Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 3.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1bd1d95dcdf13d95371c91ab4502ec7b07e324a1be9baab96643c3ce2070ca65

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Aug 27, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $34,882
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $45,552

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,882 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Lol
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x7986…baa5backed Under	24c	6,522$1,565 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,565.28	230	47.8%110 W · 120 L	+9.0wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over	75c	4,720$3,533 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,186.91	485	49.9%242 W · 243 L	+9.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e58…5749backed Over	76c	2,748$2,089 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$659.55	70	58.6%41 W · 29 L	-3.3wins	-0.05per pick	63cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed Under	25c	2,637$659 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$659.13	657	51.6%339 W · 318 L	-12.0wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4505…ec35backed Under	25c	2,222$555 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$555.5	45	46.7%21 W · 24 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5c9…1e01backed Over	75c	1,629$1,221 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$407.17	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+13%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ac…6b83backed Over	74c	1,527$1,131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$395.52	292	43.5%127 W · 165 L	-12.7wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over	76c	1,460$1,103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$357.44	1,213	39.6%480 W · 733 L	-44.0wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Over	70c	1,110$780 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$330.32	312	46.2%144 W · 168 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7853…2d49backed Under	25c	999.99$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	65	56.9%37 W · 28 L	+6.2wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Under	28c	999.99$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280	503	36.6%184 W · 319 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	75c	939.27$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$238.94	2,608	39.7%1,035 W · 1,573 L	-84.2wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Over	75c	872.33$651 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$220.89	1,042	54.8%571 W · 471 L	+52.0wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f58…d93abacked Under	29c	864$251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$251.36	66	53%35 W · 31 L	+4.9wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under	30c	856.09$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$254.57	1,489	38.4%572 W · 917 L	-44.8wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x70dc…1dfdbacked Under	32c	783$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$251.65	107	46.7%50 W · 57 L	-7.4wins	-0.07per pick	54cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x997c…51f3backed Under	21c	704.94$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.93	227	44.9%102 W · 125 L	-11.3wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed Over	72c	598.68$433 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$165.35	382	43.5%166 W · 216 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4dc2…698abacked Over	76c	507.18$385 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$121.72	106	41.5%44 W · 62 L	-15.3wins	-0.14per pick	56cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0xe5a9…2c34backed Over	74c	499.99$370 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$130	157	42%66 W · 91 L	-10.9wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed Over	72c	485.68$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135.99	488	42.4%207 W · 281 L	-5.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed Under	25c	466.52$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.63	1,412	44.8%633 W · 779 L	-15.3wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6552…baa4backed Over	76c	440.79$335 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.79	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	-3.9wins	-0.16per pick	62cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Over	76c	421.97$321 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.27	1,666	43.9%732 W · 934 L	-76.1wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9fe…db0dbacked Under	26c	320.12$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.91	352	50.3%177 W · 175 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc670…b781backed Under	27c	284$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.72	373	41.8%156 W · 217 L	-8.5wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed Over	75c	268.91$202 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.23	69	52.2%36 W · 33 L	-5.3wins	-0.08per pick	60cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under	33c	250$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.6	2,572	47.2%1,215 W · 1,357 L	-36.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed Under	27c	246.9$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.59	745	41.1%306 W · 439 L	-20.7wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb8e…3dc3backed Under	25c	240$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	178	36%64 W · 114 L	+10.5wins	+0.06per pick	30cpaid	+18.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x67d6…6562backed Over	76c	234.28$179 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.28	95	46.3%44 W · 51 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Over	71c	203.43$144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.76	1,383	47.4%655 W · 728 L	-35.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13dc…3d01backed Over	75c	200$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	74	48.6%36 W · 38 L	-4.2wins	-0.06per pick	54cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under	26c	198.48$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.6	1,398	49.4%691 W · 707 L	-20.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d3…42e4backed Under	29c	196.69$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.04	274	41.2%113 W · 161 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x01e5…4318backed Over	75c	186.64$139 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.51	22	63.6%14 W · 8 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	62cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4537…fd02backed Over	74c	168.09$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.09	190	53.2%101 W · 89 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ba2…6b6cbacked Over	75c	133.33$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.33	81	43.2%35 W · 46 L	-12.9wins	-0.16per pick	59cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	36-0.12 edge/pick
