Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: NS (-2.5) vs BNK FEARX (+2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48191de85e01abe62dbc6e232e770c211c59207fe78115010437a4c4d42542a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BNK FEARXof Nongshim Red Force, BNK FEARX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,469
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,498
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,469 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac23…a875backed Nongshim Red Force | 31c | 6,747$2,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,102.15 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde67…bab9backed BNK FEARX | 69c | 4,546$3,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,415 | 149 | 52.3%78 W · 71 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed BNK FEARX | 69c | 1,894$1,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.2 | 394 | 48%189 W · 205 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked BNK FEARX | 68c | 864$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed BNK FEARX | 73c | 855.5$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.67 | 745 | 41.1%306 W · 439 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Nongshim Red Force | 36c | 852.94$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.72 | 1,489 | 38.4%572 W · 917 L | -44.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed BNK FEARX | 74c | 770.83$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.25 | 1,042 | 54.8%571 W · 471 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Nongshim Red Force | 19c | 713.95$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.65 | 494 | 32.8%162 W · 332 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Nongshim Red Force | 30c | 615.34$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.7 | 3,066 | 44.6%1,366 W · 1,700 L | -97.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6392…52ddbacked Nongshim Red Force | 14c | 405.36$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.37 | 449 | 48.8%219 W · 230 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x179d…26abbacked Nongshim Red Force | 31c | 320$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 553 | 29.7%164 W · 389 L | -21.2wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8a…61c3backed BNK FEARX | 63c | 257.94$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.86 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Nongshim Red Force | 35c | 255$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.35 | 2,572 | 47.2%1,215 W · 1,357 L | -36.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Nongshim Red Force | 18c | 201.9$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.34 | 2,608 | 39.7%1,035 W · 1,573 L | -84.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91bc…28d6backed BNK FEARX | 68c | 176.47$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.47 | 217 | 58.1%126 W · 91 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd799…8929backed BNK FEARX | 69c | 117.54$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.44 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked Nongshim Red Force | 18c | 116.51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 128 | 34.4%44 W · 84 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d3…c0d1backed Nongshim Red Force | 17c | 114.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12dc…9832backed Nongshim Red Force | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 98 | 41.8%41 W · 57 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed BNK FEARX | 69c | 82.27$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 112 | 51.8%58 W · 54 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Nongshim Red Force | 18c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1,398 | 49.4%691 W · 707 L | -20.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked BNK FEARX | 77c | 68.54$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 352 | 50.3%177 W · 175 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed4…f891backed Nongshim Red Force | 19c | 64.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 522 | 47.3%247 W · 275 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x722f…c00fbacked BNK FEARX | 74c | 62.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.21 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 66cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed Nongshim Red Force | 34c | 60.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 470 | 41.3%194 W · 276 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1df…245ebacked Nongshim Red Force | 32c | 47.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 962 | 53.4%514 W · 448 L | +18.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d8b…e621backed BNK FEARX | 68c | 40.35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.91 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c3…f821backed BNK FEARX | 79c | 36.67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7c…4394backed BNK FEARX | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: NS (-2.5) vs BNK FEARX (+2.5)this page
- Game Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)BNK FEARX won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Play-InBNK FEARX won
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 WinnerNongshim Red Force won
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 WinnerBNK FEARX won
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX - Game 3 WinnerBNK FEARX won
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX - Game 4 WinnerBNK FEARX won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.