Lol · resolved market
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9202f13420605098356522233cc7f126fe91486d83e8d0fec755748a12bf4d0f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,018
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,512
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,018 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Under | 48c | 2,102$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.97 | 1,353 | 38.6%522 W · 831 L | -68.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64c4…1018backed Under | 43c | 2,077$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.74 | 357 | 51.5%184 W · 173 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Over | 52c | 1,972$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.33 | 2,202 | 53.5%1,178 W · 1,024 L | +63.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8a…61c3backed Over | 57c | 1,464$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.48 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 50c | 1,186$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.36 | 1,206 | 44.7%539 W · 667 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Over | 49c | 993.88$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487 | 923 | 51%471 W · 452 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Over | 57c | 941$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.98 | 1,548 | 54.8%849 W · 699 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Under | 50c | 800.41$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.21 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Under | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 920 | 37.5%345 W · 575 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…9077backed Under | 42c | 609.94$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.77 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3776…e17abacked Under | 51c | 412$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.88 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Under | 55c | 366.96$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.96 | 445 | 39.3%175 W · 270 L | -26.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Under | 51c | 353.35$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.14 | 1,412 | 44.8%633 W · 779 L | -15.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…6193backed Over | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 225 | 49.3%111 W · 114 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed Over | 44c | 216.73$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.36 | 1,137 | 48.3%549 W · 588 L | +35.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 57c | 196.87$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.36 | 1,213 | 39.6%480 W · 733 L | -44.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Over | 52c | 192.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 240 | 48.8%117 W · 123 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf247…d8cabacked Over | 52c | 189.75$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.67 | 228 | 57%130 W · 98 L | +21.9wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Under | 51c | 181.71$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.04 | 1,666 | 43.9%732 W · 934 L | -76.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Under | 49c | 151.9$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.71 | 382 | 43.5%166 W · 216 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Under | 44c | 130$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 363 | 49.3%179 W · 184 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Under | 45c | 104.56$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.31 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 269 | 52%140 W · 129 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8a…24c2backed Over | 48c | 96.15$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.15 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Under | 51c | 91$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.59 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…fdf9backed Over | 55c | 54.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 533 | 51%272 W · 261 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf3…d220backed Over | 51c | 48.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e8…65dbbacked Over | 57c | 47.37$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 111 | 62.2%69 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed Under | 45c | 46.75$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 996 | 50.2%500 W · 496 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 50c | 42.61$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 1,398 | 49.4%691 W · 707 L | -20.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…98cabacked Under | 42c | 42.31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.54 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…5badbacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 153 | 62.7%96 W · 57 L | +10.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 57c | 36.74$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 2,608 | 39.7%1,035 W · 1,573 L | -84.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1329…fd4dbacked Over | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 257 | 44.7%115 W · 142 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a75…006ebacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11e8…fe6bbacked Over | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Under | 49c | 25.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 187 | 41.7%78 W · 109 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c33…e0dabacked Under | 49c | 25.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?this page
- Game Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)BNK FEARX won
- Game Handicap: NS (-2.5) vs BNK FEARX (+2.5)BNK FEARX won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Play-InBNK FEARX won
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 WinnerNongshim Red Force won
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 WinnerBNK FEARX won
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX - Game 3 WinnerBNK FEARX won
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX - Game 4 WinnerBNK FEARX won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.