Tennis · resolved market
ITF Columbus: Francoise Abanda vs Ana Grubor
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5278fc4d816019cafd27a752c287b88e4ce4ba2c7558294e9aea5d6207f7fb95
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ana Gruborof Francoise Abanda, Ana Grubor
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,198
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,002
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,198 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Ana Grubor | 37c | 5,785$2,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,653.09 | 9,161 | 36.1%3,309 W · 5,852 L | -202.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Ana Grubor | 19c | 2,191$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770.87 | 5,352 | 28.8%1,543 W · 3,809 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ana Grubor | 33c | 2,065$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,381.1 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Francoise Abanda | 71c | 1,200$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | +29.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Francoise Abanda | 80c | 865.98$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.78 | 8,057 | 50.8%4,089 W · 3,968 L | +90.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Francoise Abanda | 24c | 863.15$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.55 | 1,788 | 48.8%872 W · 916 L | +31.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Francoise Abanda | 73c | 843.45$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.9 | 1,742 | 50.2%875 W · 867 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Francoise Abanda | 73c | 690.3$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.15 | 2,781 | 53.8%1,495 W · 1,286 L | +71.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Francoise Abanda | 67c | 641.46$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.88 | 11,779 | 43.3%5,102 W · 6,677 L | +20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Ana Grubor | 18c | 557.33$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.79 | 335 | 44.2%148 W · 187 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Ana Grubor | 22c | 385.18$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.93 | 3,195 | 57.3%1,830 W · 1,365 L | +178.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bc…377ebacked Ana Grubor | 14c | 341.4$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.39 | 249 | 18.5%46 W · 203 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed Ana Grubor | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.33 | 178 | 10.7%19 W · 159 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Francoise Abanda | 78c | 319.69$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 380 | 49.5%188 W · 192 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Francoise Abanda | 47c | 218$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.36 | 5,553 | 48.6%2,700 W · 2,853 L | +16.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Francoise Abanda | 71c | 158.9$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.2 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Francoise Abanda | 77c | 130.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 906 | 54.6%495 W · 411 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Ana Grubor | 37c | 119.24$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.24 | 3,457 | 38.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L | -15.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Francoise Abanda | 32c | 116.62$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 4,992 | 38.6%1,927 W · 3,065 L | -19.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Ana Grubor | 37c | 116.53$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.53 | 3,279 | 40.3%1,322 W · 1,957 L | +24.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Ana Grubor | 25c | 115.95$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.93 | 336 | 56.8%191 W · 145 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Francoise Abanda | 37c | 115$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.8 | 4,684 | 48.3%2,264 W · 2,420 L | +35.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Francoise Abanda | 51c | 102.52$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.93 | 6,867 | 48.9%3,357 W · 3,510 L | +61.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a1…1c91backed Francoise Abanda | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.73 | 203 | 60.1%122 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Ana Grubor | 37c | 86.72$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.72 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Francoise Abanda | 74c | 82.47$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.1 | 8,834 | 42.5%3,758 W · 5,076 L | -169.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…cda7backed Francoise Abanda | 71c | 80.4$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.08 | 149 | 47%70 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Francoise Abanda | 79c | 79.55$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.04 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3a1bbacked Francoise Abanda | 70c | 77.92$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.76 | 273 | 63.4%173 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Francoise Abanda | 71c | 77.03$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1,106 | 60.2%666 W · 440 L | +22.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Francoise Abanda | 75c | 73.53$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.36 | 834 | 57.1%476 W · 358 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Francoise Abanda | 78c | 71.79$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 440 | 51.6%227 W · 213 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Francoise Abanda | 46c | 70.84$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.73 | 1,384 | 16.5%228 W · 1,156 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Francoise Abanda | 71c | 70.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 967 | 55.9%541 W · 426 L | +21.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Francoise Abanda | 16c | 70.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Francoise Abanda | 48c | 67.21$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.97 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Ana Grubor | 37c | 59.62$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.62 | 2,179 | 37%807 W · 1,372 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33d2…9ac2backed Ana Grubor | 27c | 56.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.75 | 146 | 44.5%65 W · 81 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Francoise Abanda | 77c | 55.02$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.31 | 981 | 56%549 W · 432 L | +23.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Ana Grubor | 29c | 54.35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.35 | 913 | 41.4%378 W · 535 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ae…f71ebacked Francoise Abanda | 76c | 52.09$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 390 | 39.5%154 W · 236 L | -46.8wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdc85…aa54backed Francoise Abanda | 71c | 51.62$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.65 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Francoise Abanda | 55c | 50.11$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 5,455 | 56.4%3,074 W · 2,381 L | +234.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Francoise Abanda | 78c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Francoise Abanda | 51c | 48.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 992 | 44.7%443 W · 549 L | -29.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Ana Grubor | 33c | 44.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.94 | 1,179 | 52.8%623 W · 556 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Francoise Abanda | 71c | 42.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 988 | 55.5%548 W · 440 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Ana Grubor | 38c | 41.45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.75 | 1,832 | 53%971 W · 861 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8c…01c9backed Ana Grubor | 29c | 41.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.39 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Ana Grubor | 31c | 40.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.92 | 629 | 49.4%311 W · 318 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Francoise Abanda | 52c | 40.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 604 | 52.5%317 W · 287 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Francoise Abanda | 57c | 39.59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 6,798 | 36.9%2,507 W · 4,291 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Francoise Abanda | 79c | 38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 581 | 45.6%265 W · 316 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Ana Grubor | 44c | 36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 2,145 | 56%1,201 W · 944 L | +41.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc04c…cebfbacked Ana Grubor | 52c | 33.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 679 | 78.8%535 W · 144 L | +50.3wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Francoise Abanda | 53c | 30.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 1,459 | 50.1%731 W · 728 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x332a…a06bbacked Ana Grubor | 42c | 30.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.41 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x663e…9cf0backed Ana Grubor | 50c | 29.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.81 | 252 | 37.3%94 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4462…bfdfbacked Francoise Abanda | 73c | 25.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -24.1wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Ana Grubor | 79c | 24.48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.09 | 924 | 63.9%590 W · 334 L | +65.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Ana Grubor | 47c | 23.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 6,649 | 46.3%3,079 W · 3,570 L | -38.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…189abacked Francoise Abanda | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 214 | 51.9%111 W · 103 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Francoise Abanda | 61c | 19.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2c…ccc6backed Francoise Abanda | 79c | 14.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.