TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Dandelions (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Ilbirs eSportsof Ilbirs eSports, Dandelions
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$28,390
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$34,905

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,390 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x94c1…8036backed Ilbirs eSports66c2,861$1,884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$976.816159%36 W · 25 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Ilbirs eSports67c2,003$1,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.3671342.5%303 W · 410 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Dandelions34c1,900$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654.7338142%160 W · 221 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Dandelions34c1,396$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.811,24844.4%554 W · 694 L+17.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40db…ca8cbacked Ilbirs eSports65c1,207$784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.7154058.9%318 W · 222 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Dandelions34c1,155$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.71,06657%608 W · 458 L+52.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6840…6003backed Ilbirs eSports66c833.33$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.331662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Dandelions26c755.65$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.5871143%306 W · 405 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Dandelions25c673.67$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.281,16447.2%549 W · 615 L-29.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xba01…1a89backed Ilbirs eSports64c627.38$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.865244.2%23 W · 29 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Dandelions9c612.55$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.6369132.6%225 W · 466 L-26.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Dandelions28c549.79$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.47231.9%23 W · 49 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Dandelions15c537.98$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.79644.8%43 W · 53 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Dandelions30c522.51$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.171,15447.7%550 W · 604 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1d3…b8debacked Ilbirs eSports65c500$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17470052.3%366 W · 334 L+47.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+13.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc4cf…2224backed Ilbirs eSports64c468.75$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.756368.3%43 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87e6…9c8abacked Ilbirs eSports74c450.34$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3412253.3%65 W · 57 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7020…d655backed Dandelions23c437.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015150.3%76 W · 75 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Dandelions36c434.99$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.7911847.5%56 W · 62 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Ilbirs eSports64c398$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.2899844.4%443 W · 555 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cd3…226ebacked Dandelions22c392.75$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.2821328.2%60 W · 153 L-16.0wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-28.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x39c2…dc0bbacked Ilbirs eSports65c382.28$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.281770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc20c…fdb5backed Dandelions36c373.06$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.82837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-48.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Dandelions35c349.31$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.5110952.3%57 W · 52 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Dandelions14c336.04$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.6389238.1%340 W · 552 L-42.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Dandelions35c321.46$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.372250%11 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+20.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Dandelions34c300$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10233445.2%151 W · 183 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed Ilbirs eSports65c290.49$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.1746451.5%239 W · 225 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3f8…e0b1backed Dandelions34c275.32$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.6126343%113 W · 150 L+13.9wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xad89…e006backed Dandelions15c249.99$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.510937.6%41 W · 68 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+38.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Dandelions20c245.74$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.841,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Dandelions35c231.84$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.1465647.3%310 W · 346 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Dandelions20c221.26$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.962,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd752…7b4fbacked Ilbirs eSports64c203.13$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.1335461.3%217 W · 137 L+0.6wins0.00per pick61cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0daf…17a9backed Dandelions35c169.84$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30a5…cb35backed Ilbirs eSports66c143.01$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.81266.7%8 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08fa…f1e0backed Dandelions17c141.06$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2781345.1%367 W · 446 L-26.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c5b…a736backed Ilbirs eSports76c137.57$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.232955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-14.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Dandelions35c136.63$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8266947.1%315 W · 354 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x382c…2261backed Ilbirs eSports65c120$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.421155%116 W · 95 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Dandelions10c119.28$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.628048.8%39 W · 41 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Dandelions17c109.04$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2168345.8%313 W · 370 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fd9…932fbacked Dandelions35c108.08$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.662060%12 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Dandelions35c107.48$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.6229432.3%95 W · 199 L-19.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-22.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfc70…8be9backed Ilbirs eSports65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3525354.5%138 W · 115 L+13.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked Dandelions32c99.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.52138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5439…c45bbacked Ilbirs eSports72c97.22$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.222259.1%13 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a1e…f992backed Dandelions34c97.06$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-22.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x035b…c6ddbacked Dandelions36c96.54$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353046.7%14 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked Ilbirs eSports74c80$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.831251.3%160 W · 152 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4911…5aa8backed Ilbirs eSports63c79.73$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.73250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x664f…868cbacked Ilbirs eSports64c78.06$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.06475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+21.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Dandelions34c76.21$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.911,26049.7%626 W · 634 L+21.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0df0…1376backed Dandelions35c70.43$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2540%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Dandelions34c66.94$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.763565.7%23 W · 12 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe803…b60ebacked Dandelions35c58.2$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.378655.8%48 W · 38 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f3d…95b1backed Dandelions36c55.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.20per pick42cpaid-48.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4e33…45f6backed Ilbirs eSports66c48.76$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.581573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x00e8…0039backed Dandelions35c48.57$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick20cpaid+33.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x024c…5fa1backed Dandelions33c48.24$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9213635.3%48 W · 88 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c1f…a7d2backed Ilbirs eSports65c45.95$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.952646.2%12 W · 14 L+3.3wins+0.13per pick33cpaid+30.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Ilbirs eSports75c45$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0617330.1%52 W · 121 L-16.2wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-39.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8d29…872abacked Ilbirs eSports67c44.78$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.781450%7 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x912e…0eaebacked Dandelions26c43.73$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.377424.3%18 W · 56 L-8.3wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-33.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc73a…ba42backed Ilbirs eSports66c40.83$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.883450%17 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Ilbirs eSports79c40$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.444474.8%332 W · 112 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56fb…3a1bbacked Dandelions27c39.14$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.488961.8%55 W · 34 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf07b…def2backed Ilbirs eSports64c39.06$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.068247.6%39 W · 43 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1fd…10ccbacked Dandelions35c36.8$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.888651.2%44 W · 42 L-7.5wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb8fc…b543backed Dandelions34c35.59$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9640%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc262…6587backed Dandelions35c35$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.25540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-42.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Dandelions34c35$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.99835.7%35 W · 63 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff19…3ebebacked Dandelions36c31.9$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.371643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a85…e543backed Dandelions36c31.77$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.31668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.17per pick51cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc4cc…15a7backed Ilbirs eSports66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick75cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde55…1d2abacked Ilbirs eSports66c29.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.157164.8%46 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bbe…cd73backed Ilbirs eSports66c20.34$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x054e…51bdbacked Ilbirs eSports78c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.44153.7%22 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x277b…31fabacked Ilbirs eSports79c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.22646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Ilbirs eSports65c16.22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.79052.2%47 W · 43 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.