazz | 23c | 180.09$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.42 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x086b…5891backed Jazz | 23c | 170.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd85f…e795backed Kings | 78c | 162.45$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.