Fifa International · resolved market
Will Cape Verde finish second in Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x479f0c102fedf26e21c0614905b651f2634d3e39588e7278aee7ee62a9eabbda
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,689
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,811
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,689 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1341…0853backed No | 38c | 5,308$2,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,017.11 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa526…c9f9backed Yes | 62c | 4,842$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,841.5 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…8322backed Yes | 62c | 1,640$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.32 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadf4…997abacked No | 38c | 900$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83dd…06d2backed Yes | 12c | 499.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.99 | 146 | 35.6%52 W · 94 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…28d6backed Yes | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 40c | 331.12$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.83 | 216 | 30.1%65 W · 151 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed Yes | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…bf77backed No | 46c | 244.79$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.37 | 152 | 61.2%93 W · 59 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes | 10c | 204$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.14 | 350 | 33.7%118 W · 232 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e0…a97ebacked Yes | 58c | 184.48$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.48 | 81 | 33.3%27 W · 54 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4a…4256backed Yes | 6c | 166.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.67 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 12c | 165$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…43bbbacked Yes | 47c | 159.68$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.42 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0121…f722backed No | 28c | 152.62$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.35 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 35c | 140$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 46c | 129.96$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.78 | 302 | 41.4%125 W · 177 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed Yes | 62c | 125$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed No | 46c | 113$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.98 | 235 | 43%101 W · 134 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 25c | 105$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.05 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 16c | 103.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 486 | 36.6%178 W · 308 L | -48.4wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 67c | 97$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.43 | 285 | 54.4%155 W · 130 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 47c | 81.61$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.72 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 130 | 60.8%79 W · 51 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7b…2a5fbacked Yes | 15c | 75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 201 | 42.8%86 W · 115 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd10d…8f16backed Yes | 53c | 72.26$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.67 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.5wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x86ac…26debacked Yes | 69c | 71.16$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.06 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +88.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed No | 62c | 57.58$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.81 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked No | 32c | 56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7437…6e31backed Yes | 51c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x124b…bd60backed No | 76c | 55$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 90 | 78.9%71 W · 19 L | +18.9wins | +0.21per pick | 58cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed Yes | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…5a3dbacked Yes | 68c | 49.48$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.83 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 53c | 44$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.68 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ed…18f6backed Yes | 55c | 43.64$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c0…38d9backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 42c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x610e…b852backed Yes | 41c | 32.74$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.39 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 18cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 41c | 30.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 219 | 58%127 W · 92 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 54c | 28.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…0cabbacked Yes | 69c | 28.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 238 | 55.5%132 W · 106 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb122…b065backed Yes | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 42c | 24.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…6071backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cape Verde finish second in Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?this page
- Will Saudi Arabia finish second in Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?No won
- Will Spain finish second in Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?No won
- Will Uruguay finish second in Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.