World Politics · resolved market
Will Carney say "Trudeau" during Canadian Election Debate on April 17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x473e1aad0eb420902367be2da0101e6745139ab524eff6a5f687386dc20e791c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,275
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,001
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,275 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9230…22a2backed Yes | 65c | 935$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe37a…6fa4backed No | 35c | 900$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1acf…5379backed Yes | 70c | 510.08$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.5 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -84%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ce…a356backed Yes | 65c | 505$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xace9…3e37backed Yes | 65c | 475$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed No | 41c | 474.14$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.02 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…d203backed Yes | 65c | 450$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6623…789dbacked Yes | 66c | 440$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…28b9backed No | 35c | 435$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa41e…d491backed No | 34c | 405$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3270…fccfbacked Yes | 65c | 405$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec1…a97abacked No | 36c | 400$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa099…d81fbacked No | 31c | 381.01$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.76 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3846…c908backed No | 48c | 372.87$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.49 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbfd…2449backed Yes | 65c | 360$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5765…7a40backed No | 35c | 350$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbd…3880backed No | 35c | 340$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71dd…d61cbacked Yes | 63c | 319.05$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.05 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b21…e328backed No | 36c | 280$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f3…3f6cbacked No | 34c | 280$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5be1…322ebacked No | 35c | 275$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb47…2c8abacked No | 36c | 275$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9b…a2d4backed No | 35c | 275$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7b…bcb4backed No | 35c | 270$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4448…cbe5backed No | 35c | 270$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b12…8e72backed No | 35c | 270$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3a…02bfbacked Yes | 65c | 265$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb756…8a10backed Yes | 66c | 235$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bde…a062backed No | 35c | 225$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a7…b410backed Yes | 64c | 220$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfea2…b797backed No | 40c | 203.75$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.5 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7984…638abacked Yes | 56c | 200$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6858…9b50backed Yes | 64c | 195$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x360a…4f30backed Yes | 64c | 190$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eca…01f2backed No | 34c | 190$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed No | 57c | 185.04$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.62 | 121 | 29.8%36 W · 85 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbc…1054backed No | 35c | 185$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 63c | 171.1$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.27 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbf…ba45backed Yes | 65c | 170$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8275…833ebacked No | 35c | 170$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24cb…94dcbacked Yes | 65c | 160$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f12…89eabacked No | 35c | 160$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8050…49ffbacked No | 35c | 155$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3f…e333backed No | 35c | 153.75$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.31 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424c…5390backed Yes | 65c | 150$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.34per pick | 49cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f5…b6e9backed Yes | 65c | 150$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f70…90d9backed Yes | 66c | 150$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +100.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4622…a640backed Yes | 65c | 150$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaffb…23b6backed Yes | 65c | 145$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d6…2da7backed Yes | 66c | 145$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab8f…bd51backed Yes | 65c | 145$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe760…0ae4backed Yes | 64c | 145$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 24c | 143$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.97 | 449 | 21.2%95 W · 354 L | -21.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb5f…0848backed Yes | 47c | 130$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.2 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2d…43f3backed No | 35c | 125$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +47%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4eea…3c96backed No | 34c | 120$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe81b…5792backed No | 35c | 115$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd33…f625backed No | 35c | 115$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e00…c7dcbacked No | 35c | 110$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +63%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4e…0bdabacked Yes | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed No | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae8…b41abacked No | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b31…1646backed No | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d57…99f5backed No | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe357…e06dbacked Yes | 65c | 90$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aab…91cfbacked Yes | 64c | 85$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e33…3075backed Yes | 64c | 85$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1177…3fe3backed Yes | 65c | 85$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198b…a1dcbacked Yes | 51c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…235abacked Yes | 65c | 65$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58dd…0ed1backed Yes | 65c | 65$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8017…d7debacked Yes | 65c | 65$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 62c | 62.75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…9ae8backed Yes | 64c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 64c | 51$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.11 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3be7…4f2bbacked Yes | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…5025backed Yes | 46c | 48.67$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.28 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x014e…61aabacked Yes | 66c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95d3…b5cabacked Yes | 65c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a2…cd92backed No | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedc0…a6c3backed Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +124%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf57d…8c1ebacked Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 55cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 140 | 33.6%47 W · 93 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa345…55afbacked Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8751…fd3dbacked Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Carney say "Trudeau" during Canadian Election Debate on April 17?this page
- Will Carney say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Canadian Election Debate on April 17?No won
- Will Carney say "Carbon Tax" during Canadian Election Debate on April 17?Yes won
- Will Carney say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Canadian Election Debate on April 17?No won
- Will Carney say "Doug" or "Ford" during Canadian Election Debate on April 17?No won
- Will Carney say "Elbows Up" during Canadian Election Debate on April 17?No won
- Will Carney say "Elon" or "Musk" during Canadian Election Debate on April 17?No won
- Will Carney say "French" 3+ times during Canadian Election Debate on April 17?No won
- Will Carney say "Hockey" during Canadian Election Debate on April 17?No won
- Will Carney say "Immigration" 3+ times during Canadian Election Debate on April 17?No won
- Will Carney say "Pipeline" during Canadian Election Debate on April 17?Yes won
- Will Carney say "Tariffs" 3+ times during Canadian Election Debate on April 17?Yes won
- Will Carney say "Trump" 3+ times during Canadian Election Debate on April 17?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.