Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on August 18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5254d16d26785e599a437933a790b369d0ed581e21f011af22163e9447b4cd0e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,840
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,847
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,840 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 56c | 4,239$2,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,376.34 | 1,858 | 42.7%793 W · 1,065 L | +50.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa12d…4c1bbacked No | 52c | 851.46$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.46 | 202 | 41.1%83 W · 119 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd36…a832backed Yes | 49c | 695.78$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.4 | 668 | 43.4%290 W · 378 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed Yes | 58c | 489.76$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.38 | 4,739 | 47.5%2,249 W · 2,490 L | -186.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 44c | 417.05$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.53 | 10,952 | 37.4%4,094 W · 6,858 L | +432.6wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…2013backed No | 40c | 399.06$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.05 | 331 | 54.7%181 W · 150 L | +34.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9c…f3a8backed Yes | 50c | 398.3$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.76 | 609 | 36.8%224 W · 385 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…1a00backed No | 44c | 350$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 375 | 50.7%190 W · 185 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39b4…fc14backed No | 44c | 350$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f74…a12fbacked No | 44c | 350$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26cb…a394backed No | 44c | 350$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 131 | 37.4%49 W · 82 L | -17.8wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -30%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x17d2…4142backed No | 44c | 350$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea0…85b3backed No | 44c | 350$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8b…b544backed No | 44c | 350$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -48%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b5c…8206backed No | 44c | 350$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 45cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4a…077fbacked No | 44c | 350$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 32c | 331.16$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.75 | 3,835 | 61.1%2,345 W · 1,490 L | -35.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 43c | 315$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.55 | 2,439 | 58%1,414 W · 1,025 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5203…b975backed Yes | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.69 | 219 | 40.6%89 W · 130 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 51c | 268.52$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.29 | 1,901 | 55.9%1,062 W · 839 L | -33.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 35c | 249.31$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.8 | 601 | 23.6%142 W · 459 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14ad…69f5backed No | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 48c | 211.88$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.8 | 12,545 | 46.9%5,879 W · 6,666 L | -39.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 65c | 196$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.4 | 5,255 | 49.8%2,618 W · 2,637 L | -163.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 43c | 189.13$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.42 | 5,625 | 47.8%2,687 W · 2,938 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 25c | 143.77$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.83 | 2,362 | 20.6%486 W · 1,876 L | -63.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked No | 45c | 133.71$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.31 | 1,067 | 50.7%541 W · 526 L | +29.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 37c | 131.24$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.3 | 4,467 | 65.1%2,907 W · 1,560 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79d9…9275backed No | 58c | 129.23$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.65 | 450 | 59.1%266 W · 184 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 29c | 128$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.88 | 3,139 | 49.6%1,558 W · 1,581 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…4420backed No | 43c | 116$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.12 | 997 | 57.2%570 W · 427 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 57c | 113.76$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.42 | 6,166 | 49.3%3,038 W · 3,128 L | -117.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 37c | 102$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.27 | 3,810 | 65.8%2,508 W · 1,302 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebdb…5ac4backed No | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 881 | 50.5%445 W · 436 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x012f…400dbacked Yes | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 456 | 30%137 W · 319 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e00…5a84backed No | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb32…79aabacked No | 56c | 96.44$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.07 | 1,244 | 61.7%767 W · 477 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…ddd6backed No | 49c | 92.41$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.05 | 1,697 | 52.5%891 W · 806 L | -42.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 31c | 90$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.8 | 6,905 | 53.1%3,666 W · 3,239 L | +422.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…7367backed No | 50c | 86.31$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.88 | 2,201 | 62.2%1,370 W · 831 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x229c…b966backed No | 35c | 84.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.49 | 1,936 | 38.1%737 W · 1,199 L | +296.8wins | +0.15per pick | 23cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 35c | 83.16$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.23 | 1,632 | 60.7%990 W · 642 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 61c | 80.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.26 | 2,226 | 59.1%1,316 W · 910 L | +110.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65f7…86ddbacked No | 41c | 80$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.6 | 287 | 58.5%168 W · 119 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 48c | 78.88$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.12 | 2,286 | 57.3%1,309 W · 977 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…557ebacked No | 61c | 77$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.8 | 1,254 | 59.8%750 W · 504 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed No | 33c | 76.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.09 | 1,268 | 58.4%740 W · 528 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 75c | 72.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.26 | 2,250 | 57%1,282 W · 968 L | +65.