Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9abcb59f22c692598eab3ba085de19bd0057a5955297d17b14bdf1ecde012e64
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,516
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,659
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,516 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5556…2759backed Under | 64c | 1,491$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.91 | 657 | 51.6%339 W · 318 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Over | 36c | 895$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.2 | 485 | 49.9%242 W · 243 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…a926backed Over | 36c | 833.33$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 62c | 728.27$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.2 | 3,066 | 44.6%1,366 W · 1,700 L | -97.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 62c | 654.43$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.82 | 1,489 | 38.4%572 W · 917 L | -44.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ca…8f43backed Over | 35c | 638$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.6 | 233 | 44.6%104 W · 129 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 37c | 506.99$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.62 | 2,608 | 39.7%1,035 W · 1,573 L | -84.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x807f…9615backed Over | 35c | 506.15$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.15 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Under | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 204 | 52%106 W · 98 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 36c | 478$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.72 | 591 | 34.2%202 W · 389 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Under | 61c | 449.74$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.55 | 352 | 50.3%177 W · 175 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 37c | 374.16$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.01 | 1,666 | 43.9%732 W · 934 L | -76.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 48c | 367.79$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.54 | 1,042 | 54.8%571 W · 471 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Under | 64c | 310.93$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.93 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 63c | 240$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.8 | 2,572 | 47.2%1,215 W · 1,357 L | -36.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13dc…3d01backed Over | 52c | 190.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa894…2830backed Under | 64c | 184.23$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.5 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c8…2313backed Over | 36c | 108.33$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc670…b781backed Under | 64c | 102.26$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.08 | 373 | 41.8%156 W · 217 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc2…698abacked Over | 49c | 101.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | -15.3wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…2d41backed Over | 45c | 80.37$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.13 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8850…60b1backed Under | 66c | 75.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 62c | 72.9$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.7 | 1,398 | 49.4%691 W · 707 L | -20.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 67c | 70.81$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.58 | 1,213 | 39.6%480 W · 733 L | -44.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ac…6b83backed Over | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 292 | 43.5%127 W · 165 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 62c | 62.87$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.89 | 503 | 36.6%184 W · 319 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Over | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 663 | 54.3%360 W · 303 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 40c | 46.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 2,279 | 33%753 W · 1,526 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6bf…9ac0backed Over | 56c | 44.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3570…35ddbacked Over | 36c | 44.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 64c | 38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 3,206 | 34%1,089 W · 2,117 L | -150.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 34c | 37.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 2,088 | 30.6%639 W · 1,449 L | -176.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c3…f821backed Over | 46c | 32.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1325…8fd1backed Under | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -20%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x092b…a49bbacked Under | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -56%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43f3…06f9backed Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +7.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…11c0backed Under | 53c | 27.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked Under | 60c | 25.86$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 1,079 | 44.9%485 W · 594 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x091e…9ec4backed Over | 70c | 23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28a1…69a1backed Under | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb4d…975bbacked Under | 69c | 15.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 4.5this page
- Game Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)BNK FEARX won
- Game Handicap: NS (-2.5) vs BNK FEARX (+2.5)BNK FEARX won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Play-InBNK FEARX won
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 WinnerNongshim Red Force won
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 WinnerBNK FEARX won
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX - Game 3 WinnerBNK FEARX won
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX - Game 4 WinnerBNK FEARX won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.