NHL · resolved market
KHL: Spartak Moscow vs. Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b55787cb106ab52b59fa19437a60c71d48b2044ad4a776c8bf455745010d38d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lokomotiv Yaroslavlof Spartak Moscow, Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,181
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,371
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,181 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 75c | 720.18$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.88 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Spartak Moscow | 25c | 699.18$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.97 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 71c | 639.97$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.79 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Spartak Moscow | 22c | 603$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.54 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 70c | 601.66$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.16 | 253 | 45.5%115 W · 138 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Spartak Moscow | 40c | 440.57$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.65 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 68c | 347.09$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.39 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Spartak Moscow | 39c | 240$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.6 | 572 | 38.1%218 W · 354 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Spartak Moscow | 27c | 224.5$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.57 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 61c | 213.98$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.62 | 222 | 50.5%112 W · 110 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 72c | 192$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.2 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Spartak Moscow | 36c | 141$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.98 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb3…dfbebacked Spartak Moscow | 15c | 135.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 62c | 132.57$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.7 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f4…2737backed Spartak Moscow | 12c | 129.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.24per pick | 42cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Spartak Moscow | 36c | 93.61$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.63 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Spartak Moscow | 33c | 86.73$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 323 | 53.9%174 W · 149 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…fc98backed Spartak Moscow | 43c | 86.61$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.07 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8278…ad93backed Spartak Moscow | 28c | 82$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 56 | 76.8%43 W · 13 L | +10.8wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Spartak Moscow | 37c | 74.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.47 | 226 | 55.3%125 W · 101 L | +17.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Spartak Moscow | 34c | 73.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.67 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 75c | 60.24$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…daa5backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 63c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Spartak Moscow | 45c | 58$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.05 | 173 | 63%109 W · 64 L | +16.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 69 | 31.9%22 W · 47 L | -8.3wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 68c | 48.64$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Spartak Moscow | 36c | 40.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 924 | 44.5%411 W · 513 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Spartak Moscow | 45c | 38.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 211 | 58.8%124 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7be…908dbacked Spartak Moscow | 40c | 37.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 66c | 28.69$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 524 | 51%267 W · 257 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Spartak Moscow | 37c | 28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 153 | 68%104 W · 49 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 71c | 27.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 208 | 55.8%116 W · 92 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 66c | 27.31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Spartak Moscow | 46c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 276 | 59.4%164 W · 112 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed Spartak Moscow | 42c | 25.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc916…5403backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 61c | 24.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff7…d3c9backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 70c | 19.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07e…6e8fbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 60c | 17.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d960backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 75c | 16.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.19 | 366 | 62%227 W · 139 L | +39.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xddb2…4870backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ef…3836backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e3…7b48backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x403d…2709backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x341b…4728backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf79…796ebacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.