TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa88a…2ac9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
62
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: MLB, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 56 out of 100; worst Tennis at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT2133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-23.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
Tennis — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BMW Open: Joao Fonseca vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$68.38
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Karolina Muchova vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.14
Oeiras 3: Rebecca Sramkova vs Petra Marcinkobacked Petra Marcinko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$42.93
Barcelona Open: Tomas Machac vs Andrey Rublevbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$42.35
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Linda Noskova vs Elina Svitolinabacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$60.54
BMW Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Alex Molcanbacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.6
Oeiras 3: Rebeka Masarova vs Simona Waltertbacked Rebeka Masarova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.43
Busan: August Holmgren vs Alexis Galarneaubacked Alexis Galarneau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.92
Wuning 2: Sergey Fomin vs Moerani Bouzigebacked Sergey Fomin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+73.2%+$60.29
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Ann Libacked Kamilla Rakhimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.07
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Alycia Parks vs Noma Noha Akuguebacked Noma Noha Akugue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.32
BMW Open: Alexander Blockx vs Ben Sheltonbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.63
Oeiras 3: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Suzan Lamensbacked Carol Young Suh Lee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.26
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Lilli Taggerbacked Lilli Tagger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.36
BMW Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.02
Barcelona Open: Nuno Borges vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$40.8
Busan: Yi Zhou vs Pavel Kotovbacked Yi Zhou · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.26
Oeiras 3: Guy Den Ouden vs Jaime Fariabacked Guy Den Ouden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.68
BMW Open: Alex Molcan vs Alexander Bublikbacked Alex Molcan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$61.5
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Jelena Ostapenko vs Gabriela Rusebacked Jelena Ostapenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.83
Madrid: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Zsombor Pirosbacked Alejandro Moro Canas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.13
All 21 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT119.1%1 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick7cpaid-42.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+533.7%+$165.44
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
All 11 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.29per pick54cpaid+57.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+52.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trail Blazers vs. Suns: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.19
Clippers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$35.86
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+150%+$28.92
Hawks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.56
All 4 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+19.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ducks vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.12
Jets vs. Utahbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Devils vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$27.91
Capitals vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$31.22
All 4 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick12cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-55.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs REKONIX (BO3) - DreamLeague Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$19.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$14.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shanxi Loongs vs. Zhejiang Lionsbacked Zhejiang Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.39
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.