Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Dandelions - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa801738815d5a6e7d823e3a383e92ad79301239ecc2f98645da288c76db2dfdf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ilbirs eSportsof Ilbirs eSports, Dandelions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,555
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,285
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,555 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Ilbirs eSports | 68c | 4,800$3,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,544.49 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Dandelions | 9c | 3,000$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.08 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Dandelions | 34c | 1,649$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.35 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Dandelions | 33c | 1,529$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.53 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Ilbirs eSports | 69c | 1,477$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.51 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18c2…529abacked Dandelions | 32c | 1,345$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.94 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba57…1e84backed Ilbirs eSports | 61c | 1,118$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.14 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Dandelions | 36c | 1,000$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.54 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Dandelions | 16c | 925.58$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.49 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…a5d5backed Dandelions | 33c | 850.8$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.29 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Dandelions | 34c | 705.99$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.04 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Ilbirs eSports | 68c | 681.82$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.7 | 177 | 57.6%102 W · 75 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Dandelions | 31c | 613.64$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.67 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Dandelions | 32c | 585$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.2 | 281 | 45.6%128 W · 153 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed Dandelions | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 136 | 35.3%48 W · 88 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Dandelions | 33c | 483.42$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.16 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Dandelions | 18c | 478.19$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.37 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked Ilbirs eSports | 64c | 464$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.54 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Dandelions | 34c | 443.42$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.79 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Ilbirs eSports | 69c | 303.19$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.24 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93b6…5d73backed Dandelions | 15c | 303.09$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.09 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…f081backed Dandelions | 36c | 300$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 156 | 39.1%61 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Dandelions | 30c | 297.76$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.59 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…d655backed Dandelions | 37c | 273.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed Dandelions | 40c | 248.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 263 | 43%113 W · 150 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Ilbirs eSports | 64c | 237.52$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.43 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Dandelions | 16c | 229.57$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.13 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Ilbirs eSports | 65c | 226.1$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.36 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b13…37dbbacked Ilbirs eSports | 67c | 224.87$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.87 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked Dandelions | 32c | 207.27$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.33 | 146 | 41.8%61 W · 85 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…a736backed Ilbirs eSports | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.6 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…ad4cbacked Dandelions | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 106 | 35.8%38 W · 68 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Dandelions | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Dandelions | 30c | 195.66$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.65 | 146 | 55.5%81 W · 65 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Dandelions | 38c | 184.47$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.9 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | +11.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde30…3159backed Dandelions | 32c | 179.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.7 | 195 | 47.2%92 W · 103 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4339…beeebacked Ilbirs eSports | 67c | 179.39$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.89 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Dandelions | 32c | 170.11$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.26 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Dandelions | 18c | 160$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 535 | 38.5%206 W · 329 L | -26.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Ilbirs eSports | 66c | 159.48$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.47 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c2…dc0bbacked Ilbirs eSports | 64c | 155.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.26 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe694…0a08backed Dandelions | 36c | 152.58$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.62 | 181 | 52.5%95 W · 86 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed Ilbirs eSports | 68c | 149.04$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.69 | 234 | 59%138 W · 96 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Dandelions | 32c | 140.63$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe61a…292dbacked Ilbirs eSports | 71c | 139.82$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.93 | 225 | 58.2%131 W · 94 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Dandelions | 30c | 134.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Dandelions | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cf…2224backed Ilbirs eSports | 65c | 118.25$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.52 | 63 | 68.3%43 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Dandelions | 15c | 112.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…7574backed Dandelions | 34c | 110.42$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.46 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Dandelions | 16c | 106.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 173 | 30.1%52 W · 121 L | -16.2wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Ilbirs eSports | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +5.1wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Dandelions | 24c | 95.96$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e9…80c7backed Dandelions | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Dandelions | 35c | 93.53$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.35 | 294 | 32.3%95 W · 199 L | -19.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Dandelions | 18c | 92.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Dandelions | 35c | 91.33$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.71 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f4…c1e4backed Dandelions | 18c | 84.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 426 | 39.4%168 W · 258 L | -39.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Ilbirs eSports | 71c | 77.78$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.53 | 300 | 54.7%164 W · 136 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Ilbirs eSports | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Ilbirs eSports | 63c | 74.16$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.56 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Ilbirs eSports | 62c | 71.68$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.24 | 421 | 46.6%196 W · 225 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked Ilbirs eSports | 72c | 71$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 592 | 54.1%320 W · 272 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Dandelions | 34c | 64.58$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec96…f5d7backed Ilbirs eSports | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 372 | 53%197 W · 175 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3a1bbacked Dandelions | 36c | 61.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Ilbirs eSports | 66c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Dandelions | 22c | 51.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 90 | 31.1%28 W · 62 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Ilbirs eSports | 75c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 589 | 43%253 W · 336 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e33…45f6backed Ilbirs eSports | 60c | 49.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Ilbirs eSports | 67c | 48.31$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.02 | 440 | 49.3%217 W · 223 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc37d…e586backed Ilbirs eSports | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 387 | 59.4%230 W · 157 L | +26.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Ilbirs eSports | 67c | 43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 569 | 45.2%257 W · 312 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Ilbirs eSports | 72c | 40.18$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 587 | 46.5%273 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc399…53abbacked Dandelions | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -5.8wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x180a…bd66backed Ilbirs eSports | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Ilbirs eSports | 67c | 36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.72 | 473 | 58.6%277 W · 196 L | +25.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4d…39c3backed Ilbirs eSports | 71c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a3…fad7backed Ilbirs eSports | 68c | 34.76$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Ilbirs eSports | 66c | 32.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.03 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4420…5658backed Ilbirs eSports | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2756…e8c7backed Ilbirs eSports | 69c | 27.86$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 206 | 61.7%127 W · 79 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5b…3b06backed Ilbirs eSports | 76c | 26.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe717…0710backed Ilbirs eSports | 69c | 21.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 211 | 58.8%124 W · 87 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab1…638bbacked Ilbirs eSports | 66c | 20.34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x772b…5facbacked Ilbirs eSports | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 268 | 48.9%131 W · 137 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5965…d26dbacked Ilbirs eSports | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa5…a94abacked Ilbirs eSports | 74c | 19.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7670…d5a0backed Ilbirs eSports | 72c | 13.83$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc5…9fcfbacked Ilbirs eSports | 72c | 13.83$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.83 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Dandelions - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Dandelions (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group BIlbirs eSports won
- Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Dandelions - Game 1 WinnerIlbirs eSports won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game 2: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game Handicap: ILL (-1.5) vs Dandelions (+1.5)Ilbirs eSports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.