TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will FK Vardar Skopje win on 2026-07-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$109,046
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$118,512

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,046 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2ec5…fd53backed Yes58c13,473$7,857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,616.534746.8%22 W · 25 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed No73c12,401$9,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,001.16432.8%21 W · 43 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed No75c11,371$8,522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,521.966235.5%22 W · 40 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-17.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8944…da4bbacked Yes51c6,712$3,413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,298.383839.5%15 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2a0…7e90backed Yes65c6,568$4,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,309.611637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No36c4,649$1,658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,657.691,54340.1%618 W · 925 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No9c3,588$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.2944933.6%151 W · 298 L-12.9wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-38.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes25c3,386$857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,529.194946.9%23 W · 26 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Yes43c3,132$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,782.232157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+20.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaf97…2cb3backed Yes17c2,020$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,676.841580%12 W · 3 L+4.4wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+83.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes64c1,799$1,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647.9824340.7%99 W · 144 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes47c1,797$836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.9712348.8%60 W · 63 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked No52c1,350$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.543930.8%12 W · 27 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-32.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes24c1,250$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9503560%21 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+21.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Yes34c1,203$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$798.783857.9%22 W · 16 L+4.0wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+44.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No4c1,028$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.984540%18 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-24.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes67c1,001$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.192,02543.7%884 W · 1,141 L-2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0482…f72abacked No50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked No22c899.2$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006222.6%14 W · 48 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+18.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76bc…fccabacked No58c824.05$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.397739%30 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x946f…67c1backed Yes37c746.94$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.212161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked No2c720$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.41822.2%4 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick14cpaid+18.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x54da…1facbacked No14c661.32$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.461553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No18c640.99$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.5461437.5%230 W · 384 L-27.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Yes26c635.35$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.461758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cfe…c83cbacked Yes78c626.81$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.9650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No6c605.67$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.38040%32 W · 48 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+88.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No12c501$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.4114736.1%53 W · 94 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-23%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed No17c485.68$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.572352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3735…1525backed No38c480$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.43554.3%19 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+45.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes14c467.66$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.1918643.5%81 W · 105 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No49c451.12$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.491,07134.8%373 W · 698 L-15.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a9e…a24bbacked No55c396$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.87236.1%26 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb5a…8445backed No52c384.61$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003735.1%13 W · 24 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+46.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes15c371.92$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.7652246.7%244 W · 278 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xec1e…0d9cbacked Yes39c371.4$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.34580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+35.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes18c332.85$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.2474935.4%265 W · 484 L-30.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-30%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Yes17c318.97$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.241797.8%14 W · 165 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick12cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes15c303$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.1296837.4%362 W · 606 L+31.4wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed No15c290.06$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.586937.7%26 W · 43 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-32.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed No30c280$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.842339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-35.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed Yes56c267.85$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.852638.5%10 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f79…d807backed Yes65c261.11$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.391553.3%8 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes44c200$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.85763.2%36 W · 21 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f45…5390backed No51c196.59$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.263240.6%13 W · 19 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-24.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7403…b24abacked Yes66c185.46$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.633852.6%20 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Yes67c166.14$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.7714238%54 W · 88 L-0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd868…7f60backed Yes13c153.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.851915.8%3 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+44.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x70fe…3c28backed Yes57c152$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.362100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+172.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes15c149.98$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.8639442.9%169 W · 225 L-23.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb70b…1668backed Yes15c135.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.671747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No79c133.91$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.766446.2%307 W · 357 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f39…e279backed No18c122.59$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.334158.5%24 W · 17 L+5.1wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+15.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8920…9c0cbacked No45c121.54$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.261637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No13c115.54$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5417451.7%90 W · 84 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed No34c114.37$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.791428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked No55c112.39$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.3812442.7%53 W · 71 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93af…32abbacked No60c110.56$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.891233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-42.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No77c110.05$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.7535860.6%217 W · 141 L+21.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x67a1…1c91backed No60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56b5…ed56backed Yes15c100$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick53cpaid+113.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes19c97$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.8416047.5%76 W · 84 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Yes22c95.32$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.3831656.6%179 W · 137 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x57e7…84e9backed No36c94.84$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.531127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-49.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd194…c51fbacked Yes21c93.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.64250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick14cpaid+134.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Yes25c87.99$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.999747.4%46 W · 51 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No33c86.82$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.32462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+15.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Yes63c79.66$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.4731556.5%178 W · 137 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9bf…787ebacked Yes40c74.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.552100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+90.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbbc8…4f5bbacked No18c66.11$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.962339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+98.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f53…5e9fbacked Yes70c59.72$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.721258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e9f…3988backed No25c54.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.992857.1%16 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa11…650bbacked Yes69c52.17$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.17450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ce0…9d0bbacked No39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202588%22 W · 3 L+7.1wins+0.28per pick60cpaid+51.6%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x7862…bdfcbacked No51c42.38$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88a9…e618backed No77c38.96$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+28.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf49a…896ebacked Yes79c37.43$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.862100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+41.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes49c34.99$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8838953.7%209 W · 180 L+21.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x81f6…6ccabacked Yes78c33.37$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.28850%4 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a29…836dbacked No75c28.45$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3420%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked No42c26.82$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.39392.6%1 W · 38 L-14.8wins-0.38per pick40cpaid-94.9%equal weight24-0.23 edge/pick
0x1040…ac10backed Yes70c26.04$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.812055%11 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.14per pick69cpaid-16.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d3d…df39backed Yes68c22.18$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.19333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick65cpaid-50.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Yes73c22.01$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.915643.6%68 W · 88 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb777…8703backed Yes78c20.79$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.57250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4df…e6cfbacked No51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.21250%6 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-25.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ce7…a1f1backed Yes76c19.77$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.773100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+94.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed No64c19.3$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2812338.2%47 W · 76 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dd5…e2e7backed No79c19$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.94450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-32%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.