College Football · resolved market
Air Force vs. UNLV
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46b9686f2228dc3ffb132c301d72eed4db80d48ec52155b41b0b1d4112d37065
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UNLVof Air Force, UNLV
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,146
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,161
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,146 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed UNLV | 69c | 12,675$8,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,892.61 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ba…9c04backed Air Force | 31c | 9,645$2,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,990 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Air Force | 30c | 6,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 381 | 42.5%162 W · 219 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Air Force | 37c | 4,267$1,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,568.9 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed UNLV | 71c | 2,925$2,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.9 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked UNLV | 53c | 2,638$1,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.49 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Air Force | 60c | 2,509$1,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510.64 | 276 | 48.9%135 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…2aebbacked Air Force | 37c | 2,319$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Air Force | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed UNLV | 64c | 1,661$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.91 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Air Force | 29c | 1,408$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.45 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65d7…1f7fbacked UNLV | 71c | 1,408$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +64%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Air Force | 32c | 1,106$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.95 | 176 | 55.1%97 W · 79 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked UNLV | 70c | 942$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.6 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked UNLV | 60c | 837.91$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.34 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Air Force | 29c | 723.08$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.72 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c51…af7ebacked UNLV | 70c | 715$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.5 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…c4e5backed UNLV | 62c | 703.23$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.23 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…c3b9backed Air Force | 31c | 625$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.75 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Air Force | 29c | 600$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Air Force | 5c | 515$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.47 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8f…e91cbacked Air Force | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked UNLV | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 155 | 39.4%61 W · 94 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked UNLV | 41c | 490.63$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.94 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed UNLV | 72c | 470$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.11 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked UNLV | 70c | 368$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.4 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17bd…7afcbacked UNLV | 59c | 322.85$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.85 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked Air Force | 29c | 310$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.9 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef3c…f731backed UNLV | 66c | 284.7$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Air Force | 29c | 283.1$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.1 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x355c…e6d4backed UNLV | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e0…0b77backed UNLV | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Air Force | 64c | 279$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.77 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19c3…694abacked Air Force | 30c | 270$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +49%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1e…88d5backed UNLV | 68c | 245.62$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.14 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Air Force | 48c | 244.74$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.41 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0074…2be0backed Air Force | 61c | 205.75$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.63 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2862…b2ddbacked UNLV | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15a9…677ebacked UNLV | 9c | 190$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.27 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c36…9719backed Air Force | 38c | 189$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.82 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeae…214abacked Air Force | 46c | 178.29$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.81 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Air Force | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed UNLV | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2490…303dbacked Air Force | 30c | 160$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e26…b14abacked Air Force | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Air Force | 32c | 150$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed UNLV | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed UNLV | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed UNLV | 48c | 130.01$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.35 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…3099backed Air Force | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 168 | 39.9%67 W · 101 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fec…c965backed UNLV | 69c | 125$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.75 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -39%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked UNLV | 69c | 110.16$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.15 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7d…423fbacked UNLV | 42c | 107.14$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.14 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked UNLV | 71c | 106.6$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 68 | 69.1%47 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Air Force | 53c | 106.49$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.44 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Air Force | 63c | 100.33$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.21 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Air Force | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 176 | 34.7%61 W · 115 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…faa8backed Air Force | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Air Force | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 280 | 32.9%92 W · 188 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed Air Force | 40c | 90.54$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.91 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked Air Force | 34c | 89.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.44 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa7…04bfbacked Air Force | 59c | 70$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Air Force | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5911…332abacked UNLV | 71c | 65.51$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ff…1e37backed Air Force | 30c | 65.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed UNLV | 52c | 64.28$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Air Force | 42c | 61.9$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.32per pick | 47cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xacf9…6cd8backed UNLV | 40c | 57.37$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.71 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda82…5da2backed UNLV | 70c | 54.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…5752backed Air Force | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked UNLV | 62c | 54$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7312…d40dbacked Air Force | 63c | 51.08$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.18 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked UNLV | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0f…63e4backed Air Force | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce98…fe35backed Air Force | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed89…647bbacked Air Force | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Air Force | 29c | 49.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e9…4769backed Air Force | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48ab…fcabbacked Air Force | 30c | 35.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed UNLV | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Air Force | 29c | 35.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 220 | 30.5%67 W · 153 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Air Force | 30c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98e0…bf01backed UNLV | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c1…d9febacked UNLV | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fba…1404backed UNLV | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7869…61d8backed UNLV | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6873…5032backed UNLV | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7231…8e0ebacked UNLV | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe424…0d1abacked UNLV | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c6c…ce09backed UNLV | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Air Force | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7d…3181backed UNLV | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c57…fca3backed UNLV | 71c | 20.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc508…c969backed UNLV | 69c | 19.96$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fa…93b1backed UNLV | 71c | 14.51$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.21 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +111.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Air Force vs. UNLVthis page
- Air Force vs. UNLV: O/U 64.5Over won
- O/U 68.5Over won
- Spread: UNLV (-6.5)Air Force won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.