South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Querétaro FC win on 2026-07-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4fc313eab7bd32c7b42cc253fbe01fbba0031fe8109599a0c568938003f868ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $170,464
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $173,301
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $170,464 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 30c | 22,860$6,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,071.39 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Yes | 18c | 9,648$1,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,942.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +88.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed No | 5c | 9,085$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.25 | 200 | 36.5%73 W · 127 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6b…96e1backed No | 3c | 6,109$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.1 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked No | 38c | 5,912$2,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,273.25 | 127 | 37.8%48 W · 79 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 18c | 5,641$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,625.62 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 13c | 5,539$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,795.78 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed Yes | 77c | 5,322$4,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198.68 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed No | 26c | 4,426$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.22 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf80…3259backed No | 4c | 4,176$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.63 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 74c | 3,702$2,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.58 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 31c | 3,523$1,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,436.21 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 18c | 3,030$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,484.9 | 289 | 40.1%116 W · 173 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 73c | 2,849$2,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.38 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…3347backed No | 4c | 2,778$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.97 | 215 | 38.1%82 W · 133 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes | 9c | 2,000$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,825.14 | 123 | 38.2%47 W · 76 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…0fa7backed No | 2c | 2,000$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.67 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…2307backed Yes | 78c | 1,766$1,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.68 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Yes | 16c | 1,448$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,216.06 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 45c | 1,232$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.15 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 41c | 1,056$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.97 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed Yes | 9c | 1,006$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.08 | 88 | 18.2%16 W · 72 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 6c | 930.51$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.23 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 12c | 879.37$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.85 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 18c | 873.79$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.44 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x677e…4a1fbacked No | 11c | 820.83$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.16 | 113 | 28.3%32 W · 81 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 10c | 783$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.11 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes | 72c | 671.1$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.91 | 230 | 44.3%102 W · 128 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 8c | 636.5$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.68 | 311 | 36.7%114 W · 197 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed No | 2c | 545.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 110 | 39.1%43 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2b…3e5cbacked No | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x415a…7577backed Yes | 19c | 488$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +123.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 22c | 453$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.07 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 18c | 410$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.2 | 382 | 33%126 W · 256 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Yes | 16c | 399.97$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.98 | 197 | 11.2%22 W · 175 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 18c | 393.63$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.12 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 16c | 359.63$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.56 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 38c | 343.53$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.15 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…d264backed No | 26c | 341$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.66 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0b…2500backed No | 10c | 335.7$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 156 | 25.6%40 W · 116 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked No | 39c | 293.74$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.27 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Yes | 30c | 240.84$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.98 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9f…6561backed Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.1 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 22cpaid | +94.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Yes | 17c | 233$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.39 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 8c | 204.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed No | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 67c | 163.74$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.76 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked Yes | 59c | 152.54$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.54 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +94.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90aa…00f1backed Yes | 15c | 148.28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.17 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 9c | 139.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.18 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4abb…d858backed Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked No | 41c | 127$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.68 | 151 | 43%65 W · 86 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 55c | 125.57$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.62 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5998…b5a8backed Yes | 18c | 122.86$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.76 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b83…b2e8backed Yes | 9c | 122.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.22 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Yes | 43c | 113.54$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.57 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 30c | 108$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.19 | 352 | 46.9%165 W · 187 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa963…1920backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Yes | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.62 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46d4…ab12backed Yes | 22c | 89.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.35 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 72c | 77.49$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.04 | 245 | 35.5%87 W · 158 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 14c | 76.79$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.37 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 75c | 67.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.79 | 217 | 65.4%142 W · 75 L | +24.1wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e8…b560backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 21cpaid | +79.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 75c | 51.55$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.57 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e8…c60ebacked Yes | 53c | 49.49$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.26 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.26per pick | 51cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…e36bbacked Yes | 79c | 36.39$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 75c | 14.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.59 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Querétaro FC win on 2026-07-26?this page
- Will CF Pachuca vs. Querétaro FC end in a draw?No won
- Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-07-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.