Tennis · resolved market

Cattolica: Petr Nesterov vs Marco Cecchinato

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c9a25f4fb21f4c41a2a786c8b21d9db60f98fbe90f1d8fdb88f3847525853e3

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Marco Cecchinatoof Petr Nesterov, Marco Cecchinato
Resolved: Jun 9, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $65,200
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $82,451

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,200 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tennis
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Petr Nesterov	16c	12,627$2,056 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,055.53	8,828	36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L	-193.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Marco Cecchinato	71c	11,967$8,508 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,459.08	655	58.9%386 W · 269 L	-32.1wins	-0.05per pick	64cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Petr Nesterov	27c	3,841$1,030 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,030.01	3,605	42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L	-43.2wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Petr Nesterov	35c	2,588$906 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$905.67	1,475	35.2%519 W · 956 L	-14.1wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dfe…a5d6backed Marco Cecchinato	69c	2,452$1,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$751.76	504	58.9%297 W · 207 L	+9.6wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Petr Nesterov	20c	2,309$453 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$452.71	4,185	44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L	+14.9wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Marco Cecchinato	67c	2,262$1,506 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$755.59	3,256	48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L	-53.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Marco Cecchinato	67c	2,046$1,371 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$675.18	1,658	49.9%828 W · 830 L	+7.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Petr Nesterov	33c	1,826$602 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$601.93	4,533	67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L	+306.6wins	+0.07per pick	61cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3709…bb80backed Petr Nesterov	11c	1,818$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	23	13%3 W · 20 L	-1.8wins	-0.08per pick	21cpaid	-55.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Petr Nesterov	30c	953.5$286 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$286.05	568	27.3%155 W · 413 L	+23.1wins	+0.04per pick	23cpaid	+25%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Petr Nesterov	7c	718.99$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.86	2,485	35.9%893 W · 1,592 L	-28.5wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Marco Cecchinato	72c	695.65$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$195.96	8,505	42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L	-166.3wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Petr Nesterov	33c	600$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198	7,049	39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L	-20.5wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Marco Cecchinato	64c	580.98$372 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$209.15	1,865	44.7%834 W · 1,031 L	+36.5wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Petr Nesterov	18c	506$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.08	4,921	38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L	-20.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Petr Nesterov	31c	462.46$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.99	1,125	51.1%575 W · 550 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Marco Cecchinato	68c	441.18$299 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$142.18	1,458	54%787 W · 671 L	-33.0wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	+64.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Petr Nesterov	26c	421.22$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.3	1,870	16%299 W · 1,571 L	-314.3wins	-0.17per pick	33cpaid	-65.6%equal weight	32-0.17 edge/pick
0x692b…b4f2backed Marco Cecchinato	70c	384.99$269 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.5	457	44.2%202 W · 255 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b6b…ec86backed Petr Nesterov	27c	368.7$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	1,062	31.8%338 W · 724 L	-27.2wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Petr Nesterov	32c	314.94$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.56	2,735	34%931 W · 1,804 L	-13.2wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Petr Nesterov	31c	302$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.62	7,724	47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L	+41.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Petr Nesterov	18c	300$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	6,720	36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L	-95.8wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Petr Nesterov	33c	240$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.2	921	38.4%354 W · 567 L	+11.2wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Marco Cecchinato	67c	200$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66	1,541	49.2%758 W · 783 L	+16.2wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Petr Nesterov	32c	156.25$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	5,261	28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L	-19.4wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Petr Nesterov	22c	136.36$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	2,151	37.3%802 W · 1,349 L	-27.2wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Petr Nesterov	20c	130$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	3,424	39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L	-12.3wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Petr Nesterov	17c	127.08$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.16	857	42.8%367 W · 490 L	-23.4wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Petr Nesterov	19c	121.05$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	1,853	57.7%1,069 W · 784 L	+106.8wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1cf5…31f9backed Petr Nesterov	27c	107.41$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	58	50%29 W · 29 L	+2.4wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Petr Nesterov	31c	100$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	1,882	35.5%669 W · 1,213 L	+26.8wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4c0…22ebbacked Petr Nesterov	11c	99.99$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	405	27.2%110 W · 295 L	-17.2wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3a2…8ff7backed Petr Nesterov	33c	93.76$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.94	394	43.9%173 W · 221 L	+19.6wins	+0.05per pick	39cpaid	+19.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x72dd…5ea8backed Marco Cecchinato	76c	84.21$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.21	50	54%27 W · 23 L	-2.7wins	-0.05per pick	59cpaid	-9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Petr Nesterov	28c	80.56$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.56	856	34.2%293 W · 563 L	+16.9wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5ea…42e8backed Petr Nesterov	33c	78.17$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.8	898	59.7%536 W · 362 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc7c7…3b08backed Marco Cecchinato	71c	70.42$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.42	509	58%295 W · 214 L	-26.5wins	-0.05per pick	63cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x387f…70a8backed Marco Cecchinato	66c	65.86$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.39	75	62.7%47 W · 28 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	64cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa276…dcfabacked Marco Cecchinato	72c	62.5$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.5	46	52.2%24 W · 22 L	-2.5wins	-0.06per pick	58cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc07…5ccabacked Petr Nesterov	33c	60.61$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	82	42.7%35 W · 47 L	-3.4wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Marco Cecchinato	78c	56.7$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.75	5,416	48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L	+14.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8d19…bf25backed Marco Cecchinato	67c	52.24$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.24	647	55%356 W · 291 L	-16.0wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x03c2…2034backed Petr Nesterov	30c	51.56$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.58	47	44.7%21 W · 26 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Petr Nesterov	33c	49.5$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.34	7,816	50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L	+95.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed0d…3646backed Marco Cecchinato	64c	46.33$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.68	154	54.5%84 W · 70 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Petr Nesterov	30c	45$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.5	1,062	42%446 W · 616 L	-5.5wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Marco Cecchinato	73c	38.73$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.46	1,639	55.1%903 W · 736 L	+10.8wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf46…8734backed Petr Nesterov	28c	38.46$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.77	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.16per pick	28cpaid	-83.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd58a…5448backed Petr Nesterov	34c	36.12$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.28	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+0.7wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+67%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd96…11a3backed Marco Cecchinato	70c	30.1$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.91	2,274	58%1,318 W · 956 L	-10.3wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0149…2f04backed Marco Cecchinato	72c	27.78$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.78	22	86.4%19 W · 3 L	+2.7wins	+0.12per pick	74cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x77bd…e48fbacked Marco Cecchinato	77c	25$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.73	150	53.3%80 W · 70 L	+3.9wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Marco Cecchinato	69c	25$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.75	3,874	45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L	-39.6wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5151…fba8backed Marco Cecchinato	72c	24.33$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.81	380	74.5%283 W · 97 L	+3.9wins	+0.01per pick	73cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Marco Cecchinato	65c	20$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.1	1,250	44.7%559 W · 691 L	-6.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked Marco Cecchinato	70c	20$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6	398	51%203 W · 195 L	+6.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6b3…5821backed Marco Cecchinato	72c	16.67$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.67	85	61.2%52 W · 33 L	-2.9wins	-0.03per pick	65cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Cattolica: Petr Nesterov vs Marco Cecchinatothis page
Set 1 Winner: Nesterov vs CecchinatoCecchinato won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Cattolica: Petr Nesterov vs Marco Cecchinato

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event