CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Brute vs MOUZ NXT (BO1) - Urban Riga Open #6 Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x509e6ea15a5d18694016fe2ee3283697409a87ec7fc09cbfeb75c681eaebae23
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bruteof Brute, MOUZ NXT
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,102
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,931
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,102 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed MOUZ NXT | 38c | 991.5$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.3 | 809 | 42.3%342 W · 467 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed MOUZ NXT | 33c | 879.23$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.82 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Brute | 62c | 765.96$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.74 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked MOUZ NXT | 39c | 728.72$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.4 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Brute | 63c | 595.24$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.39 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed Brute | 54c | 444.16$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.47 | 521 | 50.3%262 W · 259 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…88f9backed MOUZ NXT | 40c | 412.5$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 470 | 54%254 W · 216 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6421…045dbacked Brute | 67c | 353$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.49 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed MOUZ NXT | 50c | 324$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.38 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…c920backed Brute | 67c | 301.61$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.61 | 173 | 61.3%106 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Brute | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc6…4b55backed Brute | 63c | 269.84$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.84 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed MOUZ NXT | 39c | 239.99$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.6 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Brute | 61c | 220$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.8 | 247 | 46.6%115 W · 132 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe30a…fcd8backed Brute | 69c | 187.85$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.42 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed MOUZ NXT | 39c | 187.64$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.02 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd13…dad6backed MOUZ NXT | 11c | 186.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Brute | 60c | 179.75$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.9 | 324 | 58%188 W · 136 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked MOUZ NXT | 49c | 179.02$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.05 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1614…0bedbacked MOUZ NXT | 38c | 175.46$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.84 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -9.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Brute | 68c | 175.08$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.98 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Brute | 79c | 166.61$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.13 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked MOUZ NXT | 20c | 156.08$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 758 | 33.4%253 W · 505 L | -48.9wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed Brute | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 405 | 58.8%238 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Brute | 60c | 142.33$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.36 | 488 | 51.8%253 W · 235 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd9…8593backed MOUZ NXT | 40c | 137.27$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.33 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec8c…3bcdbacked MOUZ NXT | 37c | 135$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 351 | 31.1%109 W · 242 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed MOUZ NXT | 36c | 129.77$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.49 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dcb…50fcbacked MOUZ NXT | 34c | 120.41$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Brute | 50c | 111.39$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.7 | 432 | 37.7%163 W · 269 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93b6…5d73backed MOUZ NXT | 32c | 107.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.86 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked MOUZ NXT | 32c | 107.4$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.85 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed MOUZ NXT | 37c | 104.81$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.98 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Brute | 63c | 100.66$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.66 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb909…d559backed MOUZ NXT | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.64 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Brute | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Brute | 61c | 97.28$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.94 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked Brute | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 482 | 42.1%203 W · 279 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Brute | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed Brute | 63c | 79.24$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.32 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked MOUZ NXT | 16c | 77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed MOUZ NXT | 28c | 67.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Brute | 58c | 65$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.14 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Brute | 60c | 63$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Brute | 61c | 56.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.79 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked MOUZ NXT | 40c | 55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 292 | 35.6%104 W · 188 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Brute | 62c | 50.68$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.39 | 457 | 48.1%220 W · 237 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7365…9589backed Brute | 63c | 46.45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.12 | 294 | 55.8%164 W · 130 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a3…5cabbacked Brute | 64c | 46.13$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.68 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01af…7bc2backed MOUZ NXT | 39c | 40.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffae…55c0backed MOUZ NXT | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 116 | 32.8%38 W · 78 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Brute | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234e…1160backed MOUZ NXT | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 414 | 37%153 W · 261 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7275…8b45backed MOUZ NXT | 39c | 38.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1c…35c6backed MOUZ NXT | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked MOUZ NXT | 28c | 35.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Brute | 60c | 33.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked MOUZ NXT | 49c | 33.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked Brute | 60c | 33.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.19 | 512 | 52.1%267 W · 245 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc4…21e3backed Brute | 61c | 33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 69cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Brute | 69c | 31.92$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed MOUZ NXT | 39c | 30.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 613 | 38.2%234 W · 379 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Brute | 45c | 30.16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 664 | 36.6%243 W · 421 L | -35.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed MOUZ NXT | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed MOUZ NXT | 40c | 28.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Brute | 71c | 28.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e0…708fbacked Brute | 60c | 26.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +5.2wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4d…b0edbacked MOUZ NXT | 49c | 21.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Brute | 64c | 21.65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x330f…91b1backed Brute | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 162 | 56.8%92 W · 70 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…7c12backed Brute | 78c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.24 | 523 | 69.4%363 W · 160 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Brute | 61c | 18.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Brute | 64c | 16.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.