NBA · resolved market
Heat vs. Hornets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b18fd6f4a81cf2af0e38d78a1f8e74b6a1ffcdf44ff10127a4d65d8ea87138c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heatof Heat, Hornets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $116,736
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $123,560
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,736 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 220 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Heat | 71c | 7,850$5,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,294.36 | 150 | 56.7%85 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28c1…a4ccbacked Hornets | 42c | 6,291$2,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,616.62 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd889…cf51backed Heat | 63c | 5,582$3,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,068.78 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Hornets | 34c | 5,574$1,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,878.44 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Hornets | 1c | 4,581$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.1 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Hornets | 38c | 3,948$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.32 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Hornets | 6c | 3,264$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.5 | 117 | 19.7%23 W · 94 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd065…93e8backed Hornets | 39c | 2,575$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Hornets | 35c | 2,483$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.36 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e6…cc3abacked Heat | 62c | 2,288$1,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.44 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Hornets | 39c | 2,050$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked Heat | 71c | 1,669$1,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.19 | 265 | 47.9%127 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…feb3backed Heat | 61c | 1,601$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.9 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccb…0a10backed Hornets | 39c | 1,487$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.82 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Hornets | 28c | 1,435$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.55 | 236 | 46.6%110 W · 126 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e0…f11cbacked Hornets | 5c | 1,200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Heat | 61c | 1,137$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.55 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Hornets | 12c | 1,003$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.61 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Heat | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…13c9backed Hornets | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 235 | 48.1%113 W · 122 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Hornets | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Heat | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Hornets | 37c | 999.99$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…5ca9backed Hornets | 38c | 999.87$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.95 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf73…0436backed Hornets | 40c | 770$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb1…73eebacked Heat | 61c | 702$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.78 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Hornets | 64c | 684.56$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.17 | 109 | 26.6%29 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…b3c5backed Hornets | 32c | 613.42$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.35 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ded…5d66backed Heat | 67c | 597.58$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.49 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0661…a72ebacked Heat | 62c | 564.52$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.52 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Hornets | 30c | 546.55$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a2a…9146backed Hornets | 39c | 512$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.68 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986f…cac8backed Hornets | 11c | 508.09$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.89 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e7…a536backed Hornets | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Hornets | 37c | 499.99$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Hornets | 34c | 499.61$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.37 | 239 | 56.1%134 W · 105 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5de…df2abacked Hornets | 38c | 460$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.8 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8b…4f21backed Heat | 63c | 450$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 128 | 41.4%53 W · 75 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70a…6de8backed Heat | 47c | 425.22$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.18 | 84 | 60.7%51 W · 33 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e12…141ebacked Hornets | 24c | 417.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 109 | 21.1%23 W · 86 L | -10.5wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6b…1262backed Heat | 62c | 406.11$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b3b5backed Heat | 62c | 403.86$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.47 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4884…9cf8backed Hornets | 40c | 397.5$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed Hornets | 38c | 381.31$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.09 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x529f…1cfabacked Heat | 61c | 378.07$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.18 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Hornets | 29c | 364.22$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.6 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Hornets | 38c | 356.59$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.38 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36ed…6950backed Hornets | 36c | 351.95$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e95…89d2backed Heat | 61c | 332.33$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.61 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…6e48backed Hornets | 38c | 325.39$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.65 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 60cpaid | +37%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc141…fc95backed Heat | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…97b3backed Heat | 62c | 322.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.56 | 213 | 38%81 W · 132 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3add…a76dbacked Hornets | 40c | 322.5$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78a6…5ceebacked Hornets | 40c | 317.5$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Hornets | 39c | 313.07$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.32 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98f3…bf14backed Hornets | 38c | 300.27$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.1 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3462…d3d2backed Hornets | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 101 | 53.5%54 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bf…b25ebacked Heat | 64c | 262.27$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.54 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Heat | 62c | 262$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.56 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Hornets | 78c | 259.19$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.99 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +6.6wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9bad…74a7backed Hornets | 19c | 250$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 152 | 34.9%53 W · 99 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdd…0b07backed Heat | 63c | 240.49$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.79 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…6bf5backed Heat | 62c | 240.47$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.38 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…dbbbbacked Heat | 61c | 223.36$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.11 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Hornets | 39c | 221.99$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.57 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f69…f762backed Hornets | 39c | 208.38$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…5aaebacked Heat | 62c | 208.31$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b14…f682backed Heat | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…e32abacked Heat | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 174 | 64.9%113 W · 61 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x173c…5db5backed Hornets | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8580…4612backed Hornets | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 56 | 17.9%10 W · 46 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Heat | 61c | 199.99$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.99 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb801…9c97backed Heat | 63c | 173.02$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.02 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03e3…08e0backed Heat | 74c | 170$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.6 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf5…c7d5backed Heat | 60c | 170$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Hornets | 11c | 166.02$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…c75dbacked Heat | 62c | 166$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e99…c594backed Heat | 61c | 165.43$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7b…d15ebacked Heat | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Heat | 71c | 161.34$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.34 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5726…9c06backed Heat | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e71…a426backed Heat | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Heat | 62c | 160$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.8 | 256 | 51.6%132 W · 124 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Heat | 64c | 156.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.72 | 186 | 66.1%123 W · 63 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Hornets | 35c | 150$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 774 | 37.5%290 W · 484 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad3…8f5fbacked Heat | 62c | 150$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Hornets | 25c | 143.62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eed…0c9abacked Hornets | 27c | 142$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.98 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…7693backed Heat | 61c | 136.38$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.19 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaba0…6d01backed Heat | 61c | 131.15$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.15 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf81c…b112backed Heat | 62c | 128.21$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.72 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…3eedbacked Hornets | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 277 | 35.4%98 W · 179 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a12…e9c0backed Hornets | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa773…5191backed Hornets | 78c | 121.79$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed Hornets | 36c | 111$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 245 | 49%120 W · 125 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a52…3390backed Hornets | 28c | 104.91$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.17 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -80.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc745…9499backed Hornets | 21c | 101.03$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -11.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe93f…8a2ebacked Hornets | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…e446backed Hornets | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbed…aa02backed Heat | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 227 | 21.6%49 W · 178 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.