Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Molde FK win on 2026-05-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50f50b153f5b535cb1e0abde4e5ad6027a36775f907b35e95170be5cc6c42ebc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,609
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,495
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,609 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 18c | 2,213$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.31 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 19c | 1,078$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.77 | 134 | 32.1%43 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed No | 11c | 923$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.05 | 107 | 70.1%75 W · 32 L | +19.6wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…4d3ebacked No | 13c | 762.43$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.44 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 30c | 691.69$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.74 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 18c | 640.16$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.79 | 171 | 49.7%85 W · 86 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32c0…c82cbacked No | 19c | 533.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 76c | 436.44$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.46 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…f949backed Yes | 70c | 333.76$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.76 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 16c | 273.13$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.91 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 69c | 180.76$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.44 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 69c | 169.41$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.52 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 17c | 122.73$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 31c | 101.91$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.56 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Yes | 70c | 100.43$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.13 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 30c | 100.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.13 | 124 | 37.9%47 W · 77 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 351 | 54.7%192 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed No | 18c | 94.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 210 | 36.7%77 W · 133 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 32c | 86.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.83 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 19c | 82.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 68c | 60.5$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 18c | 55.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 99 | 41.4%41 W · 58 L | -9.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x17f7…a181backed No | 32c | 45.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf18…af99backed Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 48c | 25.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Yes | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 109 | 29.4%32 W · 77 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 45c | 24.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed Yes | 67c | 24.2$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +6.4wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +283.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Molde FK win on 2026-05-16?this page
- Will Kristiansund BK win on 2026-05-16?No won
- Will Molde FK vs. Kristiansund BK end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.