Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b8aa6e23d00264e3853dbef2b92d888875a097f7e787d9c3094cdb68d9040e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BNK FEARXof Nongshim Red Force, BNK FEARX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,606
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,710
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,606 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked BNK FEARX | 55c | 4,593$2,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,067.84 | 991 | 49.1%487 W · 504 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Nongshim Red Force | 38c | 3,949$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.52 | 1,353 | 38.6%522 W · 831 L | -68.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed BNK FEARX | 62c | 2,752$1,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.76 | 485 | 49.9%242 W · 243 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c42…b792backed Nongshim Red Force | 39c | 2,510$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.71 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Nongshim Red Force | 36c | 1,445$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.06 | 2,261 | 37.3%843 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e7…ac8ebacked Nongshim Red Force | 40c | 875$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 158 | 40.5%64 W · 94 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…dd26backed BNK FEARX | 61c | 853.63$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.99 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed BNK FEARX | 47c | 824.41$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.55 | 394 | 48%189 W · 205 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed BNK FEARX | 67c | 768.1$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.5 | 1,042 | 54.8%571 W · 471 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0160…1224backed BNK FEARX | 62c | 759$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.29 | 256 | 42.2%108 W · 148 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…5172backed Nongshim Red Force | 60c | 740.97$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.96 | 437 | 40.5%177 W · 260 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Nongshim Red Force | 40c | 725.45$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.18 | 402 | 40.5%163 W · 239 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed BNK FEARX | 61c | 632.24$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.57 | 657 | 51.6%339 W · 318 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…0b71backed Nongshim Red Force | 68c | 517.7$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.51 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…d5e5backed Nongshim Red Force | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda7…af42backed BNK FEARX | 61c | 491.38$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.38 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36e6…ad16backed BNK FEARX | 61c | 473$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.47 | 84 | 65.5%55 W · 29 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed BNK FEARX | 62c | 450.94$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.36 | 1,666 | 43.9%732 W · 934 L | -76.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked BNK FEARX | 54c | 395.56$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.74 | 3,066 | 44.6%1,366 W · 1,700 L | -97.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked BNK FEARX | 56c | 339.26$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.08 | 352 | 50.3%177 W · 175 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bae…cec4backed Nongshim Red Force | 40c | 335.05$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.02 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ab…3bb3backed Nongshim Red Force | 53c | 285$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x179d…26abbacked Nongshim Red Force | 39c | 254.84$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.39 | 553 | 29.7%164 W · 389 L | -21.2wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed BNK FEARX | 68c | 252.02$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.16 | 607 | 54.7%332 W · 275 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Nongshim Red Force | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 502 | 46.2%232 W · 270 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed BNK FEARX | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 545 | 40.7%222 W · 323 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x203a…935fbacked Nongshim Red Force | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 152 | 62.5%95 W · 57 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb74f…acbbbacked Nongshim Red Force | 61c | 245.9$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…11c0backed Nongshim Red Force | 29c | 208$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.32 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5519…f7e1backed Nongshim Red Force | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 167 | 59.3%99 W · 68 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf8…27cfbacked Nongshim Red Force | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed BNK FEARX | 61c | 196.72$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.72 | 274 | 41.2%113 W · 161 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked BNK FEARX | 62c | 161.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.37 | 778 | 30.2%235 W · 543 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Nongshim Red Force | 54c | 121$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.81 | 1,299 | 42.6%553 W · 746 L | -18.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed BNK FEARX | 40c | 109.2$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.52 | 187 | 42.2%79 W · 108 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed BNK FEARX | 56c | 104.3$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.67 | 745 | 41.1%306 W · 439 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Nongshim Red Force | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Nongshim Red Force | 39c | 98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.22 | 591 | 34.2%202 W · 389 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed BNK FEARX | 40c | 97.08$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.25 | 276 | 42%116 W · 160 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked BNK FEARX | 40c | 97.08$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.25 | 206 | 41.3%85 W · 121 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Nongshim Red Force | 35c | 96.43$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 2,608 | 39.7%1,035 W · 1,573 L | -84.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…238bbacked Nongshim Red Force | 41c | 93.55$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 231 | 40.3%93 W · 138 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee0e…38bbbacked Nongshim Red Force | 41c | 73.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 769 | 46.8%360 W · 409 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed BNK FEARX | 61c | 70$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 112 | 51.8%58 W · 54 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Nongshim Red Force | 39c | 68.13$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e8…65dbbacked Nongshim Red Force | 45c | 62.74$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.24 | 111 | 62.2%69 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8287…059ebacked Nongshim Red Force | 40c | 58.28$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -7.1wins | -0.23per pick | 49cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c3…f821backed BNK FEARX | 66c | 50.96$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed BNK FEARX | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12dc…9832backed Nongshim Red Force | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 98 | 41.8%41 W · 57 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1612…9dedbacked BNK FEARX | 59c | 49.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d8b…e621backed BNK FEARX | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1325…8fd1backed Nongshim Red Force | 41c | 43.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -20%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e8…ef2bbacked BNK FEARX | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 666 | 55.9%372 W · 294 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5c…d463backed Nongshim Red Force | 40c | 33.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed Nongshim Red Force | 40c | 32.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 334 | 50.3%168 W · 166 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…de8abacked Nongshim Red Force | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 798 | 45.1%360 W · 438 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked BNK FEARX | 62c | 25.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 1,079 | 44.9%485 W · 594 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…b56cbacked Nongshim Red Force | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x863f…7b79backed BNK FEARX | 60c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 579 | 56%324 W · 255 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed BNK FEARX | 73c | 16.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 1,489 | 38.4%572 W · 917 L | -44.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)this page
- Game Handicap: NS (-2.5) vs BNK FEARX (+2.5)BNK FEARX won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Play-InBNK FEARX won
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 WinnerNongshim Red Force won
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 WinnerBNK FEARX won
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX - Game 3 WinnerBNK FEARX won
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX - Game 4 WinnerBNK FEARX won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.