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8547…39abbacked No | 33c | 67$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.61 | 172 | 34.9%60 W · 112 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x813f…26ecbacked No | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.8 | 941 | 62.3%586 W · 355 L | -24.3wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 52c | 59.65$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.44 | 2,295 | 59.3%1,360 W · 935 L | +118.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c99…b083backed Yes | 41c | 57.52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 58c | 57.08$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.99 | 5,003 | 53.5%2,678 W · 2,325 L | +31.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee25…63ccbacked No | 47c | 56.52$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.73 | 247 | 56.3%139 W · 108 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef98…b586backed No | 26c | 55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.7 | 923 | 34.1%315 W · 608 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f9…8d24backed Yes | 34c | 55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 552 | 38.8%214 W · 338 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 56c | 54.28$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.71 | 2,223 | 56.1%1,247 W · 976 L | +54.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 66c | 54.17$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.43 | 2,201 | 56.8%1,250 W · 951 L | +69.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf13…b91abacked No | 44c | 53.45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.11 | 559 | 42.6%238 W · 321 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86f8…2ed6backed Yes | 60c | 50.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 69cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x304b…a619backed No | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 275 | 52%143 W · 132 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 52c | 48.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 2,233 | 56%1,250 W · 983 L | +47.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked No | 44c | 48.48$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.11 | 487 | 43.7%213 W · 274 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 56c | 46.8$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.57 | 2,254 | 58.2%1,311 W · 943 L | +84.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 56c | 45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 4,009 | 47.3%1,897 W · 2,112 L | +71.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 63c | 44.87$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.46 | 2,216 | 56.8%1,258 W · 958 L | +65.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed No | 46c | 44.87$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.23 | 923 | 55.9%516 W · 407 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…1e40backed Yes | 58c | 44.84$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x415e…a1e3backed No | 67c | 44.76$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 59c | 43.92$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 2,254 | 56.9%1,283 W · 971 L | +69.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb7…a11abacked No | 63c | 43.06$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 1,488 | 57.3%853 W · 635 L | +46.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0a…5083backed Yes | 53c | 42.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x351a…f836backed Yes | 43c | 41.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 294 | 49%144 W · 150 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked No | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 1,477 | 58.6%865 W · 612 L | +72.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb771…2419backed Yes | 52c | 39.74$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2560…8d6dbacked Yes | 50c | 39.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x986b…2721backed No | 62c | 37.8$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 253 | 57.7%146 W · 107 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0cd…d931backed No | 47c | 37.74$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.91 | 265 | 57.7%153 W · 112 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 53c | 36.81$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.46 | 2,283 | 58.3%1,331 W · 952 L | +85.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x501b…8119backed Yes | 57c | 36.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed No | 44c | 35.93$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.08 | 1,805 | 50.4%910 W · 895 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0a…d177backed No | 64c | 35.36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.81 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 35c | 35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 1,177 | 34.9%411 W · 766 L | +29.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3990…06bebacked No | 33c | 34.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.05 | 370 | 27.8%103 W · 267 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 48c | 34.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 4,442 | 53.7%2,387 W · 2,055 L | -17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0293…13f1backed No | 46c | 32.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 49c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 886 | 60.7%538 W · 348 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1822…022fbacked Yes | 32c | 31.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 194 | 21.6%42 W · 152 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 43c | 31.65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 1,335 | 50.9%680 W · 655 L | -35.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x234c…90dbbacked Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 671 | 38.9%261 W · 410 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf73b…10bfbacked Yes | 40c | 29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 446 | 44.6%199 W · 247 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd654…2efebacked No | 71c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.53 | 428 | 62.1%266 W · 162 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ae…bcc7backed Yes | 45c | 29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa047…4ffabacked No | 46c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 760 | 59.2%450 W · 310 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f63…932abacked No | 49c | 28.61$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e20…dddcbacked Yes | 60c | 28.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 439 | 47.6%209 W · 230 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9798…31e9backed Yes | 58c | 28.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb5…9400backed No | 60c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 577 | 57.7%333 W · 244 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked Yes | 56c | 25.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 2,340 | 58.7%1,373 W · 967 L | -4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x710a…3537backed No | 56c | 25.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.94 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on August 18?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on August 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on August 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on August 18?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on August 18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.