0xfd4f…a4d3backed Over	75c	128.79$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.2	35	45.7%16 W · 19 L	-3.4wins	-0.10per pick	55cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc1c7…f0a7backed Over	72c	125.68$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.19	136	62.5%85 W · 51 L	-5.6wins	-0.04per pick	67cpaid	-8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Under	20c	124.25$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.99	441	37.2%164 W · 277 L	-11.4wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf7…e5dbbacked Under	25c	120$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	30	50%15 W · 15 L	+2.6wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+42.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under	25c	111$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.75	591	34.2%202 W · 389 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Under	25c	106$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.5	175	42.3%74 W · 101 L	+6.9wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b89…fdf9backed Over	72c	81.63$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.85	533	51%272 W · 261 L	+13.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c19…4418backed Over	74c	70$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.2	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	-6.1wins	-0.22per pick	64cpaid	-41.6%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0xc222…f6ccbacked Over	56c	61.98$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.27	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d28…0d64backed Over	71c	50$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.5	152	44.1%67 W · 85 L	-13.5wins	-0.09per pick	53cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xee0e…38bbbacked Under	30c	49.38$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	769	46.8%360 W · 409 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4b95…b23ebacked Under	30c	42.93$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.88	1,079	44.9%485 W · 594 L	-8.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28d8…eee6backed Over	76c	41.42$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.94	104	44.2%46 W · 58 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c5c…d463backed Over	75c	40$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	58	62.1%36 W · 22 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	61cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8e69…5eb7backed Over	76c	38.6$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.26	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	65cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8038…9547backed Over	73c	30.99$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.52	94	59.6%56 W · 38 L	+4.0wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x11e8…fe6bbacked Over	66c	30.3$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.3	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-2.7wins	-0.15per pick	54cpaid	-21%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xda59…6630backed Over	75c	30$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.5	75	54.7%41 W · 34 L	-12.4wins	-0.17per pick	71cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	36-0.12 edge/pick
0x863f…7b79backed Over	71c	29.99$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.7	579	56%324 W · 255 L	+8.8wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2805…a007backed Over	72c	27.78$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.78	75	58.7%44 W · 31 L	-6.0wins	-0.08per pick	67cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe497…84aabacked Over	74c	27.03$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.03	381	51.2%195 W · 186 L	-8.1wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over	71c	27$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.94	1,494	43.6%651 W · 843 L	-31.6wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over	69c	25$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.75	1,940	35.9%696 W · 1,244 L	-98.9wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x913d…02bfbacked Over	72c	25$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7	198	63.6%126 W · 72 L	-9.6wins	-0.05per pick	68cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Over	76c	21.65$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.15	3,066	44.6%1,366 W · 1,700 L	-97.0wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x78ff…6b68backed Over	73c	20.46$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.46	119	60.5%72 W · 47 L	-8.0wins	-0.07per pick	67cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5391…f8e1backed Over	70c	20$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6	37	48.6%18 W · 19 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-12%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b02…b95fbacked Over	72c	20$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.6	208	71.2%148 W · 60 L	+11.8wins	+0.06per pick	66cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x03cd…f368backed Over	78c	18.97$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.13	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.26per pick	74cpaid	+34.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ef…2864backed Over	71c	18$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.22	183	44.8%82 W · 101 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd62d…02ccbacked Over	70c	15$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.5	550	54.9%302 W · 248 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1a3…0c69backed Over	80c	12.5$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2.5	279	55.6%155 W · 124 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Games Total: O/U 3.5this page
Game Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)BNK FEARX won
Game Handicap: NS (-2.5) vs BNK FEARX (+2.5)BNK FEARX won
Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Play-InBNK FEARX won
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 WinnerNongshim Red Force won
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 WinnerBNK FEARX won
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX - Game 3 WinnerBNK FEARX won
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX - Game 4 WinnerBNK FEARX won
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?Over won
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?Over won
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?Under won
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Games Total: O/U 3.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event