MLB · resolved market
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. Hanwha Eagles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50020f4060d4bad04f40a528cafff312c31a9b45dcc76b4f9a3306a60332ac70
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Samsung Lionsof Samsung Lions, Hanwha Eagles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,608
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,001
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,608 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdef2…0a80backed Samsung Lions | 51c | 1,609$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.1 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Hanwha Eagles | 5c | 754.03$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.84 | 856 | 35.7%306 W · 550 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Hanwha Eagles | 54c | 739.34$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.53 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb22a…a80dbacked Samsung Lions | 47c | 688.74$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.47 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Hanwha Eagles | 52c | 600.03$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.01 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hanwha Eagles | 55c | 515.25$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.83 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Samsung Lions | 45c | 487.82$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.3 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Samsung Lions | 45c | 391.68$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.47 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d8c…35b0backed Hanwha Eagles | 55c | 353.82$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.6 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Hanwha Eagles | 50c | 351.38$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.31 | 296 | 47.3%140 W · 156 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Samsung Lions | 47c | 329.69$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.78 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Hanwha Eagles | 51c | 278.68$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.07 | 1,538 | 48.6%747 W · 791 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Hanwha Eagles | 54c | 257.71$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.08 | 1,939 | 41.2%799 W · 1,140 L | -30.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…55acbacked Samsung Lions | 47c | 255.68$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.39 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Hanwha Eagles | 22c | 205.35$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.01 | 422 | 41%173 W · 249 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…6a1bbacked Samsung Lions | 46c | 199.98$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.99 | 363 | 45.7%166 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Hanwha Eagles | 11c | 148.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Samsung Lions | 37c | 135$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.28 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +4.9wins | +0.22per pick | 37cpaid | +67%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Hanwha Eagles | 9c | 121.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 1,947 | 53.1%1,033 W · 914 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Samsung Lions | 25c | 106$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.18 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b3…4155backed Samsung Lions | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6281…e326backed Hanwha Eagles | 57c | 97.42$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Hanwha Eagles | 56c | 95.85$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.67 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked Hanwha Eagles | 56c | 95.85$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.67 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -9.0wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -33%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…04e4backed Hanwha Eagles | 56c | 95.85$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.67 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Hanwha Eagles | 56c | 95.85$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.67 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Samsung Lions | 25c | 93$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.47 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Hanwha Eagles | 54c | 88.8$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.03 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | -9.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea3d…2e9dbacked Hanwha Eagles | 57c | 85.73$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.87 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +4.5wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x94ba…001dbacked Samsung Lions | 15c | 74.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.35 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 9cpaid | +131%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Samsung Lions | 45c | 62.74$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d75…5b0dbacked Samsung Lions | 47c | 61.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.75 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Samsung Lions | 46c | 56.3$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.26 | 291 | 41.6%121 W · 170 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7abf…8dd3backed Hanwha Eagles | 56c | 53.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Samsung Lions | 25c | 53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.59 | 99 | 39.4%39 W · 60 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Samsung Lions | 66c | 52.12$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Samsung Lions | 43c | 50.03$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.27 | 2,995 | 47.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L | +12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked Hanwha Eagles | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Samsung Lions | 46c | 48.79$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.22 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Hanwha Eagles | 48c | 46.66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 378 | 44.4%168 W · 210 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb94…7bc0backed Hanwha Eagles | 56c | 46.04$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.66 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa88a…2ac9backed Samsung Lions | 47c | 40.94$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.58 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Samsung Lions | 46c | 38.83$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 235 | 22.6%53 W · 182 L | -20.7wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Hanwha Eagles | 54c | 38.06$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 185 | 53.5%99 W · 86 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Hanwha Eagles | 52c | 38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19f5…c385backed Hanwha Eagles | 54c | 36.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -6.8wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Samsung Lions | 79c | 35.81$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 456 | 50.4%230 W · 226 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb756…5846backed Hanwha Eagles | 56c | 34.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Hanwha Eagles | 54c | 34.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 950 | 41.5%394 W · 556 L | -48.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacb7…b2a7backed Samsung Lions | 69c | 33.24$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…0a8cbacked Hanwha Eagles | 54c | 31.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Hanwha Eagles | 52c | 31.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27ca…e628backed Samsung Lions | 48c | 30.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.97 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Samsung Lions | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f38…39f2backed Hanwha Eagles | 55c | 29.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4271…3f6dbacked Samsung Lions | 49c | 29.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.22 | 407 | 50.4%205 W · 202 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b3…626abacked Hanwha Eagles | 55c | 22.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Hanwha Eagles | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.