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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Hofstra Pride vs. North Carolina A&T Aggies

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
North Carolina A&T Aggiesof Hofstra Pride, North Carolina A&T Aggies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$18,008
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$20,549

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,008 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Hofstra Pride32c3,690$1,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,195.525,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked North Carolina A&T Aggies69c2,064$1,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.561,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19a0…ac39backed North Carolina A&T Aggies49c761.67$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.8418654.3%101 W · 85 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Hofstra Pride63c551.51$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.8524444.7%109 W · 135 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed North Carolina A&T Aggies70c383.73$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.542,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed North Carolina A&T Aggies70c280.39$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.2736942.3%156 W · 213 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Hofstra Pride33c269$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.6972248.8%352 W · 370 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked North Carolina A&T Aggies67c245$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.031,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed North Carolina A&T Aggies66c200$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6817062.9%107 W · 63 L-9.0wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked North Carolina A&T Aggies20c192.01$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.6812,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked North Carolina A&T Aggies32c152.69$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.5687047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f19…ec51backed North Carolina A&T Aggies50c152$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.3322050.5%111 W · 109 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked North Carolina A&T Aggies12c144.07$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.79250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick16cpaid+317%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90b5…ad4abacked North Carolina A&T Aggies67c132.92$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44540%2 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.33per pick73cpaid-44.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Hofstra Pride78c128$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.394,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3920…23e7backed Hofstra Pride80c125$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019554.9%107 W · 88 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed North Carolina A&T Aggies21c123.66$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.195,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked North Carolina A&T Aggies65c120.1$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.51,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf360…6726backed North Carolina A&T Aggies23c119.96$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.175911.9%7 W · 52 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick17cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Hofstra Pride71c115.63$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.122,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed North Carolina A&T Aggies48c113.57$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.751,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb29…ea29backed Hofstra Pride34c97.11$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.693046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed North Carolina A&T Aggies20c81.26$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.981,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed North Carolina A&T Aggies20c78.95$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.1697447.9%467 W · 507 L-2.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Hofstra Pride70c72.5$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.871,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Hofstra Pride76c70$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.225544.3%113 W · 142 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked North Carolina A&T Aggies31c52.04$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.81,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked North Carolina A&T Aggies22c50$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfeca…8c27backed North Carolina A&T Aggies22c49.99$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399037.8%34 W · 56 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed North Carolina A&T Aggies65c49.73$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.391,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed North Carolina A&T Aggies66c47.65$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.163,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Hofstra Pride80c37.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.964,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd08…84b0backed North Carolina A&T Aggies68c21.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.8729954.2%162 W · 137 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Hofstra Pride77c16$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.322,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x128f…47afbacked Hofstra Pride77c15$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.558459.5%50 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b9c…da16backed Hofstra Pride75c14.07$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5715066%99 W · 51 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.