Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Tennessee State Tigers vs. Lindenwood Lions
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4baa3963f809bdbef9cd2e7bf3eaec189988d297d1e665c7c07d1048fb5a15a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tennessee State Tigersof Tennessee State Tigers, Lindenwood Lions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,512
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,874
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,512 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Lindenwood Lions | 50c | 8,936$4,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,452.2 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Tennessee State Tigers | 54c | 3,358$1,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.09 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…d369backed Tennessee State Tigers | 48c | 2,071$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.26 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Lindenwood Lions | 16c | 1,082$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.76 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Tennessee State Tigers | 38c | 999.99$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.99 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Lindenwood Lions | 62c | 950.42$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.26 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tennessee State Tigers | 44c | 930.91$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.88 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Lindenwood Lions | 64c | 906.33$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 407 | 55.8%227 W · 180 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Tennessee State Tigers | 52c | 869.91$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.94 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Lindenwood Lions | 20c | 861.12$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.02 | 138 | 40.6%56 W · 82 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Lindenwood Lions | 27c | 724.11$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.2 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Tennessee State Tigers | 36c | 697.18$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.24 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Tennessee State Tigers | 64c | 691.67$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.96 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Tennessee State Tigers | 60c | 511.46$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.16 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Tennessee State Tigers | 51c | 501$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.49 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Tennessee State Tigers | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.3 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6985…afdfbacked Tennessee State Tigers | 33c | 463.94$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +153.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Tennessee State Tigers | 46c | 322.43$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.11 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf8…3397backed Tennessee State Tigers | 38c | 300.26$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.46 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Lindenwood Lions | 53c | 294.7$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.19 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Lindenwood Lions | 28c | 288.6$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.03 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Lindenwood Lions | 59c | 205.99$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.54 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Lindenwood Lions | 64c | 204$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.81 | 195 | 54.9%107 W · 88 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Tennessee State Tigers | 38c | 159.71$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.77 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Tennessee State Tigers | 42c | 152.09$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.92 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Tennessee State Tigers | 55c | 150$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.14 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Tennessee State Tigers | 36c | 129$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.56 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bc…963cbacked Lindenwood Lions | 68c | 114$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.62 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Lindenwood Lions | 16c | 112.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tennessee State Tigers | 36c | 112$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.2 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Lindenwood Lions | 62c | 93$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.66 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Lindenwood Lions | 53c | 71.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.23 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3a…e1f0backed Tennessee State Tigers | 41c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 268 | 48.1%129 W · 139 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc377…3e5dbacked Tennessee State Tigers | 75c | 54.89$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Tennessee State Tigers | 38c | 49.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…ce65backed Tennessee State Tigers | 46c | 49.98$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed Lindenwood Lions | 58c | 44.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.77 | 186 | 54.3%101 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1981…3867backed Tennessee State Tigers | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c7…943fbacked Tennessee State Tigers | 43c | 35.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.26 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 30cpaid | +94.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Tennessee State Tigers | 43c | 35.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.05 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Tennessee State Tigers | 33c | 32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 290 | 12.1%35 W · 255 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6271…4ac6backed Tennessee State Tigers | 48c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…47afbacked Tennessee State Tigers | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f89…b87ebacked Tennessee State Tigers | 46c | 28.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 61cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x450a…a7debacked Tennessee State Tigers | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Tennessee State Tigers | 49c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tennessee State Tigers vs. Lindenwood Lionsthis page
- Tennessee State Tigers vs. Lindenwood Lions: O/U 161.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.